10/17: Belmont Park ($27k C/O)

[Kasept]

Have had some good ideas over the past several weeks but continue to struggle mightily to connect meaningful multi-race dots. P5 opportunity at SA Sunday turned out to be exceedingly challenging and C/O sequences Wednesday in New York and Thursday at won't be any easier. Would like to tighten up the focus and fatten the wallet over the next couple weeks in advance of what is shaping up as a particularly terrific Breeders' Cup...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$27k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #3 Towering 8-5 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #1 Matt and Jesse 5-2 (B) WON ($10.40)
Best Value: #5 Current Aquasition 15-1 (C) 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Champagne City 15-1 (X) 6th


5th: CLM, 3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Same Old Wish 7-5 (A) WON ($6.30)
Best Value: #8 Moonhanger 8-1 (B) 5th
Next Best: #2 Sky Music 7-2 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Bomber Boy 5-2 (C) 2nd


<$35 P4 Play:

2: 5-6-7-9
3: 1
4: 1-3-5-6
5: 1-2-4-8

4x1x4x4 = 64 x .50 = $32

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,5,10,11/1/1/1) Paid $91.50


6th: CLM, 3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #16 Regal Strike 7-2 (A) 3rd
Next Best:#15 Orsonian 5-2 (A) WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Tazered 9-2 (C) 6th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Another challenging group, especially if you think Right One is vulnerable..

Most Likely: #3 Right One 8-5 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #9 Awakino Cat 10-1 (B) 6th
Next Best: #6 Unbridled Ocean 7-2 (B) 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Grand Rapport 6-1 (B) 4th

"C's": #7 Karakorum Legend (8-1) 3rd; #10 Joe's Blazing Aaron (12-1) WON


8th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #5 We Need V L T's 8-1 (A) 9th
Next Best: #6 Karakorum Elektra 7-2 (A) 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Eden Is Burning 5-2 (B) 2nd
Super Add: #1 Jitney 5-1 (C) 4th


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #5 Stormy Acre (A) WON ($2.70)


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 3
5: 1-2-8
6: 15-16
7: 3-5-6-9
8: 5-6-8
9: 5

1x3x2x4x3x1 = 72 x $2 = $144


@$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-15-16
7: 3-5-6-7-9-10
8: 5-6-8
9: 5

3x6x3x1 = $54


Good luck!
Steve