9/1: Saratoga (Day 40; Hopeful)

[Kasept]

After an emotional penultimate day that bid adieu to Tom Durkin's immortal race-calling career, the Saratoga season draws to a close Monday. The stand moved at what felt like an especially brisk pace this summer and the Labor Day slate offers one last opportunity to score at the Spa. I hope everyone has enjoyed the coverage of Saratoga and benefited from the information and opinions offered. It's been a great meet with no shortage of the typical ecstasy, agony and frustration and satisfaction.

After today, ATR moves back to 9a-12p Tuesday and will shift to Sirius 220/XM 206 next Monday. Note that the show will only be available online Tuesday-Friday on SportsZone 961 and at www.stevebyk.com.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Wide open start to season-ender..

Most Likely: #3 Keening 5-1 WON ($8.30)
Best Value: #4 Bella Serenade 15-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Clearbrook 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Lady of Gold 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Kitten's Queen 6-1 3rd


2nd: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Joshan's Giant 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Brad's Ruby 7-2 WON ($9.80)
Best Value: #10 Jilly Mac 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Honeychild 12-1 4th


3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Elusive New Yorker 4-1 10th
Best Value: #7 Got Winged 10-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Buddy the Elf 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Mark My Style 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Fleeting 3-1 8th


4th: Hopeful (G1), 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 I Spent It 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Competitive Edge 6-5 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #4 Signature Cat 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Requite 4-1 4th


5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Treacherous group of older state bred MDN's..

Most Likely: #1e Live Oak entry 1-1 2nd/6th
Next Best: #9 Curious Cal 5-1 WON ($18.40)
Best Value: #4 Hidden Warrior Late SCR-Gate
Exotics Use: #5 Keen's Cupla 6-1 5th


P5/P4 Grid:

1: 3-4 (A), 5-8 (B), 1 (C)
2: 1-2 (A), 10 (B), 7-8 (C)
3: 4 (A), 7-8 (B), 5-9-11 (C)
4: 5-6 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)
5: 1-9 (A), 4 (B), 3-5-8 (C)

$0.50 Pick 5 (3/1/6,11,12,13,14/6/9) Paid $1,505.00


P4 Grid:

2: 1-2 (A), 10 (B), 7-8 (C)
3: 4 (A), 7-8 (B), 5-9 (C)
4: 5-6 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
5: 1-9 (A), 4-5 (B), 3-8 (C)


6th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Live in Joy 5-2 WON ($6.30)
Best Value: #11 Abilio 12-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Which Market 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Where's Danny 30-1 2nd


7th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Ask Chuck is a half to Here Comes Ben..

Most Likely: #1 Carpe Diem 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #5 River of Dreams 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Ready for Rye 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Old Mexico 6-1 8th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Box Office 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Wizardly 8-1 7th
Next Best: #8 C J's Awesome 6-1 WON ($13.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Grand Strand 15-1 10th
Super Add: #6 Harpoon 6-1 6th


9th: Saranac (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Ring Weekend 8-5 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #4 Cabo Cat 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Storm 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Wallyanna 7-2 5th


10th: CLM, 3+, 7f

Most Likely: #10 Shankopotomus 5-2 10th
Best Value: #9 Seeker 15-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Moe Man 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Capital City 12-1 WON ($28.60)


P4 Grid:

7: 1 (A), 4-5 (B), 2-9 (C)
8: 1-8-9 (A), 6-7-10 (B), 2-3-5-11 (C)
9: 1 (A), 4-5 (B), 10 (C)
10: 10 (A), 8-9 (B), 1-4-7 (C)

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,9,11,12/8/1,2,6,9/1) Paid $366.25


Good luck!
Steve