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Old 03-21-2013, 07:38 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,487
Default 3/21: Aqueduct ($15k C/O); Santa Anita (4th-8th)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$15k P6 C/O starts here..

Very tricky start to the P6 sequence with sackful of in-n-out types. Superstitious Love is 2 lengths faster than the rest of the field early and has potential to be loose and steal it..

Best Value: #5 Superstitious Love 5-1 WON ($9.90)
Next Best: #1 Smarty Bull 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Salvar 7-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Born Flirt 12-1 DNF-Clipped heels, lost rider


5th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 B Shanny 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Cat in the Forest 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Hackleton 3-1 WON ($7.20)


6th: OC/S-ALW, 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Not sure what the appeal of Dynamic Host is at the short price..

Most Likely: #2 Best Actor 6-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Metaurus 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Dynamic Host 8-5 WON ($4.50)
Exotics Use: #5 Drink With Pride 5-2 3rd


7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Going to be interesting to see who makes the lead. Group has potential to get spirited up front but also for riders to look at each other out of the gate. Channing Hill gets to survey everything from outside and react accordingly..

Most Likely: #8 Verbosity 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Isn'tlovejustgrand 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Obviously Tuesday 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Toque 8-1 2nd


8th: Compelling Word-NY, 4+, 1m (DD)

Pretty fun group with 35 wins -- half by Saginaw -- between them..

Most Likely: #1 Saginaw 7-5 WON-DH ($2.70)
Next Best: #4 Johannesburg Smile 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Socialsaul 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Mine Over Matter 5-1 4th


9th: NY-MDN CLM ($16k), F&M-3+, 6f

Most Likely: #7 Westerday 3-1 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #8 Ms. True Way 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Gracie Too 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Baal Perazim 12-1 3rd


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1-5-7
5: 5
6: 2-4-8
7: 8
8: 1-4
9: 4-5-7-8

3x1x3x1x2x4 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-4-5-6-8
7: 8
8: 1-2-4
9: 4-5-7-8

6x1x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Wittgenstein 7-2 WON ($12.40)
Best Value: #5 Sweet Red Cat 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Incredible Journey 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Branding 5-2 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

5: ALL (4-$20.40)
6: 1-2-5-6
7: 5 ($5.40)
8: 1-4-7

8x4x1x3 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 03-21-2013 at 07:32 PM.
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