4/25: Keeneland (5th-9th)

[Kasept]

Have not had much chance to dig in at Keeneland this spring, but heading there this afternoon for nice feature as meet draws towards its' conclusion..


KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: S/ALW, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Deep starter group of soph fillies. May need nearly half of them to get through first leg of the quintet..

Most Likely: #9 Excessiveness 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #6 Electro Peg 6-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Exotic Mischief 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 The Business 8-1 2nd


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Discussed this heat with LoPresti Tuesday with his Mingun mare Gunforhome returning as a 5yo. Well matched group where separating those with upside from career wheel-spinners is the key. For instance, has the light come on for Flower Mart?

Most Likely: #6 Prissy 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #3 Flower Mart 5-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Cry War Eagle 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 North by Northlite 4-1 2nd


7th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Ooof.. What to make of these? Key to the late PX's with firsters and second timers making it nearly impossible to take a hold with confidence. When Shug starts them at 6f, he's getting in a start. When he opens them at 7f, they generally run well. Developer added a blowout oover the strip Wednesday and at 8-1 he's worth keying up and down..

Most Likely: #5 Developer 8-1 WON ($26.00)
Next Best: #11 Coaches Favorite 6-1 8th
Best Value: #2 Leadem in Ken 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Wind of Bosphorus 3-1 5th


8th: 52nd Bewitch (G3), F&M-4+, 12f-T (DD)

Predictably nice set..

Most Likely: #8 Scampering 9-2 7th
Best Value: #4 Alaura Michele 15-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Regalo Mia 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Gathering 3-1 9th
Super Add: #2 Kissable 6-1 4th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (Super Hi-5)

Hard to argue with viability of 6-5 Ramsey entry (Ward/Maker), but there are a few here well within range at attractive numbers. Not so cut & dry despite dominance of the record-smashing meet leaders..

Most Likely: #1e Ramsey entry 6-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #4 Arch of Titus 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Responsive Eye 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Zane 6-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #10 Impetuous Power 15-1 5th

$1 Super High Five (1-2-4-5-10) $1,212.60


<$50 P5 Play:

5: 6-9-11
6: 1-3-6-8
7: 5
8: 2-4-5-8-9
9: 1-4

3x4x1x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60

$0.50 Pick 5 (1/7/9/10-6-5-11-1/8) $16.70 x 5 = $83.50 (4 correct)


<$100 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-6-8
7: 2-5-11
8: 2-4-5-8-9
9: 1-4-5

4x3x5x3 = 180 x .50 = $90


Good luck!
Steve