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Old 02-24-2012, 06:13 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 2/25: Gulfstream (5th-12th); Fair Grounds (8th-11th)

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Island School is established, bred for today's move to turf and may float up when Pletcher (#8) and Motion (#4) draw money..

Most Likely: #3 Island School 4-1 5th (12-1)
Best Value: #5 Affair Dabbler 10-1 6th (13-2)
Next Best: #8 So Much Love 6-1 2nd (9-2)
Exotics Use: #7 Warm Hugs 7-2 3rd (3-1)


6th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

In Lingerie a private purchase out of flashy, big fig Turfway debut win. Doffs hood and has had time to adjust to Team Todd treatment..

Most Likely: #8 In Lingerie 5-2 2nd (3-2)
Best Value: #3 Kaleidoscope 5-1 5th (7-2)
Next Best: #7 Zo Impressive 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Hot Roots 10-1 8th (8-1)


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-T/108' (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Quality sod sophs offering wide variety of styles to choose from including last out diploma-earners at prices via Proctor and Mott to match with obvious Repole-Pletcher West Point-Motion faves..

Most Likely: #9 Our Entourage 3-1 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #7 Godard 8-1 10th (9-2)
Next Best: #1 Gold Megilah 4-1 3rd (5-1)
Exotics Use: #12 Film Shot 12-1 9th (13-2)


8th: 24th Sabin (G3), R&M-4+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

BC Distaff winner Royal Delta and long absent Awesome Maria make returns here. Mott clear that Empire Maker 4yo is readying for Dubai and will need a very spirited pace up front for her rally. Awesome Maria was insanely strong at GP last winter -- including in this event -- but also needs to come back running because neither Groupie Doll or Canadian Mistress are tomato cans..

Most Likely: #3 Awesome Maria 8-5 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #2 Royal Delta 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Groupie Doll 3-1 3rd


9th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/108' (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Nearly stakes level group of grass gals. Many eligible for success..

Most Likely: #2 Namaskara 3-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Safe Crossing 6-1 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #3 Zapparition 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Bea Remembered 4-1 7th


10th: 26th The Very One (G3), F&M-4+, 11f-T (P3, DD, Super)

BC F&M Turf winner Perfect Shirl prepping for Dubai and wins on best, but like Mott, Attfield doesn't typically wind them up first out..

Best Value: #5 Casablanca Smile 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Perfect Shirl 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Here to Win 12-1 WON ($24.40)
Super Add: #6 Keertana 4-1 2nd


11th: 27th Davona Dale (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Disposablepleasure 2-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Grace Hall 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 The Cat's All That 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Nuffsaid Nuffsaid 15-1 5th


12th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 7.5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Elusive Story 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Delta Ranger 4-1 WON ($14.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Horizonbound 6-1 6th
Best Value:: #12 War General 10-1 10th
Super/Hi-5: #11 Bold Forest 8-1 2nd


<$50 P5 Play:

8: 2-3
9: 2-7
10: 1-4-5
11: 2-7
12: 4-6-9

2x2x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36

$0.50 Pick 5 (3/7/1/6/9) Paid $82.85 (4OF5) x 2 = $165.70


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 2-3-6-7-10
10: 4-5
11: 2-7
12: 4-6-9

5x2x2x3 = $60



FAIR GROUNDS


PRE-SCRATCHES


8th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Terrific group, many getting delayed chance on surface for which they were meant..

Best Value: #11 Street Serenade 10-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Attendant 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Mojo Workin 6-1 10th
Super Add: #2 Senor Peligroso 12-1 13th


9th: Mineshaft H. (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

SCR: 4-7-9

Most Likely: #6 Thiskyhasnolimit DNF
Next Best: #8 Fast Alex 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Tres Borrachos 4th


10th: Col. Power, 4+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Chamberlain Bridge 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Country Day 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Zeb 15-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Cactus Son 8-1 3rd


11th: Risen Star (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

El Padrino's race to lose but there are a handful here showing signs of steps forward..

Most Likely: #7 El Padrino 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #3 Afford 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Shared Property 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1e Jones entry 4-1 2nd/11th


<$200 P4 Play:

8: 1-2-4-8-9-11
9: 3-6-8
10: 7-8
11: 1-3-7-8

6x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 02-25-2012 at 06:19 PM.
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