5/11: Belmont Park (6th-10th); Hollywood Park (6th-9th)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

As discussed with Nick Tammaro, some serious pedigrees on view here including High Five Again (full to Awesome Feather); Encode (half to Algorithims, Justin Phillip and Successful Mission); Howie's Tiz (full to Rush Now)..

Most Likely: #2 Town Extension 7-2 6th
Next Best: #1 Encode 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Howie's Tiz 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Bad Hombre 3-1 WON ($8.50)


7th: NY-MDN CLM ($50k), 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Joe Alan 7-2 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #6 Joe Mooch 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Gold Buffalo 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Thingamajigger 12-1 5th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Very good group of state breds here with at least 5 having opportunity. Can Quiet Power be counted on to run another 'A' race? He's frequently reacted to big tries and has not been able to impact NY-ALW company previously..

Most Likely: #4 Irish Moon 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Quiet Power 6-5 3rd
Best Value: #1 Greeley's Law 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Amberjack 7-2 WON ($4.90)
Super Add: #3 Ego Friendly 8-1 5th

<$5 DIME SUPER PLAY: 2-4 with 1-2-4 with 1-2-3-4-9 with 1-2-3-4-9 (2x2x3x4 = 48 x .10 = $4.80)


9th: 59th Peter Pan (G2), 9f (DD)

Day's most interesting race pits 11 sophs in audition for Belmont Stakes 4 weeks hence. A lot of ways to go here with any number of questions needing to be answered: How overbet will Incognito (5-1) & Freedom Child (12-1) be off trouble lines in respective last starts? Can Bay Shore winner Declan's Warrior (4-1) stretch out the additional quarter mile? Is NY bred Go Get the Basil (20-1) just a $50k claimer or is nose beat 2 back a race he can reproduce today? Has My Name Is Michael (10-1) wanted the main track all along? How much improvement can we expect from 6/4-2-0 private purchase Battier (8-1) SCRATCHED with the move to Pletcher? Is Andy Serling wearing a new Boss suit?

Most Likely: #10 Incognito 5-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Declan's Warrior Late SCRATCH (2:00pm)
Best Value: #9 Go Get the Basil 20-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Freedom Child 12-1 WON ($9.20)


10th: MDN CLM ($25k), 3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #15 Derby Watch 7-2 WON ($11.40)
Next Best: #14 Economic Forecast 2-1 5th
Best Value: #16 Dapper Draper Late SCRATCH (2:00pm)
Exotics Use: #6 Freight 4-1 3rd


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-6
8: 2-4
9: 1-2-4-5-7-9-10
10: 14-15

3x2x7x2 = 84 x .50 = $42



HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: 1st Came Home, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Nothing to bet here, but plenty to see. Let Em Shine and Treasury Bill are both headed to bigger things..

Most Likely: #1 Let Em Shine 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #3 Tresury Bill 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Belvin 7-2 4th


6th: 45th Senorita (G3), 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Sophomore filly turf division terrific on both coasts. Can't get past Scarlet Strike unfortunately though the next 4-5 are well within striking distance. Interesting that import Charlie Em lures Gomez..

Most Likely: #8 Scarlet Strike 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Lilbourne Eliza 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Disko Dasko 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Charlie Em 6-1 WON ($21.40)


7th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Some pedigrees of note here with debuting Simon Says Go a half to Win Willy and overdue Syndicated a half to Ultimate Eagle..

Most Likely: #6 A Red Tie Day 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Spectrus 15-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Stormin Late 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Major Affair 3-1 4th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-T (DD)

Good set..

Most Likely: #7 Sirocco Strike 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 No Silent 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #1 Royal F J 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Innocent Man 4-1 6th


9th: MDN CLM ($20k), 3+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Billy Win 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #13 The Gatekeeper 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Dark Timbers 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #15 Majestic Desert 15-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-4-7-8
7: 2-4-6-7
8: 1-2-7
9: 2-3-13

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve