1/20: Aqueduct ($23k C/O); Santa Anita ($94k C/O)

[Kasept]

Came away from Saturday feeling like an opportunity was missed as hits at Aqueduct ($96) and Santa Anita ($142) and puny GP conso ($10) fell $35 short of squaring the total investments on multis. Having $19.20 Star Channel and $37.40 Charlie A as "C's" on the Gulfstream P5 was two too many, as one needed to be an "A" or both "B's" to catch the $1,323 P5 and/or $378 P4 prizes. Hope everyone did well. MLK Holiday Monday provides some terrific racing and carryovers at both Aqueduct (Jimmy Winkfield) and Santa Anita (San Pedro). The Smarty Jones anchors the Oaklawn card.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 4+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

No surprises here as the favorites stand out. Distorted Dream (6-1) offers a little value and will be in front early, but note Frame adds blinkers for the stretchout and could prompt or duel..

Most Likely: #5 King of Broadway 8-5 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #1 Winter Games 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Frame 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Distorted Dream 6-1 5th


5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (G/S, P3, DD)

Esler barn going very well but Taylor Jagger appears a vulnerable 5-2 favorite in a well matched field. Levine sends Andy Berg's $8k Chicago discovery Silver Crush whose recent races more than good enough for this. Mess in a Dress returns to claiming ranks and her races for $20-25k fit well. Could get loose under bug girl Rice who has been holding her own. Note also Araya's 2nd runner, C C's Pride, owns win at PEN 10/18 that would impact here. Tough spot in challenging P6..

Most Likely: #4 Silver Crush 3-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Mess in a Dress 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Seven Dreams 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Coast of Sangria 6-1 2nd


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Another hotbed of possibilities with slightly shaky fave in last out (96 hours ago) MDN-breaker Lunar Surge. Belle Gallatney goes first off the claim by Rodriguez..

Most Likely: #5 Belle Gallantey 4-1 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #2 Sally's Dream 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Lunar Surge 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Kara's Match Point 8-1 3rd


7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Dawly 7-2 WON ($9.70)
Best Value: #5 Irsaal 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Sliver and Onions 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Two Is to Many 4-1 8th


8th: 30th Jimmy Winkfield, 3yo, 6f (DD)

Fun edition of this MLK Day standard honoring the remarkable Winkfield. If you've not read 'Wink' by the equally fascinating Ed Hotaling, (who passed away last year), order it today: http://www.amazon.com/Wink-Incredibl...0223457&sr=1-2

Most Likely: #6 Hot Heir Skier 5-2 WON ($7.50)
Next Best: #3 Oliver Zip 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Cavu 5-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Charleymillionaire 5-1 3rd


9th: MCLM/$16k, 3yo, 6f

Most Likely: #4 Shylock 2-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Gabriel's Flame 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Cuckoo House 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Television Too 8-1 4th


<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $2.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 6 with 4 - $8.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 3 with 4 - $4.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 7 -$4.00

A's with Two B's

8 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $16.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 6 with 4 - $16.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 3 with 4 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 7 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 6 with 4 -$16.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 1 with 3 with 4 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 7 - $8.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 1 with 2,5 with 6 with 4 - $4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 1 with 1 with 3 with 4 - $2.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 1 with 1 with 6 with 7 - $2.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 3 with 4 - $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 6 with 7 - $8.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 3 with 7 - $4.00

A's with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 6 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $4.00
24 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 1,8 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $8.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 3 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $2.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 5 with 4 - $4.00
27 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 8 - $4.00

Total: $176.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 4 - $6.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 4 - $12.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 4,5 with 4 - $6.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 7 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,2,5 with 4,5 with 4 - $6.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 7 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 4,5 with 7 - $3.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 4 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6,7 with 3,6 with 4 - $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 1 with 4 - $1.50
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 8 - $3.00

Total: $58.50



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Bury Pacer 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Big Medicine Man 5-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Cronut 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 On Draft 8-1 7th


5th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P3)

Best Value: #2 Half Dome Dude 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Sammy's a Runnin' 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Senator Bob 7-2 5th
Super Add: #9 Dunmore East 6-1 WON ($11.60)


6th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

4-11 are the likelies, 1-2-12 the interesting prices..

Most Likely: #11 Dixieland Blues 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Insideondoutside 7-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Relentless Heat 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Distort This 8-1 7th


7th: Cal-MSW, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Yana 3-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Capers N Wine 7-2 10th
Best Value: #5 More Complexity 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #14 Warrenspoweroflove 6-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Wonderful Lie 12-1 WON ($36.40)


8th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Pulpit's Express 7-2 8th
Best Value: #5 Candy's Sunrise 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Mr. Ornery 8-1 WON ($15.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Pulla Train 6-1 12th


9th: MCLM/$30k, 3yo-F, 7f (Super Hi-5)

Ugly end to the sequences..

Most Likely: #7 Yesterday Sings 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Perched 9-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Mean Emma Jean 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Katy's Plum 7-2 6th
Super Add: #12 Singinthelast 4-1 7th


<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $4.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 5,11 with 7 with 7 - $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 4,5 with 7 - $8.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 8 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 11 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4 with 5,11 with 7 with 7 - $4.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 4,5 with 7 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 8 - $2.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 5,11 with 7 with 7 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 3 with 4,5 with 7 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 3 with 7 with 8 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 5,11 with 4,5 with 7 - $16.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 5,11 with 7 with 8 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 4,5 with 8 - $8.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 7,9 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 7 -$4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 1,3,9 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $12.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 1,2,12 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $12.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 9,14 with 7 with 7 - $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 13 with 7 - $4.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 2,9,12 - $12.00

Total: $146.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $12.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 5,11 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 4 with 7,8 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 5,7 with 2,9 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 5,11 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3 with 4 with 7,8 - $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3 with 5,7 with 2,9 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 5,11 with 4 with 7,8 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 5,11 with 5,7 with 2,9 - $8.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 4 with 2,9 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6,12 with 3 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 9,14 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 9,11,12 with 7,8 - $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 5,7 with 6,12 - $4.00

Total: $73.00



Good luck!
Steve