9/10 LaD: Super Derby card (5th-12th)

[dylbert]

5th: Alw 23500N1X, 3+, 8f-T (P3, Super)
Most Likely: #10 Destinare 6-1
Best Value: #9 Kelly'spremonition 3-1
Exotics Use: #7 Exclusive Alliance 7-2
Super Add: #4 Choctaw Bill 12-1

6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, Super)
Best Value: #4 Sunrise Star 9-2
Next Best: #2 Doc Heath 8-1
Exotics Use: #3 Leestown Magic 6-1
Super Add: #6 Stewy 20-1

7th: Happy Ticket 2yo-F, 8f-T (P3, Super)
Most Likely: #10 Exchanted 5-2
Best Value: #7 Little Ms Protocol 3-1
Exotics Use: #1 My GiGi 4-1
Super Add: #4 Lindsays Song 12-1

8th: Temperence Hill 3+, 6f (P3, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Foreign Production 8-1: dangerous lone speed here
Best Value: #5 Humble Destin 6-1
Exotics Use: #7 Tortuga Staits 8-1: last win on 2010 Super Derby undercard
Super Add: #2 Go Public 20-1: turnback opportunity today

9th: Unbridled 8.5f-T, 3+ (P4, P3, Super)
Most Likely: #5 Sligo Joe 30-1: switches back to best surface for first time in 50 weeks
Best Value: #3 Mystic 9-5
Next Best: #2 Lonesome Street 2-1
Exotics Use: #7 Heavenville 6-1, #8 Go Tiger Jack 10-1

10th: Sunday Silence 8f-T, 2yo (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #6 Easton Jack 6-1: best late speed, 3rd turf start today
Best Value: #9 Tequlia Factor 8-1: best of SIX early speed horse signed on here
Next Best: #3 Double Birdie 15-1: improving Texas-bred should relish added distance
Exotics Use: #8 Top Cat Boogie 5-1: dirt speed transfers to sod

11th: Super Derby (Grade 2) 9f, 3yo (Super)
Most Likely: #3 Malibu Glow 6-1: old school 14-day wheelback, back to 9 furlongs now
Best Value: #5 Prayer for Relief 9-5: top contender, has done nothing wrong, shortest price
Next Best: #6 Alternation 3-1: returns to South from NY excursion, Grade 2 winner, Peter Pan
Exotics Use: #7 Trubs 12-1: can't exclude "Little Al" Stall, won 2 for 3 with Apart & My Pal Charlie, second place in 2009 was horse named Blame

12th: River Cities 8.5-T, F&M-3+, (Super)
Most Likely: #5 Category Seven 5-2
Next Best: #7 She's All In 5-1
Exotics Use: #8 Royal Madame 10-1
Super Add: #1 Lovenotlost 4-1

<$75 P4 Play:
9: 2-3-5-7
10: 3-6-9
11: 3-5-6-7
12: 5-7-8
(144 x $0.50 = $72)