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Old 09-14-2011, 08:09 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,306
Default 9/14: Belmont Park ($43k C/O)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$43k P6 C/O starts here..

Major draw-in of AE #14 Tiana (7-2)..

Most Likely: #14 Tiana 7-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Gattino 12-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Bye Love You 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 War Queen 12-1 12th
Super Add: #1 Certainty 12-1 7th

.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 14 1st/2nd with 1-5-6-8-9 (1x5x4x3 (60) + 5x1x4x3 (60) = 120 x .10 = $12.00


5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 10f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Smokin Star 5-2 WON ($9.80)
Next Best: #3 Syros 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Unprecedented 3-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Griffin Rock 15-1 7th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Flea Flicker 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 My Jopia 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Raffie's Choice 8-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Rodinia 8-1 5th


7th: Jazzy, F&M=3+, 6f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Very good group and exceedingly bettable..

Best Value: #5 Exchange Funds 10-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Quebrada Shiner 7-2 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #10 Yadira 10-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Donna Getyourgun 10-1 10th

.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 5 1st/2nd with 3-7-8-9-10 (1x5x4x3 [60] + 5x1x4x3 [60] = 120 x .10 = $12.00)


8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (DD, Super)

Dee Tee's Ausable Chasm runs 2nd/break here after being denied opportunity upstate on closing weekend. Has done very well since the return, and closer watching of Spa try showed better effort than PP's reflect. The top Morrison and Ribaudo favorites here are clear horses to beat, but after that the rest are within a length or so of each other including our Hook and Ladder sophomore miss. Will be a big price and can help boost your tri or super..

Most Likely: #11 Sotique 9-2 WON ($7.60)
Next Best; #6 Queens or Better 3-1 9th
Best Value: #7 Ausable Chasm 30-1 10th
Exotics Use: #3 Untamed Glory 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Persky's Heart 20-1 6th

REVERSE TRI KEY PLAY: 3-6-8-11 with 3-6-8-11 with 7 (4x3x1 = $12)


9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #2 Glory in Motion 4-1 WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #6 Proud Lisa 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Ready to Party 9-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Sister Berta 10-1 4th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 14
5: 1-3-8
6: 9
7: 3-5-9-10
8: 6-11
9: 2-6-8

1x3x1x4x2x3 = 72 x $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 8-9
7: 3-5-7-8-9-10
8: 6-7-11
9: 2-4-6-8

2x6x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-14-2011 at 08:38 PM.
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