11/14: Aqueduct ($72k DBL C/O)

[Kasept]

Stewards' call in 8th contributed mightily towards double carryover for Thursday as Merry Meadow was punitively separated from the win after a slight squeeze of heavily favored Ultimate Shopper in deep stretch. The marginally understandable -- but unnecessary -- call elevated the least deserving My Place into the win, in the kind of situation that annoys more players than it placates. C/O of nearly $73k results.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Boss Man a strong key but Tony D has good turf dam going for him trying lawn first time..

Most Likely: #10 Boss Man 5-2 (A) 6th
Best Value: #3 Tony D 15-1 (B) 8th
Next Best: #8 Armature 5-1 (C) 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Spartiatis 15-1 (X) 9th


5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Tricky Slam 3-1 (A) 3rd
Next Best: #2 Terrific Trio 7-2 (B) 2nd
Best Value: #5 The Big Deluxe 12-1 (C) WON ($19.80)
Exotics Use: #6 Pepe 12-1 (X) 5th


6th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Confusing group. Stakes dropper Dreaming of Cara intrigues but she hasn't won in ages. Seems like she'll get a pace to close in to. Saturday Nthe Park exits the crazy tough restricted Dream Rush that featured no less than Toasting, Merry Meadow and Asiya. Bat Masterson's Dulcedumbre shows up here off breakthrough maiden win at LRL traveling the same one turn mile. Savvy Goldberg had choices with this Candy Ride miss and obviously is shooting for the big purse. Drops weight off the diploma to boot..

Best Value: #7 Dolcedumbre 12-1 (A) 4th
Next Best: #8 Tahoe Tigress 7-2 (B) WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Dreaming of Cara 5-1 (B) 3rd
Super Add: #1 My Sparky 3-1 (C) 5th


7th: CLM, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Very deep and open group led by class dropping Hailstone (with 5# Franco) and Indy Scent who adds Rosario. Screenplay -- reunited with Covello/Terranova -- a big chance if drawing in. Bartletts SCR'D has won on lawn and spent productive summer on the PID Tapeta. Could potentially get loose up front if unchallenged..

Most Likely: #11 Screenplay 7-2 (A) WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #8 Hailstone 3-1 (B) 3rd
Best Value: #6 Amber Coast 8-1 (B) 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Indy Scent 12-1 (C) 7th


8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Sliver and Onions 2-1 (A) WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #8 Nevada Kid 9-2 (B) 2nd
Next Best: #5 Freeride 3-1 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Third Knight 8-1 (C) 5th


9th: MCLM/$35k, 2yo, 8.5f-T

SCR's didn't make this much easier..

Best Value: #4 Billypaysthebills 6-1 (A) DH-2nd
Next Best: #2 Backstretch Lady 6-1 (B) WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #7 Cadaques 5-1 (B) 5th
Super Add: #1 Ransom Paid 8-1 (C) DH-2nd


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 10
5: 1-2
6: 3-7-8
7: 3-6-8-11
8: 4
9: 2-4-7

1x2x3x4x1x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-7-8
7: 3-6-8-11
8: 4-8
9: 1-2-4-7

3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

$0.50 Pick 4 (8,9/2,4,7,9,11,12/4/2,5,6,9,13,14) Paid $115.75


Good luck!
Steve