8/17: Saratoga (Sword Dancer; Alydar)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Queen's Parade 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #7 Sky Bird 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Antrim Collen 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Quarla 5-1 7th


2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Matching Skies 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Go Olivia Go 5-2 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Love to Score 4-1 4th


3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Eskenformoney 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sweet Maya 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Cool Comfort 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Tammy the Torpedo 6-1 WON ($6.20)


4th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+,

Most Likely: #4 House Rules 8-5 WON ($3.50)
Next Best: #1 Unbridledexplosion 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Madaket Millie 5-2 6th
Super Add: #2 She's Justified 15-1 4th


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Back Flip 3-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Top Decile 8-1 WON ($8.20)
Next Best: #2 Ring Knocker 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Divine Praises 6-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 9 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-5-8 (C)
2: 3 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
3: 5 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-3-8-9 (C)
4: 4 (A), 1 (B), 2-3-7 (C)
5: 7 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-8 (C)

Simple main (A/B): 3x3x3x2x3 = $81
Full multis (A/B/C): $60


P4 Grid:

2: 3 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
3: 5 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-3-8-9 (C)
4: 4 (A), 1 (B), 2-3-7 (C)
5: 7 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-8 (C)

Simple main (A/B): 3x3x2x3 = $27
Full multis (A/B/C): $17.50


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Hooked Forever 7-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Raglin River 15-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Vecino 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Billy the Bull 6-1 WON ($14.00)


7th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Terrific betting race with ML faves (2-3-8) not appreciably stronger than numbers (4-5-9)..

Best Value: #4 Lemon Song 15-1 WON ($13.00)
Next Best: #3 Ready's Legend 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Tacones 10-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Aunty Pearl 5-2 2nd


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Evening Show 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Dulcedumbre 12-1 WON ($27.40)
Next Best: #1 Discreetly Elusive 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Our Amazing Rose 8-1 9th


9th: 2nd Alydar, 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Odd assembly. Think you'll need to cover all 6 to one degree or another to guarantee passage to the 2nd half of the P4..

Best Value: #3 Farhaan 15-1 WON ($17.80)
Next Best: #2 Dawly 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Easter Gift 5-1 6th


10th: 40th Sword Dancer (G1), 3+, 12f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Imagining 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Amira's Prince 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Main Sequence 2-1 WON ($6.10)
Exotics Use: #7 Twilight Eclipse 5-2 3rd


11th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T

Best Value: #8 Mambo At the Gym 12-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Hines 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Breakeven Analysis 4-1 WON ($7.60)
Super Add: #10 Day Six 10-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

8: 4-6 (A), 1-8 (B), 3-7-10 (C)
9: 2-3 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-5 (C)
10: 5 (A), 3-4 (B), 7 (C)
11: 8-9 (A), 3 (B), 2-7-10 (C)

Simple main (A/B): 4x4x3x3 = $72
Full multis (A/B/C): $70

$0.50 Pick 4 (4/3/4/3) Paid $972.75


Good luck!
Steve