1/14: Aqueduct ($20k C/O); Gulfstream (6th-11th)

[Kasept]

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Big question is how to view the 2 similar events 12/15 and 12/28 from which 7 of these exit, and the earlier version may be the right one to gravitate toward. And what do you do with #3 Big Fearless (8-1) off the 13 month break? Really good start to an excellent card..

#5 Able Bellamy (4-1) a SCR..

Most Likely: #4 Hangover Kid 2-1 WON ($3.10)
Best Value: #7 Sound of Drums 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Idle American 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Big Fearless 8-1 5th


2nd: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

#2 Hardened Wildcat (3-1) is out of GSW mare Wild Snitch and half to sharp sprinter Vengeful Wildcat. $325k Darley buy #1a Le Bernardin is by Bernardini and half to an excellent GSW Mott mare some should remember, Taittinger Rose (Menifee)..

Most Likely: #2 Hardened Wildcat 3-1 WON ($9.50)
Next Best: #3 Rockin Boogie 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1e McLaughlin entry 4-1 4th/5th


3rd: Shots are Ringing, 4yo, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Race torn up by SCR's of Socialsaul & Rustler Hustler..

Most Likely: #3 San Pablo 3-5 WON ($2.20)
Best Value: #4 Isn't He Perfect 12-1 2nd


4th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$20k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #5 Scorper 3-1 DNF
Best Value: #11 Metaurus 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Dr. W 8-5 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Troponin 12-1 3rd


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Our own Dee Tee filly #10 Ausable Chasm (9-2) adds Ramon Dominguez to try and build on strong try a fortnight ago and could sit a good stalking trip. Contessa is giving away #6 Lake Song (7-2) who would run away if able to approach level of Busanda try a year ago. #9 Stellars Theory (3-1) is the most consistant participant signed on and adds blinkers. #1 Warrior Marie (8-1) broke her maiden under today's pilot and looks a threat. #12 Rock Glory (20-1) is a big overlay abandoning Husbands for the 7# bug and could juice proceedings with anything close to the August effort at MTH..

Most Likely: #9 Stellars Theory 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Ausable Chasm 9-2 8th
Best Value: #1 Warrior Marie 8-1 WON ($18.60)
Exotics Use: #12 Real Glory 20-1 7th


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-3-5
3: 3
4: 1-5-7-10-11
5: 1-6-9-10-12

4x1x5x5 = 100 x .50 = $50

$0.50 Pick 4 (2/1,3,6/1/1) Paid $81.12


6th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Bojan 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #12 Max's First 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Mr. Magenta 5-1 10th
Super Add: #2 Even Frisky 10-1 6th


7th: 35th Ruthless, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Agave Kiss may be OK, but will you be shocked if she gets beat? This feels tricky with a number of out-of-towners and other progressive possibilities. Fun little stake..

Most Likely: #5 Agave Kiss 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #9 Well Kept 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Better Lucky 8-1 5th


8th: NY-OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-70y (DD, Super)

No less than 3 here -- Star of New York, Iron Lou, Itsagoodtendollars -- run 1st off the claim, with all going to sharp operators. Not a lot of speed involved either, so look for Lopez to hustle Itsagoodtendollars from that wide berth..

Most Likely: #9 Itsagoodtendollars 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Iron Lou 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Star of New York 8-1 WON ($7.00)
Super Add: #7 Summer Share 20-1 6th


9th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 6f (Super)

Obviously, anything close to the Gulfstream run from Panthro wins here..

Most Likely: #6 Panthro 4-5 WON ($3.50)
Best Value: #7 Quiet Eyes 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Pearl of Wisdom 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Officerandafoose 5-1 3rd


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1-5-10-11
5: 1-9-10
6: 8
7: 5
8: 3-8-9
9: 6-7

4x3x1x1x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

$2 Pick 6 (1/1/1/1,2,3,5/3/5,6,9,11,13,14) Paid $222.50 (5OF6)


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 6-8-12
7: 5-6-7-9-10
8: 3-8-9
9: 6-7

3x5x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45



GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Miss Partypants 8-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Pearl in the Sand 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Colonial Flag 6-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Hookipa 12-1 9th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Ecabroni 8-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #5 Restructuring Plan 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Rise Against 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Arm Force 6-1 4th


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Walker's Landing 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Versailles Road 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Carnival Ride 12-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Keep Me Informed 8-1 9th


9th: 24th Hal's Hope (G3), 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Jackson Bend 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #3 Sangaree 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Soaring Empire 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Cool Blue Red Hot 12-1 3rd


10th: 57th Ft. Lauderdale (G3), 4+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Yummy With Butter 10-1 6th-DQ'd from 2nd
Next Best: #5 Mutual Trust 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Uptowncharleybrown 15-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Teaks North 8-1 7th


11th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 9f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Summer Kitten 4-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Corbins Village 9-5 7th
Best Value: #6 Roses for the Star 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #15 Wet One 3-1 WON ($8.40)
Hi-5 Play: #3 Another Please 6-1 2nd


<$75 P5 Play:

7: 5-7-8
8: 7-10
9: 1-3
10: 1-4-5-7-10-11
11: 8-9

3x2x2x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-7-10
9: 1-3
10: 1-4-5-7-10-11
11: 6-8-9-15

4x2x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve