11/18: Aqueduct ($156k C/O); Hollywood ($170k C/O)

[Kasept]

After a bit of a drought, finally put together a big day Saturday that extended from Aqueduct and Delta in the afternoon into the Churchill evening card. Caught nice numbers at each venue with the NY highlight the day's final 3 races including $19 Barrel of Love's nightcap win. At Delta, the Princess was the difference maker with 25-1 Touch Maker and 11-1 Sittin At the Bar boosting the huge tri under 3-1 second choice Rose to Gold. The Churchill P5/P4 went insanely chalky, but Eoin Harty's $31.40 Liberty Girl kicked the night action off well and commenced a great P3. Fun day... Hope everyone did well. Multi-day C/O's at Aqueduct ($156k) and Hollywood ($170k) the obvious focus for Sunday!


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$155,839 P6 C/O starts here..

Weak group and you don't need me to remind you that these events can be plenty problematic. Hold your nose and use as many of the obvious ones as you can..

Most Likely: #8 Awesome Island 4-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #9 Azasecret 9-5 (A) 3rd
Best Value: #5 Sharpandwitty 10-1 (B) 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Thetrainwasgone 2-1 (B) WON ($5.80)
Super Add: #7 One Pretty Cat 6-1 (C) 5th


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Wave Theory 6-5 (A) WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #7 Atlantic Dream 3-1 (B) 2nd
Best Value: #1 Voodoo Tales 8-1 (C) 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Rock Show 12-1 (X) 7th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Lisalisalee 3-1 (A) 12th
Best Value: #1a (POE) Raven Rise 12-1 (B) 2nd
Next Best: #11 Graceful Meghan 7-2 (B) WON ($12.00)
Exotics Use: #8 China Gold 5-1 (C) 8th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Shakeira 5-2 (A) WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #7 Sex Appeal 10-1 (B) 4th
Next Best: #9 Geisha Gal 7-2 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Voodoo Tales 8-1 (C) 6th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (DD)

Some tough decisions required with this set with 4 excellent sprinters (Ninja Blade, Nathan's H Q, Beggatthyneighbor, Candyman E) returning from multi-month layoffs..

NOTE SCR'S: 4-7-11-13

Most Likely: #5 Rigby 3-1 (A) WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #9 Beggarthyneighbor 4-1 (A) 7th
Best Value: #1 Ninja Blade 6-1 (B) 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Wee Freudian 20-1 (C) 3rd


9th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #8 Fast and Strong 7-5 (A) 3rd
Next Best: #7 Katie Malone 6-1 (B) WON ($12.40)
Best Value: #10 Scienziato 10-1 (C) 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Grace's Neh Neh 30-1 (X) 8th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-5-8-9
5: 4-7
6: 1-9-11
7: 4
8: 5-9
9: 7-8

4x2x3x1x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192

$2 Pick 6 (1/3,4,11,12,13,14,15,16/11/3,4,12,13,14,15/4,5,7,11,13/7) Pays $2870.00

$2 Pick 6 (1/3,4,11,12,13,14,15,16/11/3,4,12,13,14,15/4,5,7,11,13/7) Paid $34.00 (5OF6) x 8 = $272.00


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-8-9-11
7: 4-7-9
8: 1-5-9-10
9: 7-8-10

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (11/3,4,12,13,14,15/4,5,7,11,13/7) Paid $166.00



HOLLYWOOD


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$155,839 P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #10 Low Gear Power 5-2 (A) WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #1 Nonsense 20-1 (B) 8th
Next Best: #4 Power Series 6-1 (C) 2nd
Exotics Use:


5th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Inflamed Spirit 5-2 (A) 5th
Best Value: #2 I'm Wide Awake 5-1 (B) 6th
Next Best: #4 Dr. Spin 7-2 (B) 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Forest Boy 6-1 (C) 4th


6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Four here run back off claims..

Most Likely: #4 Hurricane Lake 7-2 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #1 Rock This Way 12-1 (B) WON ($33.80)
Next Best: #3 Arraignment 4-1 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Megastar 3-1 (B) 5th


7th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Greeley Awesome 8-1 (A) 3rd
Next Best: #6 Monterey Tale 5-1 (B) 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Money Makin Sam 5-1 (C) 6th
Super Add: #5 Lico 6-1 (C) 2nd


8th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Oscillator 4-1 (A) 3rd
Best Value: #8 Twirlybird 8-1 (A) 7th
Next Best: #9 Christmas Candy 7-2 (B) WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Miss Lady Ellen 3-1 (B) 5th


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Marv 7-2 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #10 Unusual Mystery 9-2 (A) WON ($14.00)
Best Value: #7 Moonlight Meteor 15-1 (B) -
Exotics Use: #15 Suancesong 5-1 (C) 3rd


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1-10
5: 1-2-4
6: 4
7: 3-6
8: 4-8
9: 5-7-10

2x3x1x2x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-4-5
7: 3-6-7
8: 1-4-8-9
9: 5-7-10

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve