8/20: Saratoga (Day 29; Better Talk Now)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N2L, 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Virsito 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Bodie Island 6-1 WON ($8.00)
Next Best: #6 Spy in the Sky 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Sal the Barber 10-1 4th


2nd: MCLM/$35k, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Ridinwiththedevil 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Unrepented 15-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Bossy Saratoga 10-1 WON ($2.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Good Catholic Girl 4-1 5th


3rd: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Usually love these state bred turf routes but finding this group enigmatic..

Best Value: #4 Tom Kitten 15-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Majestic Raffy 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Mr Rosenthal 8-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Captain Gaughen 15-1 WON ($21.20)


4th: MCLM/$75k, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Meh..

Most Likely: #3 Jimbaran 4-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Richie's Rich 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Mariano Intheninth 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Dangerous Cowboy 5-2 2nd


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Charming Eyes 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Conzig 5-1 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #6 Lemon and Honey 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Mononoke 4-1 3rd


6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Bridgeville 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Bigger Picture 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Roman Approval 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Signature Seven 7-2 WON ($8.50)


P5 Grid:

2: 2 (A), 3-5-7 (B), 6-8 (C)
3: 4 (A), 5 (B), 1-6-7 (C)
4: 3-6 (A), 2 (B), 1-4-5 (C)
5: 7 (A), 8 (B), 3-6 (C)
6: 4 (A), 3-7 (B), 2 (C)

Simple main A/B (4x2x3x2x3): $72
Full A/B/C: $38.50


P4 Grid:

3: 4-5 (A), 7 (B), 1-3-6-8 (C)
4: 3-6 (A), 2-5 (B), 1-4 (C)
5: 7-8 (A), 3-6 (B), 5 (C)
6: 4 (A), 3-7 (B), 2 (C)

Simple main A/B (3x4x4x3): $72
Full A/B/C: $68


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Kenzadargent 2-1 WON ($4.50)
Next Best: #4 Fade to Black 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Hardly 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #2 Valseuse 5-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Almurra 12-1 4th


8th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Saratoga Dreamer 5-1 WON ($8.10)
Best Value: #6 Boldlee 30-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Banana Thief 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Watergate 3-1 8th


9th: 1st Better Talk Now, 3yo, 1m-IT (DD)

With Lynch rep preceding, there's no way Heart to Heart goes off at 10-1, but still should be square. Very nice homage to to the terrific Better Talk Now..

Best Value: #2 Heart to Heart 10-1 WON ($9.70)
Next Best: #6 Storming Inti 8-5 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Pure Sensation 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Craftsman 4-1 7th


10th: CLM, 3+, 9f

Murderous finale with favored Battle Hardened being fire sold. Worked less than moderately the other day which makes you wonder if he's worth avoiding other than as a

Most Likely: #7 Le Deluge 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Most Happy Fella 6-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Mr. Espresso 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Chairman Now 5-1 WON ($11.60)


P4 Grid:

7: 8 (A), 4-6 (B), 2-5 (C)
8: 10 (A), 2-4-6 (B), 1-3-5-7-8-9 (C)
9: 2-6-7 (A), 5 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
10: 7 (A), 8 (B), 1-2-4-5-6-9 (C)

Simple main A/B (3x4x4x2): $48
Full A/B/C: $40.50

$0.50 Pick 4 (8,10,12,13,14,15,16/10/2/6) Paid $249.75


Good luck!
Steve