5/15: Belmont ($99k C/O)

[Kasept]

Challenging Saturday at Belmont, unless you're Andy Serling, as tricky horses piled up sending the P6 carryover to a second day at just under $100,000. Serling meanwhile delivered most of the day's non-favorite winners including the $20 nightcap score-o. Today may prove especially slippery given the weather uncertainty. I'm occupied at the University of Rochester graduation ceremonies with Tina's son Spencer, and doubt I'll get to many adjustments later this afternoon. Follow Andy's lead... At Churchill, things went much more our way catching the $130+ P4 twice (late SCR = fave), and other exotics including nightcap tri ($124) and super ($326). Unfortunately left the stake winner (3rd choice Little Polka Dot) off the .50 Pick Five play which paid a handsome $1,000. Hope you did well! Here's the BEL P6 skein, and let's hope the rain doesn't screw up the first half of the sequence...


BELMONT PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Grace and Courage 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #11 Fleeting Glance 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Eve of Destruction 4-1 WON ($12.20)
Super Add: #3 Winged Bandit 8-1 2nd

OFF THE TURF: 10-12-3


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Catty Madeline 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Risky Gamble 10-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Hey Babe 5-2 WON ($5.10)
Super Add: #10 Gentle Ride 5-1 6th

OFF THE TURF: 1e-12-11


7th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Hoopskirt 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #10 Must Be Love 3-2 WON ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #5 She Drives Me Wild 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Leonessa 6-1 5th

OFF THE TURF: 3-10-11


8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

This is a very curious, and unsettling, fire sale on Cravin Caden. P6 players will be singling, and if you're on a budget, you pretty much have to. But would you be dumbstruck if he faultered?

Most Likely: #1 Cravin Caden 3-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #7 SCR
Next Best: #4 Enable 6-1 4th
Super Add: #6 McGee's Miracle 12-1 3rd


9th: One Count, 3+, 10f (DD)

Interesting assembly with winter wonder Inherit the Gold facing off against '10 Belmont winner Drosselmeyer and '10 Withers hero Afleet Again going a classic route of ground. Other Mott player Birdrun is a horse that has latent talent, and capable Rodney Jenkins ships up with consistent Edgewater. Finally, Pletcher offers the regularly well-spotted Alma d'Oro. Tricky event..

Most Likely: #2 Inherit the Gold 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Birdrun 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Edgewater 5-1 6th


10th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (Super)

Best Value: #8 Coaltown Legend 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Able Bellamy 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #12 Roaring Conquest 6-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Common Currency 15-1 9tb


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 1-10-11 (OTT: 3-10-12)
6: 2-9 (OTT: 1e-11-12)
7: 3-10 (OTT: 3-10)
8: 1
9: 2-6
10: 1-8-12

3x2x2x1x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$25/$50 P4 Play:

7: 3-10 (OTT: 3-10)
8: 1
9: ALL
10: 1-6-8-12

2x1x6x4 = $48 (Or $24 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve