8/15: Saratoga (Day 23); Del Mar ($362k P5, $240k P6 C/O's)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

SCR's have carved this race up..

Best Value: #2 Leading Citizen 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Stay Composed 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Debonair Dancer 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 City View 20-1 5th


2nd: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Favorite #5 Crypto Kitten can and very well may win, but she's a money-burning stinkbird being given away. Protect in multis but do your utmost to bet against her within the race..

Best Value: #9 She Be Bunny 6-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Accent 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Billboard Hit 6-1 WON ($22.00)
Super Add: #10 Sweetest Peach 15-1 10th


3rd: MSW, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Rockin Boogie 3-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Wild Target 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #6 Slash Five 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Demon's Deputy 8-1 4th


4th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Inquiring 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Thiry Minutes 2-1 WON ($3.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Lemon Sundae 8-1 4th


5th: 9th Troy, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

As Andy Serling mentioned Tuesday, this should have a G3 next year based on the assembled cast..

Most Likely: #2 Regally Ready 7-2 5th
Next Best: #3 Bridgetown 9-5 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #7 Perfect Officer 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Wekiva Wachee 15-1 3rd


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-5-9-10
3: 2-5-6
4: 5-7
5: 2-3-7

5x3x2x3 = 90 x .50 = $45

$0.50 Pick 4 (3-5-7-3) $125.50


6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Well-matched group. Super players should throw #2 Fastest Magician (20-1) in and everyone needs to be aware that #11 (AE) Bell by the Ridge (15-1) is an exotics player should he draw in (DOES GET IN)..

Best Value: #8 Pleasant Run 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Boots Ahead 5-2 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #3 War Hoot 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Freshman Dorm 6-1 2nd

.10 SUPER: Key 8 1st/2nd with 2-3-5-6-11 (1x5x4x3 [60] + 5x1x4x3 [60] = 120 x .10 = $12.00)


7th: NY-OC/C, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Nice Stuff 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Lady Rizzi 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Eden is Burning 3-1 WON ($7.60)
Super Add: #9 High Cry 12-1 8th


8th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Parent's Honor 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #6 Crepuscolo 6-1 7th
Next Best: #7 American Legend 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Crown the Chief 4-1 5th


9th: OC/C, 3+, 5.5f (DD)

Best Value: #5 Big Grandpa 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Bravo Romeo 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Take Down Two 8-1 WON ($16.80)
Super Add: #6 Saint of Saints 5-1 3rd


10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-IT

Happy to get a chance to finally get My Pal of Pals into a race after three miscues, but assignment is tough with number of front end parties signed on. Studart will have to try to stalk and go from up close for the City Zip colt to have laurel or board chance..

Best Value: #11 Mr. Algebra 8-1 WON ($22.40)
Most Likely: #6 Jim Jamm 6-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Lion Prince 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Tough All Day 15-1 8th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-4
8: 6-7-8
9: 1-4-5-6-7-8
10: 1-5-6-11

2x3x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 1m-T (.50 P5, P3, PL Pick All, DD)

$362k P5 C/O starts here..

Competitive, but get the feeling the top pair gets you through the P5 opener..

Most Likely: #1 Slammer Time 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Aqua Fever 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Why Not Be Perfect 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Deadly Catch 4-1 4th


2nd: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Early SCR of Strike Em' Out leaves this more wide open then I'd have hoped. Miller firster #13 Frank n' Teddy (5-1) gets in from the outside and may be clever in here with comebacker Racy Rosa getting OK marks for her return. Deep tix will have coverage of career maiden Silver Luna and hot drilling FTS Oscillator while Tina's Express, One Lucky Lady and Country Soul look like the "C" players for big budgets..

Best Value: #13 Frank n' Teddy 5-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Racy Rosa 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Silver Luna 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 Oscillator 5-1 WON ($11.40)


3rd: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Middle leg of the P5 and Opener of the P6. One peril of playing the Cali carry sequences is going against up against the syndicates that 'buy' races like this. If you're trying to get through on the cheap, Baffert regularly the right guy to single. As I told Privman Tuesday, Hoorayforhollywood dam Hollywood Story one of my favorite fillies..

Most Likely: #1 Hoorayforhollywood 2-1 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #6 Great Warrior 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 McKenzie's Way 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 El Gato Malo 3-1 3rd


4th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Top 3 should get you through though stretchout, lawn move and addition of Gomez makes Cinco de Mario interesting as well. Money Makin Sam, Aerial Artist and Buckleberry Grey may make their way on to big plays..

Most Likely: #3 Power Broker 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Lawyer Gabe 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Shining Copper 3-1 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Cinco de Mario 8-1 4th


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Again, a place where the big outfits will buy the field. Top 3 for me in both sequences and can't fault those on shoestring that take Priv's advice and single My Gal Candy..

Most Likely: #4 Inner Groove 2-1 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #5 Dilly's Dancer 6-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Demure Halo 4-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Around the Twig 12-1 3rd


<$50 P5 Play:

1: 1-7
2: 2-8-11-13
3: 1-3-4-6
4: 2-3-4
5: 4

2x4x4x3x1 = 96 x .50 = $48


6th: Cal-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Day's toughest group with 6 necessary (1-2-6-7-8-9) for survival with 2nd time starters (7-8-9) the focus..

Best Value: #7 Royal Capote 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 La Juliana 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #9 We Be Good 6-1 9th
Super Add: #2 Warren's Today 3-1 3rd


7th: Green Flash H., 3+, 5f-T (DD)

What a nice little stake. Lakerville seeks 3rd score of the stand for Barry Abrams & GoGo. Koast looks like he's best sprinting after OK Oceanside. Shrug & Sirocco Strike appear poised for real upset chances. Top 2 for P6, next 2 for back-ups and P4/P3's..

Most Likely: #7 Koast 9-5 4th
Next Best: #5 Lakerville 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Shrug 5-1 WON ($21.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Sirocco Strike 6-1 3rd


8th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

No picnic ending the P6/P4. Ever Alert a first time gelding per Privman..

Most Likely: #6 Our Merv 6-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Sedona Ridge 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Ever Alert 9-2 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Givimaway 3-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5 Play: #11 Everlasting Man 15-1 7th


<$200 P6 Play:

3: 1
4: 2-3-4
5: 4
6: 7-8-9
7: 5-7
8: 3-6-7-8

1x3x1x3x2x4 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 4-5
6: 1-2-7-8-9
7: 5-7
8: 3-4-6-7-8-9-11

2x5x2x7 = 140 x .50 = $70


Good luck!
Steve