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Old 06-28-2012, 08:00 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default 6/28: Belmont (1st-10th); Hollywood (5th-8th)

Couldn't negotiate tough Belmont carryover Wednesday but did OK on the day via fortuitous $41.60 winner Thomas Hill in the lynchpin 7th. Erratic helmsman Abel Lezcano likely impeded Dominguez and Namron in the stretch on the 20-1 Karl Grusmark trainee, but the result went official without an inquiry or objection and the price triggered juicy multi returns including the $303 late quad and 2 $100+ P3's. The P6 brought back a nice $70k to 2 winners. Having $14.40 Coach Royal, $20.80 Hlao Roo and Thomas Hill on your ducat deserved every bit of $70k. Hope everybody did well. More excellent weekday action at BEL as well as HOL today!


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-1+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Purely Majestic 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Evans Rocket 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Earnings Release 5-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Why Take a Chance 2-1 2nd


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

2yo fillies all debut here including #4 Baby J, the first runner from the first crop of MGSW and SAR 5.5f track record breaker J Be K (Silver Deputy). The former Zayat campaigner was in the news just days ago having been sold by Arkansas farm Trophy Club for stud duty in Argentina. Baby J (6-1) could be very live in this unveiling coming out of Michelle Nihei's excellent "FTS" barn and being a half to MSW Laureate Conductor (Bernstein) and fast Que Posse (Posse). Mott sends Mrs. Weber's Seasoned Warrior, a Majestic Warrior bay out of MGSW Saorise making her a half to MGSW Hide and Chic (Seeking the Gold) and MSW Autobahn Girl (A. P. Indy). Mott not famous for sending them out cranked, but this filly has a license to be OK right away and zipped 3f in :35.0 days ago on the BEL training track (2/54)..

Best Value: #4 Baby J 6-1 WON ($18.20)
Next Best: #5 Seasoned Warrior 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Lucky Friend 8-5 4th


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Baby boys here and while a little against Pletcher filly above, his Discreet Cat colt here for Repole (#5 Onetwentyeight) should be ready at first asking being a half to Tackleberry (Montbrook). Full 3yo sib Please Be Discreet took 4 starts to break maiden earned quickish fig early on..

Most Likely: #5 Onetwentyeight 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #4 Muscles Marinara 15-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Late SCR
Exotics Use: #1 Volastic 2-1 2nd


4th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Good, well-matched group.

Most Likely: #8 Karakorum Elektra 3-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #2 Shakeira 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Myrtle's Grey 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Pure Amour 15-1 6th


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Mightylover 5-2 8th
Best Value: #1 Jet Set Cat 10-1 WON ($16.80)
Next Best: #10 Alvito 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Manacor 6-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-4-5
3: 5
4: 2-4-6-8-9-10
5: 1-5-6-10

3x1x6x4 = $72 ($36 for .50)

$1 Pick 4 (4/3,5/8/1) Paid $389.00 ($194.50 for .50)


6th: PASS


7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Preach Tome Daddy 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 My Perfect Light 10-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Considerate 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Christina d'Oro 15-1 2nd


8th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Brutally tough group with many improving types and honest pace scenario anticipated. I make 6 of the 9 eligible for laurels. Pick and pray..

Most Likely: #9 Vee One Rotate 5-1 8th
Best Value: #2 Saturday's for Fun 15-1 5th
Next Best: #8 English Major 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Forever Faithful 10-1 DNF


9th: Glowing Honor-R, F&M-3+, 7f-T (DD)

Like the De La Rose in Saratoga, a 'non Sweepstakes winner on year' event. I love these. They always draw interesting fields. Violette's Trix in the City rock solid and a value..

Race hit by heavy SCR's..

Best Value: #6 Trix in the City 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Whipsaw City 5-2 2nd


10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #5 Double Berg 5-1 WON ($13.60)
Next Best: #4 Deverell 2-1
Exotics Use: #8 Lizzie Bear 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Ginagain 4-1


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-8
8: 2-4-8-9
9: 5-6
10: 2-4-5-8

3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48



HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Zuboff 5-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Royal Meridian 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Tizpat 5-2 4th
Super Add: #5 Sarangani 4-1 2nd


6th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 John Scott 5-1 WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #8 Rail Trip 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Classic Legacy 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Admission 4-1 6th


7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #1 Doyouseemecoming 9-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Stirred Up 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Seventh Avenue 5-1 2nd


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (Super Hi-5)

As mentioned by Rich Eng, the Baffert filly #7 Executiveprivlege (2-1) comes with big advance press..

Most Likely: #7 Executiveprivlege 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #8 Irish Presence 15-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Renee's Queen 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Awesome Annie 5-2 6th


<$50 P4 Play:

5: 1-2-5-6-7-8
6: 1-5-6-8
7: 1-2-5
8: 7

6x4x3x1 = 72 x .50 = $36


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 06-28-2012 at 08:21 PM.
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