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07-30-2014, 07:38 AM
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7/30: Saratoga (Day 11; Coronation Cup)
SARATOGA RACE COURSE
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: OC/N2L, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Harrods Creek 7-2 6th Next Best: #2 Virsito 2-1 WON ($9.30) Best Value: #4 Bodie Island 10-1 3rd Exotics Use: #1e Naylor Ownership entry 5-2 2nd/7th 2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD) Weak group.. You can easily anticipate a staggerfest late.. Best Value: #6 Bella Fachi 6-1 2nd Next Best: #3 On a Snowy Evening 5-1 4th Exotics Use: #2 Kelly's Prize 5-2 3rd Super Add: #5 Brandini 3-1 WON ($9.20) 3rd: NY-ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) More than enough pace to allow Willet to scoop them up late. Atlantic's Smile working brilliantly for 2nd start under Baker's watch and though improvement needed yet from 4yo debut, half sis of Johannesburg Smile has the upside to warrant confidence. Galiana nipped Winning Image at DEL, but has reacted after big efforts previously and regression more likely than the improvement needed to rebuff Willet.. Most Likely: #6 Willet 7-5 WON ($3.10) Best Value: #3 Atlantic's Smile 8-1 5th Next Best: #4 Galiana 2-1 3rd 4th: CLM, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Rock Me Mama 5-2 WON ($4.10) Next Best: #5 Dash to the Flash 2-1 4th Exotics Use: #7 Alaskan Bird 8-1 3rd Super Add: #4 Da Wildcat Girl 4-1 2nd 5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P6, P3, DD) Tony Dutrow rolling and will be intriguing to see if he SCR's Oohlala to get Zo Zo in or runs both if Zo Zo should draw in on her own. Note that rebuilding Neal Terracciano sends hot-drilling Nonna Jo (Majestic Warrior) here after her half sister Bella Fachi (FuPeg) looks for her diploma in the 2nd! Next Best: #8 First Charmer 7-2 4th Best Value: #2 Nonna Jo 5-1 WON ($8.00) Exotics Use: #6 Oohlala 3-1 7th Super Add: #3 Yourcreditisgood 10-1 5th 6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Mama Zee 2-1 2nd Best Value: #5 My Donna Jean 8-1 7th Next Best: #3 My Tee Time 3-1 6th Exotics Use: #8 Kelwynne 4-1 4th P5/P4 Grid/Plays: 1: 3-6 (A), 2-5 (B), 1-4 (C) 2: 6 (A), -- (B), -- (C) 3: 3-4 (A), 5-7 (B), -- (C) 4: 8 (A), 2-3-6 (B), 1-7 (C) 5: 1 (A), 3-5-8 (B), -- (C) All A Entries 1 $1.00 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 1 - $4.00 A's with One B 2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 1 - $2.00 3 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 4,7 with 8 with 1 - $2.00 4 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 2,3,6 with 1 - $6.00 5 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 3,5,8 - $6.00 A's with Two B's 6 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5 with 6 with 4,7 with 8 with 1 - $2.00 7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5 with 6 with 3,5 with 2,3,6 with 1 - $6.00 8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 3,5,8 - $6.00 9 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 4,7 with 2,3,6 with 1 - $6.00 10 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 4,7 with 8 with 3,5,8 - $6.00 11 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 2,3,6 with 3,5,8 - $18.00 A's with One C 12 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 1 - $2.00 13 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 1,7 with 1 - $4.00 Total: $70.00 7th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD) Tough start to late quad with whole field is separated by about 5 lengths.. Best Value: #8 Wine Burglar 4-1 2nd Next Best: #7 Sundae School 3-1 5th Exotics Use: #4 Ear D' Rhythm 7-2 WON ($7.80) Super Add: #3 Benny's Bullet 5-1 6th 8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD) Who says today's game can't fill allowance races? Excellent, deep group.. Most Likely: #6 La Madrina 7-2 WON ($4.20) Best Value: #7 Dear Mama 8-1 8th Next Best: #11 Love You Loads 6-1 5th Exotics Use: #5 Eddy Gourmet 15-1 3rd 9th: 3rd Coronation Cup, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (DD) Plenty of speed lined up here and 'first North America' Stars Above Me may overwhelm these. We won't be getting 5-1 though.. Most Likely: #7 STARS ABOVE ME 5-1 WON ($6.50) Best Value: #5 Scatcapade 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #10 Elena Strike 4-1 5th Super Add: #3 Burn Control 6-1 3rd 10th: MSW, 3+, 1m-IT Fascinating finale that features some appropriate pedigrees for lawn moves and career debuts. #13 Jimmy Soul draws in and complicates things even more.. Most Likely: #11 Candir 7-2 WON ($10.80) Next Best: #5 Same As 5-1 3rd Best Value: #2 All the Way 20-1 5th Exotics Use: #13 Jimmy Soul 3-1 10th <$65 P4 Play/Grid: 7: 7-8 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-6 (C) 8: 6 (A), 5-7-11 (B), 3-8-10 (C) 9: 7 (A), 5 (B), 3-10 (C) 10: 5-11 (A), 2-13 (B), 8 (C) All A Entries 1 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 5,11 - $4.00 A's with One B 2 $1.00 pick P4: 3,4 with 6 with 7 with 5,11 - $4.00 $1.00 Pick 4 (1,4/6/2,4,7,9/11) Paid $212.25 3 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 5,7,11 with 7 with 5,11 - $12.00 4 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 5 with 5,11 - $4.00 5 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 2,13 - $4.00 A's with Two B's 6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 5,7,11 with 7 with 5,11 - $6.00 7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 6 with 5 with 5,11 - $2.00 8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 6 with 7 with 2,13 - $2.00 9 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 5,7,11 with 5 with 5,11 - $6.00 10 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 5,7,11 with 7 with 2,13 - $6.00 11 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 5 with 2,13 - $2.00 A's with One C 12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 6 with 7 with 5,11 - $2.00 13 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,8,10 with 7 with 5,11 - $6.00 14 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 3,10 with 5,11 - $4.00 15 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 8 - $1.00 Total: $65.00 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 07-30-2014 at 06:23 PM. 
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