9/30: Belmont Park (7th-10th); Santa Anita (5th-10th)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: 106th Matron (G2), 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Would love to be against Kauai Katie at 2-5, but unless Baby J engages her from the first jump, how does she not enjoy an easy time of it? Mott and Co. never figured out what ailed Seasoned Warrior in the Spinaway and expect a step back in the right direction here. Sweet Shirley May SCR'D ran big behind So Many Ways in the Spinaway, broke her maiden this surface and appears to be plenty tactical. 12-1 works..

Most Likely: #6 Kauai Katie 2-5 WON ($2.40)
Next Best: #5 Seasoned Warrior 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Unabashed 8-1 4th


8th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Outstanding set with 8 here within a length or two of each other. Considerate is the key overlay at 8-1 with 15-1 Kaleidocope, 12-1 Decennial and 10-1 Buleria having price appeal as well. You don't need me to tell you that the four ML faves (Princess Sinead, Scenario Analysis, Miss Suwanee, Ginny's Classic) merit respect. There's your 8. Have fun. No mixing and matching will be inappropriate..

Best Value: #11 Considerate 8-1: Should get ideal stalking voyage.. 6th
Next Best: #2 Princess Sinead 3-1: Trust Clement 1st NA; Gets pace.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Decennial 12-1: June BEL win came on less than firm.. WON ($20.80)
Super Add: #10 Miss Suwannee 4-1: Picks up Ramon for stretchout.. 9th


9th: 122nd Futurity (G2), 2yo, 6f (DD)

Superb match up for this storied event. Should be noted that Special Jo was flattered Saturday by Brave Dave's Sapling follow up, an 89 Beyer score at Calder in the Birdonawire. Special Jo should get plenty of lick to run at here with no shortage of speed lined up. Interesting that Romans opts to run well-regarded Gulfport here instead of Saturday's MSW..

Best Value: #2 Special Jo 6-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Weekend Hideaway 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Carried Interest 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 Handsome Jack 7-2 4th


10th: CLM, 3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF

This isn't easy having come off the turf..

Most Likely: #13 Big Grandpa 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #1 Fiscal Stimulus 7-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Metaurus 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #15 Catalan 5-2 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

Feels like it's worth singling Kauai Katie to get the chance for 2-3 prices in the last 3..

7: 6
8: 2-3-5-10-11
9: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7
10: 1-8-13-15

1x5x7x4 = 140 x .50 = $70

$0.50 Pick 4 (4,6/5/4/2,3,4,5,6,10,12,13,16) Paid $201.00



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Deep, tough set down the hill. I'm a sucker for Smokey Lonesome..

Most Likely: #3 Smokey Lonesome 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Honour the Deputy 12-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Circa'sgoldengear 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Red Defense 4-1 6th


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Expect Baffert and Miller firsters go to top of class here..

Most Likely: #9 Saturday Night Ride 3-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Dangerous Forest 9-2 6th
Next Best: #5 Golden Production 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Jumeima 12-1 5th


7th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Predictable scramble..

Most Likely: #8 My Summer Slew 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Royal F J 10-1 WON ($21.40)
Next Best: #9 Half Dome Dude 5-1 12th
Exotics Use: #5 Posse Power 15-1 5th


8th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Baffert filly imposing but if Big Tiz is ready off the 8 mo. break, she can win, especially with all the speed involved here..

Most Likely: #5 Distracting 9-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #8 Big Tiz 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Amy's Outburst 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Double Ante 6-1 3rd


9th: 1st John Henry Turf Ch. (G2), 3+, 10f-T (DD)

As with his Love and Pride Saturday, Pletcher fave Turbo Compressor figures to have everything his own way up front and getting back to more manageable 10 panels should be another plus..

Most Likely: #6 Turbo Compressor 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Casino Host 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Slim Shadey 4-1 WON ($8.40)
Super Add: #5 Interaction 6-1 3rd


10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 King Maya 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Bipartisan 15-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Fable Haven 12-1
Exotics Use: #5 Bull Time 15-1


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-5-8-9
8: 5-8
9: 3-5-6-8
10: 3-5-6-10

4x2x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64


Good luck!
Steve