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Old 11-12-2011, 06:46 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 11/12: Aqueduct (P4); Churchill (Mrs. Revere)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Adam Rides Again 4-1 8th
Best Value: #6 Medieval Sword 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Ocean Seven 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #2 Out of Your Mind 30-1 7th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Pedigree abound here.. #2 Common Bond (Hard Spun) a half to To Honor and Serve (Bernardini); #3 D' Pepjo (Hard Spun) a half to Lost in the Fog (Lost Soldier); #4 School Spirit (Pulpit) a half to Big Truck (Hook and Ladder); #9 Perfect Trippi (Trippi) a half to Turbulent Descent (Congrats); #12 Market Strike (After Market) a half to 18x winner Double Down Vin Man (Out of Place); #14 Film Shot (Distorted Humor) out of the MGSW Film Maker (Dynaformer); AE-15 Junebugred (Corinthian) a half to Joe Six Pack (Silver Deputy)..

Most Likely: #7 Love to Run 3-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Rise Against 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Trusted Choice 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Common Bond 8-1 6th
Super Add: #3 D' Pepjo 20-1 9th


8th: 55th Long Island H. (G3), F&M-3+, 12f-T (DD, Super)

Emerald Beech is OK and certainly one of the ones, but 8-5? No thanks. Mekong Melody came down off a beating in the E. P. Taylor last year and won this. Hasay, Musical Rain and Hit It Rich all offer value. Good way to end the turf stakes year in New York..

Best Value: #4 Hasay 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Mekong Melody 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Musical Rain 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Emerald Beech 8-5 5th


9th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Win for the Zipper 3-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Van Tassel 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Post Pattern 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Summer Breezing 6-1 WON ($14.20)


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 5-6-10
7: 7-8
8: 3-4-5-6-7
9: 2-3-8-10

3x2x5x4 = 120 x .50 = $60



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: 21st Mrs. Revere (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Good group of soph gals, and a couple here can juice up board..

Most Likely: #6 Smart Sting 5-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Groupie Doll 10-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Marketing Mix 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Hungry Island 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 New Normal 12-1 9th


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 11-13-2011 at 07:17 AM.
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