3/31: Dubai World Cup; Gulfstream (1st-13th); Aqueduct ($28k C/O)

[Kasept]

World Cup card not really in my wheelhouse, but with the Carnival coverage ATR has offered these last few winters with Pat Cummings and Dick Powell, it's been fun to take shots on the big morning. Will play some rolling P3's, exacta boxes and/or tri keys (.50 available) for action ahead of the big day.


MEYDAN


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: Godolphin Mile (G2), 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Top tab seems one of the night's most likely winners on best..

Most Likely: #4 African Story 7-2 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #9 Red Jazz 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Do It All 4-1 12th
Exotics Use: #3 Sandagiyr 6-1 8th


3rd: Dubai Gold Cup (G3), 2m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Abandoned due to fall of Fox Hunt (RIP); Re-run after World Cup..


4th: UAE Derby (G2), 9.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Feels like a middling renewal of this..

Best Value: #6 Mickdaam 8-1 4th
Next Best: #13 Wrote 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #14 Helmet 10-1 12th
Super Add: #4 Balada Sale 8-1 6th


5th: Al Quoz Sprint (G1), 5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Some healthy prices on the US line taking action in Europe..

Best Value: #2 Addictive Dream 20-1 15th
Next Best: #6 Joy and Fun 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Ortensia 8-1 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #5 Nocturnal Affair 20-1 6th


6th: Golden Shaheen (G1), 6f (P3, DD, Super)

American speed stands up well in this annually..

Most Likely: #1 Rocket Man 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Giant Ryan 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 The Factor 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Krypton Factor 10-1 WON ($18.80)

$1 Exacta (5-1) Paid $31.70


7th: Duty Free (G1), 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Mutahasee 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Ambitious Dragon 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Cityscape 12-1 WON ($24.60)
Super Add: #7 Dark Shadow 10-1 9th

$1 Pick 3 (10,11/5/11) Paid $1,166.40
$1 Exacta (11-10) Paid $99.10


8th: Sheema Classic (G1), 12f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Cirrus des Aigles 3-1 WON ($9.00)
Best Value: #3 Beaten Up 20-1 6th
Next Best: #9 St. Nicholas Abbey 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Songcraft 8-1 8th

$2 Pick 3 (5/11/8) Paid $700.10
$1 Exacta (8-9) Paid $12.70


9th: World Cup (G1), 10f (Super)

Fun assembly of international players and Mott stacks up as clever with as anyone here with BC Distaff mare that should sit ideal trip under Lezcano. I'm very interested in the solid, under radar German-bred Zazou at a juicy number too. Shamardal offspring clicking on synthetics at 23% while Peslier and successful Chantilly prep further enhance appeal on 19/7-1-4 millionaire 5yo..

Most Likely: #7 Royal Delta 8-1 9th
Best Value: #3 Zazou 15-1 5th
Next Best: #4 So You Think 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #14 Game On Dude 3-1 12th


**3rd: Dubai Gold Cup (G3), 2m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Opinion Poll 3-1 WON (N/A)
Next Best: #11 Fox Hunt (Fell; Euthanized)
Best Value: #12 Zanzamar 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Mikhail Glinka 8-1 9th



GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Simba's Story 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Wiki 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Watch Me Go 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Andersonstate 12-1 4th


2nd: 3rd Sir Shackleton, 4+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

SCR Zero Rate Policy & Soaring Stocks who are running in New Orleans..

Most Likely: #8 Jersey Town 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Nathan's H Q 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Will's Wildcat 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Action Andy 5-1 5th


3rd: 35th Rampart (G3), F&M-4+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

In easy a stake spot for a major horse as you'll ever see..

Most Likely: #5 AWESOME MARIA 3-5 WON ($2.20)
Next Best: #3 Lacie Slew 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Belovda 3-1 2nd


4th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-T/48' (P3, DD, Super)

As discussed with Welsch on ATR Weekend Preview, Kanagaro and Za Approval have esge on field. Get a Grip and Exclusive Strike are the useful prices to play with..

Most Likely: #6 Za Approval 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #5 Kanagaro 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Get a Grip 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Exclusive Strike 5-1 3rd


5th: 27th Skip Away (G3), 4+, 9.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Exiting the Donn, Where's Sterling is supposed to beat these. Note Dixie Emperor's 3 stiff drills at Calder since turf stake fiasco..

Most Likely: #1 Where's Sterling 5-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Dixie Emperor 12-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Self Control 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Alma d'Oro 3-1 2nd


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-5-6-7-8
3: 5
4: 5-6
5: 1-4-6-8

6x1x2x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)


6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T/48' (P3, DD, Super)

Very little to go on but breeding and trainer stats with 7 firsters and 3 2nd timers..

Best Value: #2 Fast Falcon 15-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Upkeep 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Circularity 20-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Distortionist 6-1 4th


7th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Tons of pedigree on display here including Spin Out (1/2 to Friendly Island), Present Course (1/2 to Telling), Ez Effort (1/2 to Uh Oh Bango), Fort Booneborough (1/2 to Twilight Road), North Ocean (Out of Beautiful Pleasure), Bocelli (1/2 to Stay Thirsty/Andromeda's Hero)..

Most Likely: #2 Ez Effort 3-1 WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #4 Street Thug 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Present Course 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Fort Boonesborough 8-1 4th


8th: 63rd Appleton (G3), 4+, 1m-T/48' (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Trend 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Decisive Moment 15-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Brilliant Speed 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Corporate Jungle 4-1 WON ($6.00)


<$50 P4 Play:

5: 1-4-6-8
6: 1-2-3-5-8-10
7: 2
8: 2-4-6-8

4x6x1x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


9th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 9f-T/108' (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Easy Crossing 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #11 Joy of the Toy 5-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Bellefire 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 North of Never 12-1 4th


10th: 44th Gulfstream Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Yara no fluke but Grace Hall and Zo Impressive still feel more imposing..

Most Likely: #2 Zo Impressive 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Grace Hall 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #1 Yara 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 And Why Not 4-1 6th


11th: 63rd FloridaDerby (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Not much mystery to this with Union Rags and El Padrino notches above and Take Charge Indy looking to erase doubts about readiness due to Byrne's quirky handling..

Most Likely: #6 Union Rags 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #8 El Padrino 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Take Charge Indy 5-1 WON ($17.40)
Best Value: #4 Neck 'n Neck 20-1 5th


12th: 51st Orchid (G3), F&M-4+, 12f-T/48' (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Hit It Rich 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #9 Keertana 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Woodford Belle 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Aqsaam 4-1 2nd


13th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T/108' (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Imhotep 3-1 WON ($)
Best Value: #6 Torment 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Bold Forest 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Liquid Luck 10-1 6th


<$75 P5 Play:

9: 10-11
10: 1-2-5
11: 3-6-8
12: 2-4-8-9
13: 5-6

2x3x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 5 (10/5/3/8/1,5,9) Paid $331.75
$0.50 Pick 5 (10/5/3/8/1,5,9) Paid $5.35 (CONSO) X 9 = $48.15


<$75 P4 Play:

10: 1-2-5-7
11: 3-6-8
12: 2-4-8-9
13: 5-6-11

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (5/3/8/1,5,9) Paid $129.40



AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$28k C/O starts here..

Notable SCR of favorite #7 Indigene Charm which opens up opportunity for #11 L. C. Sleepy (4-1) to draw in..

Best Value: #5 Special Action 5-1 WON ($8.50)
Next Best: #11 L. C. Sleepy 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Sorry No Refunds 3-1 9th
Super Add: #9 Crea's Law 4-1 8th


6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best hop is the drop and there's plenty to choose from here. Could throw wrench in P6 plays with half the field possible..

Most Likely: #6 Bobity Boo 5-2 5th
Best Value: #13 Sweet Hot Toddy 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Speckledbird 7-2 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Life's Measure 6-1 7th


7th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Happy to get Dee Tee City Zip colt My Pal of Pals turf season underway here, though shorter distances on the Belmont/Saratoga lawns the best spots for him. Should be forwardly placed and will take them as far as he can..

Most Likely: #8 Cientifico 4-1 WON ($17.60)
Best Value: #1 Suspicious U 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Pearl of Wisdom 2-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 My Pal of Pals 15-1 3rd


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Flo's Greatness 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 Recurring Dream 4-1 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #10 Readytodefer 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Russian Ally 8-1 7th


9th: Plugged Nickle, F&M-4+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Great Gracie Dane 5-2 6th
Next Best: #4 Opus A 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Empress of Gold 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 One Last Dance 5-1 4th


10th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #5 Kissinginthedark 8-1
Next Best: #2 Karakorum Magic 3-1 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #9 Skinnydipper 4-1
Super Add: #10 Carrot Thief 6-1 2nd


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 5-11
6: 2-6-13
7: 1-8
8: 7
9: 1-4
10: 2-5-9

2x3x2x1x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-8
8: 2-4-7-10
9: 1-4
10: 2-5-9

2x4x2x3 = $48 ($24 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve