11/10: Aqueduct ($72k C/O); Churchill (8th-9th); Hollywood (5th)

[Kasept]

Took a thorough thrashing at Aqueduct Wednesday when a parade of $20 winners scuttled P6 attempts and almost anything else attempted. In the wake of the prices is a $72k two day C/O for Thursday. In addition to the P6 sequence, Aqueduct played host to Mucho Macho Man's return to the races in a 1m ALW. Kathy Ritvo's charge could not have been more impressive in the sharp wire-to-wire effort which left a solid field panting and earned a 95 Beyer. Thursday welcome Hollywood Park back to the oval roster, and a good late P4 is offered while Churchill has an excellent MSW/ALW DD in the 8th-9th..


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Favored System Ready (10th) can win without me. Must improve to contend, let alone win..

Most Likely: #8 Chick in Slacks 5-1 6th-DH
Best Value: #10 Queen of Protocol 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Ready to Party 6-1 6th-DH
Exotics Use: #3 Far Isle 10-1 9th


5th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Favored Term Loan has SCR'd..

Best Value: #6 Little Wyatt 10-1 WON ($8.80)
Next Best: #8 Deal Casino 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Quick Wit 8-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Personal Assistant 5-2 4th


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

7-5 fave Grimmer has SCR'd..

Most Likely: #3 Getinitalltogether 5-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Believe in You 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Lime Zest 5-1 WON ($10.40)
Super Add: #2 Vamel 15-1 3rd


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Glory in Motion 6-1 WON ($17.00)
Next Best: #5 Love Stanza Chance 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Lady's Lunar Luck 8-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Downtown Hottie 5-1 3rd


8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Beatable fave Sneaky Girl has SCR'd..

Most Likely: #2 Super Slash 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Amylimehouse 6-1 WON ($10.40)
Exotics Use: #3 No More Stress 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Iberian Gate 10-1 5th


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #5 Star of Escondida 3-1 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #8 Dodging 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Griffin Rock 30-1 8th
Exotics Use: #12 Mighty Lover 6-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Raffie's Choice 10-1 4th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 8-10
5: 6-8
6: 3-7
7: 2-4-5
8: 2-5
9: 5-8

2x2x2x3x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-7
7: 2-4-5-9
8: 2-3-5
9: 3-5-8-12

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (1/4/5/5) Paid $421.00



CHURCHILL DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Indian Miss 7-2 5th
Next Best: #8 Sacristy 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Lobshot 3-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Open Water 15-1 3rd


9th: ALW/N2X, 3+, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Newsdad may be a better horse now, but 8-5 isn't remotely fair. 20-1 Tonto Fontenot, bred by the Univ. of KY, is better than he looks on page and has real shot here from cozy post at bonanza number. Tremendous betting race..

Best Value: #5 Tonto Fontenot 20-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Tahoe Lake 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Versailes Road 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Friends Place 10-1 9th



HOLLYWOOD PARK -- SPOT PLAY


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Tucky 30-1: Have no clue if there is truly any upside in this 5yo Chicago transplant, but his AP poly races are not far off the players in this group and his Cali debut at 74-1 was better than it looks on paper. Might not be a bona fide win candidate, but certainly can be used to boost your exotic tix.. 12th

Most Likely: #6 Renegade Storm 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Antidote 8-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Bailouttheminister 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Killer Bear 20-1 7th


Good luck!
Steve