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Old 01-25-2012, 08:18 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 1/25: Aqueduct (4th-9th); Gulfstream (7th-10th)

Followed up fast finish on Saturday with a big hit Sunday at Gulfstream with $1,300 P4 and some added goodness on 3 P5 consos. As tough as Gulfstream has been, scores like Sunday's are vital to maintain bankroll health. A year ago it took until March to catch a revitalizing bingo ($3k+), so I was pleased to get over on GP at this juncture. The boost came from a generous 11-1 on Live Oak/Albertrani firster Zo Impressive who looked prime from a pedigree standpoint and solid from morning preparations. I put the Hard Spun colt on top as a Best Value because Albertrani has been getting his early runners to hit boards recently and at the price you were offered, Zo Impressive felt like a prime play. It worked out well as he won easily and when Trombetta's won the nightcap at 10-1, the returns were liberal. To offer perspective, if Morrow Cove gets by Change of Command in that finale, the P4 only returns $150. I know several readers/listeners had pieces of Sunday's results and I'm always pleased when that happens! Some decent midweek play at GP and AQU to get back into the action Wednesday.


AQUEDUCT


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Among the firsters, Nitara and Harriet (BOTH SCR'D!) have 'win early' pedigrees, but Starr Gate seems to be working best in prep for bow. It may not mean everytrhing now, but note that Nitara -- the Indian Charlie filly -- must have had some physical negatives to only fetch $8,500 as a KEE September '10 yearling. IC's yearlings sold for an average of $$136k in 2010..

Most Likely: #3 She's Ready Made 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Starr Gate 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Brilliant Autumn 2-1 5th


5th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Ooof.. Bad field.

Best Value: #1 Indymoolah 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Blazing Arches 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Thunder Princess 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Super Add: #6 B Karma 8-1 5th


6th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Terrific race for $7,500 claimers. Half the field looks like they can win: 15-1, 12-1 and 6-1 shots (8, 2, 3 respectively) and the three faves (6, 10, 12)..

Most Likely: #3 Value Added Tax 6-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Seeking Anita 15-1 WON ($27.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Vose the Host 12-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Troponin 3-1 6th


7th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Red Bendel 9-5 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #4 Advanceandretreat 2-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Clifford 15-1 9th
Super Add: #9 Pegasus Hellas 15-1 4th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3yo, 1m (DD)

Curious group with 4 last out winners that all seem dubious for various reasons..

Best Value: #2 Jonrah 8-1 5th
Most Likely: #3 Readytodefer 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Quiet Favorite 8-1 WON ($17.60)


9th: NY-MSW, 3yo-F, 5.5f (Super)

Most Likely: #8 Sacred Success 6-5 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #2 Elusive Rumor 10-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Notesfromabroad 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Sing Dixie Sing 6-1 2nd


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 3-5
5: 1-3
6: 2-3-8
7: 5
8: 2-3
9: 2-8

2x2x3x1x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-6-8-10-12
7: 2-4-5
8: 2-3-6-7
9: 2-8

6x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (8/5/7/6,8,9) Paid $241.25



GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 1m-T/36' (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Moonshine Magic 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Scootles 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Gamecents 5-2 WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #10 Artie's Party 8-1 7th


8th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 5f-T/96' (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Defense Mode 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Classic Brook 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Fast Time 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Le Bon Ton Roule 6-1 8th


9th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m-T/36' (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Heiko 5-1 6th
Best Value: #4 E Biscuit 10-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Two Months Rent 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Liquidity Trap 5-2 4th


10th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 5.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Horizonbound 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Storm Clouds Ahead 4-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #1 Toasting Mia 10-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Trueno Jak 6-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-10-12
8: 1-7-11
9: 3-4-5-7
10: 1-4-9

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 01-25-2012 at 05:14 PM.
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