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Old 09-03-2014, 07:35 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,487
Default 9/3: Del Mar Turf Club (Closing Day; Futurity)

DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Cal-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, PL Pick All)

Best Value: #7 FLOWINWITHEBREEZ 6-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Susan B Good 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Three Blondes 5-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Lethal Story 3-1 WON ($12.40)


2nd: 16th Pirate's Bounty-R, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

No shortage of pace dependents here which makes you think think returning No Silent and last out sparkler Bull Dozer may be ones to use most..

Most Likely: #1 Bull Dozer 3-1 5th
Next Best #6 Seeking the Sherif 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #4 No Silent 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Ankeny Hill 5-1 WON ($14.00)


3rd: CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Treacherous low level sellers with droppers, raisers, last-chance-on-the-synthetic players grappling. If it's not Fighter Squadron from the remarkably resurgent Hess-Desormeaux, it could be any..

Most Likely: #5 Fighter Squadron 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Friendly Banter 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #1 Barney Rebel 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Tiznow or Then 4-1 7th


4th: 21st C.E.R.F., F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

That was a bad 3rd at .80 by Reneesgotzip in the 4 mare Rancho Bernardo and it doesn't inspire a great deal of confidence for today. Class of field obviously and a slam dunk if right, but..

Most Likely: #1 Reneesgotzip 5-2 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #2 Top Kisser 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Kinz Funky Monkey 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Clearly Confused 6-1 6th


5th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Zip Cat 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #12 Sunrise Legacy 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 World Famous Sam T 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Valentine Boy 12-1 WON ($23.20)


<$75 P5 Grid:

1: 7 (A), 1-3 (B), 5 (C)
2: 1-6 (A), 4 (B), 5 (C)
3: 5 (A), 1-6-8 (B), 3-7 (C)
4: 1 (A), 2-8 (B), 4-5-6-7-9 (C)
5: 11 (A), 3-12 (B), 6-7-10 (C)

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 5 with 1 with 11 - $0.50

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 1,3 with 1,6 with 5 with 1 with 11 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 4 with 5 with 1 with 11 - $0.50
4 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 1,6,8 with 1 with 11 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 5 with 2,8 with 11 - $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 5 with 1 with 3,12 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

7 $0.50 pick P5: 1,3 with 4 with 5 with 1 with 11 - $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 1,3 with 1,6 with 1,6,8 with 1 with 11 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 1,3 with 1,6 with 5 with 2,8 with 11 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 1,3 with 1,6 with 5 with 1 with 3,12 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 4 with 1,6,8 with 1 with 11 - $1.50
12 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 4 with 5 with 2,8 with 11 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 4 with 5 with 1 with 3,12 - $1.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 1,6,8 with 2,8 with 11 - $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 1,6,8 with 1 with 3,12 - $6.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 5 with 2,8 with 3,12 - $4.00

A's with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 1,6 with 5 with 1 with 11 - $1.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 5 with 5 with 1 with 11 - $0.50
19 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 3,7 with 1 with 11 - $2.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 5 with 4,5,6,7,9 with 11 - $5.00
21 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 5 with 1 with 6,7,10 - $3.00

Total: $56.00


6th: 3rd Oak Tree Juvenile Turf, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Mysterious event with 7 maidens involved including Casse FTS (first time starter) Conquest Bespoke which gets Mike Smith. I'm trying the other Casse..

Best Value: #8 Pioneerof the West 12-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Dallas Skyline 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Papacoolpapacool 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Daddy D T 8-1 WON ($7.20)


7th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Cougar Country a half to SW Procurement..

Most Likely: #2 Cougar Country 7-2 10th
Best Value: #4 Pretentious 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Fame and Power 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Stormy Liberal 9-2 8th


8th: 67th Del Mar Futurity (G1), 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Baffert has won this 11 times. He has also taken 'blinkers off' in a 2nd career start 92 times in the last 5 years with 35% W's and 72% ITM results..

Best Value: #1 American Pharoah 6-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #5 Iron Fist 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Skyway 9-2 4th
Super Add: #4 Calculator 8-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (1-4) Paid $35.20
$1 Trifecta (1-4-5) Paid $121.30
$1 Superfecta (1-4-5-9) Paid $541.80



9th: Cal-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (DD)

Very tough group to separate with serious firsters and several with experience that are easily good enough..

Most Likely: #7 Stormy Adieu 7-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #5 Diamond Debbie 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Flat Footed Mama 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Pause the Memories 5-1 10th


10th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Taste Like Candy 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 Disregarded 5-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Practising 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Vanlose Stairway 9-2 7th
Hi-5 Play: #8 Kukaluka 8-1 6th


<$65 P4 Grid:

7: 2-4 (A), 6-8 (B), 1-3-10 (C)
8: 1 (A), 5-9 (B), 4-6-7-8 (C)
9: 5-7 (A), 1 (B), 2-6 (C)
10: 1 (A), 2-4-7 (B), 3-8-9 (C)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 2,4 with 1 with 5,7 with 1 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 1 with 5,7 with 1 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 5,9 with 5,7 with 1 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 1 with 1 with 1 - $1.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 1 with 5,7 with 2,4,7 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 5,9 with 5,7 with 1 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 1 with 1 with 1 - $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 1 with 5,7 with 2,4,7 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 5,9 with 1 with 1 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 5,9 with 5,7 with 2,4,7 - $12.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 1 with 1 with 2,4,7 - $3.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3,10 with 1 with 5,7 with 1 - $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 4,6,7,8 with 5,7 with 1 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 1 with 2,6 with 1 - $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 1 with 5,7 with 3,8,9 - $6.00

Total: $64.00


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-04-2014 at 06:20 AM.
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