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Old 09-26-2012, 10:16 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,503
Default 9/26: Belmont Park (1st-9th)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

She Be Bunny SCRATCHED! gave bankroll a nice lift at Spa when good try 2nd behind Serling push Corinzia for bulbous $550 exacta and looks to be alone on the lead again today. FTS ("first time starter") Neveranystress is by Midas Eyes who is still looking for his initial turf winner as a sire, but dam Capitess (Dignitas) got all her wins on the lawn for $108k+. Ramon sees fit to ride..

SCR of She Be Bunnyh leaves race devoid of a clear pacesetter. Who is reliable when something like this happens? Dominguez..

Most Likely: #7 Shewreckstheplace 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 English Notes 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Neveranystress 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Chat Me Up 5-1 WON ($7.60)


2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Western Grit 7-5 WON ($3.30)
Next Best: #6 Pleasure Principle 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Double Clap 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Huge Asset 10-1 5th


3rd: OC/S-ALW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Heidi's Holiday 7-5 3rd
Next Best: #3 Gee Linz 7-2 WON ($6.70)
Exotics Use: #5 The Party's Here 5-1 5th


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Chad Brown introduces Ostourah here, a full sister to Trinniberg, so as Andy Serling asked on ATR, why the bow on turf? Pompey-Klaravich firster Bricks and Clicks (Belgravia) is a half to Comma to the Top who has his share of success sprinting on poly and in fact participates Friday at SA in the inaugural Eddie D Stakes (former Morvich) down the hill. Second timer Speaking Role (Singspiel) from Motion-Team Valor is a half to SW turf router Silver Lord but stays short..

Most Likely: #3 Liquid Lunch 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Bricks and Clicks 12-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Jane of All Trades 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Ostourah 5-2 WON ($6.70)


5th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Very difficult sprint set with many quality animals coming in off poor efforts and nearly all dropping. Makes for a quandry..

Most Likely: #6 Shmooz Talker 4-1 WON ($6.50)
Next Best: #3 Regal Strike 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Wishful Tomcat 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Missle Motor 15-1 7th


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 5-6
3: 1-3
4: 2-3-4-5-7
5: 1-3-4-6-9

2x2x5x5 = 100 x .50 = $50

$0.50 P4 (5-3-1/2/8-6) Paid $41.50


6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Assume POE Talmadge Hill comes out having run Sunday..

Most Likely: #10 White Sangria 2-1 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #4 Hermosura 12-1 8th
Next Best: #1a Going Going Gone 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Scienzato 8-1 5th


7th: MSW, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Really interesting group..

Most Likely: #4 Tuckers Point 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Cape Glory 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Invocation 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Guilt Trip 4-1 WON ($11.60)


8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Good competitive bunch and any number of candidates can invade the pay slots..

Most Likely: #2 Krissy Kat 5-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Irish Wedding 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Court of Dreams 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Caution Sign 3-1 5th


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f-T

Slippery group with outside half of the field the source of likeliest success. AE #13 Twigazuri Straight (5-1) would be worthwhile if drawing in..

Most Likely: #11 Torment 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Vector 8-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Here Comes Drz 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Fly Ride 12-1 WON ($24.60)


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-10
7: 1-3-4-5-6
8: 2-3-4-8-12
9: 7-11-12

2x5x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-26-2012 at 05:11 PM.
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