4/14: Keeneland (5th-9th)

[Kasept]

'Big balloons' wafted all around Keeneland Wednesday, and I flirted with various multi hits that ultimately came up short. The P5 paid an outrageous $42,264 to one winner, while consos paid $265. The P4 was a $23.7k bonanza, while the 5-7, 6-8 and 7-9 P3's brought back $233, $1,500 and $4,127! The biggest frustration came from using $46.40 8th race winner Joshua Reynolds on the plays, but I missed Sassy's Dream in the 6th and my top trio in the nightcap ran 2nd, 3rd and 4th to $16.80 Ratatat. But like Gulfstream earlier this winter, you have to keep pitching under these full field conditions. The best opinion of the day came in the 5th when P5 single Spooky Kitten keyed exotics of $44.50 (EXA), $205.90 (TRI) and $1,234 (SPR). Hope you did well... Another tough sequence today which includes the G1 Vinery Madison.


KEENELAND


POSt-SCRATCHES


5th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P5. P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Shy Temper 7-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Pray for Grace 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Even Forest 8-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Keyana Washington 4-1 3rd


6th: S/ALW, F&M-4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

4-5 is too short a price to discover that Dubai's Connection doesn't care for the surface..

Best Value: #4 Mud Creek 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Tribecky 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Dubai's Connection 4-5 3rd
Super Add: #8 Monkey's Moonbeam 10-1 5th


7th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Boisterous 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #1a Strong Commitment 8-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Kindergarden Kid 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Lighthouse Sound 5-2 4th


8th: 10th Madison (G1), F&M-4+, 7f (DD, Super)

This is a nicely-matched field, and as big an Evening Jewel fan as I am, it's hard to embrace her too enthusiastically at what will be a very low price..#7 Amen Hallelujah appears to be running after all; Not a SCR through 12:30 late change announcement..

Best Value: #1 Kitty in a Tizzy 12-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Amen Hallelujah 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Evening Jewel 5-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Tremendemente Loca 20-1 9th


9th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Very nice race and it comes with an $8k Hi-5 Carryover..

Best Value: #5 Maid of Heaven 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 High On Kitten 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Sex Appeal 6-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Littlegreatone 8-1 6th
Hi-5 Play: #8 Refugio 6-1 10th


<$75 P5 Play:

5: 3-4-6-8
6: 2-4-8-10
7: 7
8: 1-7-8
9: 5-7-11

4x4x1x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-4-8-10
7: 1-7
8: 1-7-8
9: 4-5-7-8-9-11

4x2x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve