8/7: Saratoga (Day 17-NYSS); Del Mar (G2 Sorrento; $265k C/O)

[Kasept]

Closed out 3rd week of Spa session with modest early P4 hit for $300 on $1 try ($72), but single of dreadful 1-1 Starsilhouette in late quad nightcap left door open on $48 attempt. Weather appears slightly iffy at this hour with 50-50 t-storm possibilities as we start Week 4 and approach meet's mid-point. At Del Mar, a challenging sequence is in the offing on the 3rd straight Wednesday carryover scenario, this one a $265k pot that should reach $1.5MM by the 6:09pm ET post of race 3.


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Fascinating set of all firsters in opener with no shortage of slick debut barns sending well bred types. Mack Miller (Pletcher/Dogwood) dropped from Satish Sanan's productive mare Raspberry Eggcream (Rothko, Kinsey, etc.) and was a $130k standout at OBS March. More Than Classic goes for Wesley Ward and has had a string of sharp half miles coming in. Bluegrass Hall/Calumet homebred All Cash is ideally born for lawn being by English Channel out of a Dynaformer mare, but likely needs added distance. Catfive (Smart Strike) was bred by Don Adam (Courtland Farm) o/o SW Cat Charmer, but sent through ring and fetched but $3,000 as a KEE Sept yearling. Canani barn has been in some turmoil upstate. Little Boss bows for Vaccarezza/Romans and is bred to win early (Street Boss). War Hawk (War Front) brought $300k from Jerry Durant and has worked steadily for Asmussen..

Most Likely: #2 Mack Miller 5-2 5th
Next Best: #7 War Hawk 3-1 7th
Best Value: #3 More Than Classic 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Belly of the Whale 6-1 WON ($11.20)


2nd: Claramount-NY, 3yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Marriedtothemusic exploded here 2 weeks ago and repeat wires this. C. Brown turnback Bond Vigilante needs clever ride by J. Ortiz from rail..

Most Likely: #4 Marriedtothemusic 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Bond Vigilante 9-5 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Chapman 5-1 3rd


3rd: NY-MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, f (P3, DD)

Bit of a quagmire here with 5 of 9 cutting back in distance and 4 dropping down from NY-MSW company..

Most Likely: #1 Mononoke 5-2 5th
Best Value: #6 Scienzato 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Ampa's Girl 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Rufus Ruth 5-1 6th


4th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Drum Roll 6-1 WON ($15.20)
Next Best: #8 Vee's Accolade 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Mighty Ian 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Favorite Uncle 5-2 7th


5th: NYSS-11th Cab Calloway, 3yo, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 West Hills Giant 7-5 WON-Elevated on DQ ($3.20)
Next Best: #5 Captain Gaughen 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Madam I'm Adam 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Old Pal of Mine 7-2 4th


<$75/$50/$25 P4 Plays:

2: 1-4 (2-3)
3: 1 (4-6-7-8-9)
4: 1-4-7-8
5: 2

Wide: 4x6x4x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
Press: 2x1x4x1 = 8 x $3 = $24


6th: MCLM/$35k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Everyone that's had My Cousin Zinny has wanted to get her on the grass and good 1st/claim with C. Englehart a good time to try at bonus mutuel..

Best Value: #7 My Cousin Zinny 12-1 9th
Next Best: #1 So Royal 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Blue Ballerina 7-2 5th
Super Add: #8 Pan Dulce 5-1 WON ($12.20)


7th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Pace should be square here and in a fairly well-matched group, let's put ourselves in the hands of the 4 best turf riders..

Most Likely: #9 Temper in Command 7-2 9th
Next Best: #1 Roses for Romney 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Downtown Hottie 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Mah Jong Maddnes 8-1 6th


8th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Found this set of in/outers a bit confusing..

Most Likely: #6 Taproot 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Terminus 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Thinking of Girls 9-5 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Assured Victory 6-1 5th


9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Always a pleasure to see the venerable Ravalo (53/17-11-10; $1.3MM) in the PP's..

Most Likely: #7 Console 2-1 WON ($5.50)
Best Value: #1 SCR
Exotics Use: #6 Palace 6-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Ravalo 10-1 3rd


10th: MCLM/$25k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Oy. Grab bag finale..

Most Likely: #8 Won'tualwayswonder 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Solo Approach 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Shortcoming 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Professor Chaos 12-1 WON ($10.20)


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-9
8: 2-4-5-6
9: 1/SCR-7
10: 1-2-3-5-8-10

2x4x2x6 = 96 x .50 = $48



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$256k C/O starts here..

Best Value: #3 Queen of the Hill 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Ghost N Your Heart 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Addendum 5-2 5th
Super Add: #6 Spring Breeze 4-1 WON ($8.60)


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Clenor 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #5 Quick Navigator 15-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Sierra Electrica 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Exotic Behavior 4-1 3rd


5th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Bad feeling set..

Most Likely: #3 Tribal Tattoo 4-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Slewthatflew 3-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Wickedly Sassy Late SCR
Exotics Use: #8 Pining Play 7-2 7th


6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Ismene 5-2 8th
Next Best: #9 Minds Eyes 3-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Conkate 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Charm the Maker 6-1 5th


7th: Sorrento (G2), 2yo-F, 6.5f (DD)

This is a nicely matched group..

Most Likely: #5 Stop Smiling 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Conkave 3-1 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #1 Side Letter 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 She's a Tiger 5-2 2nd


8th: Cal-MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Sri's Red 9-2 10th
Next Best: #8 Suances Pride 7-2 WON ($11.00)
Best Value: #4 That's a Bingo 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Lakeside Bride 5-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Warren's Dixi Bell 15-1 7th


<$150 P6 Play:

3: 2-3-6-7
4: 1
5: 3
6: 2-9
7: 1-2-5
8: 4-8-10

4x1x1x2x3x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75/$50 P4 Plays:

5: 3-11
6: 2-6-9
7: 1-2-4 (3-5)
8: 4-5-8-10-11

2x3x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
2x3x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve