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Old 03-14-2012, 07:56 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 3/14: Aqueduct (1st-9th)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD Super)

Most Likely: #1 So Much Heart 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Twillerbee 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Hard Life 2-1 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #3 Beppj 12-1 4th


2nd: MSW, 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Startling group based on pedigrees alone with debuting Car Talk (Half to MGSW's Dixie Chatter & Rumor), Steele Road (Out of Ashado), Round Midnight (First foal out of Miss Shop) and Sporting Gent (Half to Honest Man). All need to beat West Point even money fave Suns Out Guns Out from Romans exiting Gotham..

Most Likely: #3 Suns Out Guns Out 1-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Five Sixteen 6-1 WON ($13.20)
Next Best: #1e Darley entry 2-1 3rd/6th
Exotics Use: #6 Sporting Gent 8-1 4th


3rd: NY-MSW, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 The Thinker 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Sky Colors 6-1 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #3 Seventeen and One 2-1 5th


4th: S-OC/N1X, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Thomas Hill 5-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Frisky Warrior 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Blue Punch 7-2 6th
Super Add: #2 Tightend Touchdown 5-2 WON ($7.20)


5th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Superior Sarah 3-1 3rd (2nd for EXA)
Best Value: #5 Landing My Way 10-1 5th
Next Best: #1e McLaughlin entry 7-2 WON/2nd ($3.90)
Exotics Use: #8 Holiday Flare 4-1 4th (3rd for TRI)


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-3-4-5
3: 1
4: 2-3-4-8
5: 1-3-4-5-7-8

4x1x4x6 = $96 x .50 = $48


6th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Global Alliance 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Late SCR
Exotics Use: #6 Royal Inmate 6-1 WON ($8.90)
Super Add: #7 Rico Capote 8-1 3rd


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

This is a very fun group with several eligible for jump up performances that can juice exotics in any slot..

Most Likely: #7 Ludo Bagman 4-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Bizarroworld 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Think I'm Hooked 12-1 5th
Super Add: #10 I'll Stake You 20-1 2nd


8th: The Limit, 3yo-F, 1m (DD, Super)

Well matched set of highly mediocre fillies. No one is without chance..

Most Likely: #2 Zucchini Flower 5-2 WON ($10.00)
Best Value: #6 Whisperdownthelane 15-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Lisa T. 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Wicked Mizz 7-2 2nd



9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (Super)

Note Blondecat, who figures a major player here, is entered back for Friday and may come out. Very tough race with or without her..

Best Value: #2 Sweet Hot Toddy 10-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Enniskillen 4-1 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Soccittomebaby 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Hillsboro Bay 8-1 DNF


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 4-9/SCR
7: 5-7
8: 1-2-6-7
9: 2-3-4-6-7-10

2x2x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 03-14-2012 at 04:56 PM.
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