9/8: Belmont Park ($43k C/O)

[Kasept]

Mystery Tour of racetracks hit its' 4th stop in 6 days Saturday with Belmont opener on the heels of Saratoga (Mon.) and Del Mar (Wed.) closures and Churchill (Fri.) opener. Inaugural New York P5 went nicely with a $195 return off the $45 punch as the wager took a solid toehold immediately with a $238k pool. The day produced a number of productive thoughts throughout, including favorite angles like Clement firsters over a mile (7th: $13.00 Bikini Beauty) and open turf route (9th: $762 triple through $25.20 Unprecedented). The day rolled on beyond Belmont with Kentucky Downs, Arlington, Louisiana Downs and Churchill extended the action deep into the evening. Hope everyone did well! $43k carryover at Belmont for day two. "Loose on the Lead" 10-11a so not a lot of time for details beyond the tabs..


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MCLM/$50k, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Feels like a much tougher P5 today than Saturday. Watch Double probable prices for clues in the 2 maiden events that start the sequence..

Most Likely: #3 From the Point 5-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Executive Office 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Geaux Mets 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Coviello 6-1 3rd


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

No one here would shock, but you may just need to stand with the 3 ML faves for austerity purposes..

Most Likely: #5 Rebranded 5-2
Best Value: #2 Long Water 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Mosler 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Master Lightening 10-1 2nd


3rd: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Sweet Maxine 5-2 WON ($6.90)
Best Value: #4 L B's Expression 5-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Sweet Hot Toddy 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Kitty Panda 3-1 4th


4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Color Me Kitten is a wire candidate..

Best Value: #2 Color Me Kitten 7-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Revealing Moment 1-1 WON ($2.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Group Therapy 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Blue Sixty Four 15-1 6th


5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Challenging end to P5 and start of carryover sequence. 5-6-8-10-11-12 appear the players..

$43k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #5 A Better Tomorrow 4-1 7th
Best Value: #11 Ocala Jim 15-1 WON ($38.60)
Next Best: #10 Mister Dooley 6-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Sunnysider 7-2 5th


<$75 P5 Play:

1: 1-2-3-4
2: 2-5
3: 4-6-8
4: 2-4
5: 5-10-11

4x2x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-3-5
3: 4-6-7-8
4: 2-4
5: 5-10-11

4x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48

$0.50 Pick 4 (3/8/4/11) Paid $350.25


6th: MCLM/$25k, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

St. Sincere a serious single consider with wire opp..

Most Likely: #4 St. Sincere 3-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Shortcoming 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 McIlroy 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Fullcontrol 15-1 10th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Crescent 3-1 12th
Best Value: #4 Otoy 12-1 WON ($21.80)
Next Best: #6 Ichiban Warrior 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Therios 6-1 9th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Red Vine 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Ghost Hunter 3-1 9th
Best Value: #1 Master Wesley 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Yellow Mountain 8-1 7th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Kiss Me Lola 7-2 9th
Best Value: #8 Lawless Miss 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Sustained 3-1 WON ($8.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Yes It's Pink 4-1 3rd


10th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #2 Orino 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Wishingonadream 20-1 10th
Next Best: #10 Wish Exultation 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Noosh's Tale 4-1 6th


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 5-6-8-10-11-12
6: 4
7: 8
8: 1-2-9
9: 1-2-7-8
10: 2

6x1x1x3x4x1 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-6-8
8: 1-2-9
9: 1-2-7-8
10: 2-5-7-10

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve