1/10: Gulfstream (7th-10th); Santa Anita (6th-9th)

[Kasept]

GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: 29th Hal's Hope (G3), 4+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Lea and Golden Lad return here providing intrigue to short field renewal of this Donn prep. Valid's lay-it-down effort versus Liam's Map would be good enough to win here provided Lea doesn't come back with the kind of performance he offered winning last year's Donn. That's unlikely given Mott's style, but it still leaves Golden Lad (been working with Commissioner) eligible to tangle with the Vitali-Bocachica 5yo who has generally reacted after turning in biggest tries..

Most Likely: #2 Golden Lad 2-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Lea 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Valid 5-2 4th


8th: 17th Marshua's River (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/60' (P4, P3, DD)

Excellent group for this and Chad Brown 'first NA' invader Summer Moon looms large. Defending winner Parranda returns to Florida in debut for Clement and emergent owners China Horse Club. Strike Charmer and Pappascat were 1-2 in the Cardinal and reassemble for their 5yo seasonal bows. Fact that Davey Carroll ships over from Fair Grounds for this says Strike Charmer ready for good try and Simms' Pappascat always seems to provide value outrunning her odds. Scampering (Shug/Janney) and Skylander Girl from low profile CDN outfit not impossible..

Most Likely: #7 Summer Moon 7-2 6th
Next Best: #3 Parranda 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #9 Pappascat 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Scampering 6-1 4th


9th: OC/N2X, F&<-4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Pletcher murderous in these early season returns and Discreetly Elusive doesn't start out favored. Can stalk on Eddie Broome's rail runner More Than a Party who ran career best here 3+ weeks ago..

Most Likely: #6 Discreetly Elusive 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 More Than a Party 2-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #8 Boheme de Lavi 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Bureau de Change 8-1 3rd


10th: 62nd Fort Lauderdale (G2), 4+, 8.5f-T/60' (DD)

Deep, contentious group with what figures to be an honest pace opening up eligibility for honors to easily half the field, or more. Of the shorter prices, Mshawish (4-1), Lochte (6-1) and Mosler (8-1) appear the most likely with Za Approval (5-2) and Mutin (5-1) needing to work out trips from wide berths. Of the value players, Silver Freak and Grand Tito -- both 15-1 -- look worthwhile inclusions with Grand Tito figuring to get a better scenario under Lezcano. Tough test for your multi-race budget..

Best Value: #7 Grand Tito 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Mshawish 4-1 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #11 Za Approval 5-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Lochte 6-1 5th


11th: MSW, 3yo-F, 5g-T/60' (Super Hi-5)

Challenging finale with 5 first time starters including well pedigreed Songbook and Killer Partner. There are 4 making surface changes as well and sharp-working Vandelita out of a Kingmambo mare has the look of stalk and finish upsetter..

Best Value: #7 Vandelita 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Presto Magic 3-1 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Songbook 5-1 6th
Super Add: #10 Wilshire Heir 12-1 10th
Hi-5 Play: #5 Killer Partner 7-2 2nd


P5 Grid:

7: 2 (A), 1-3 (B), 6 (C)
8: 3-7 (A), 9 (B), 2-4-6-8 (C)
9: 6 (A), 1 (B), 2-4-5-7-8 (C)
10: 3-7 (A), 2-11 (B), 1-6-12 (C)
11: 7 (A), 2 (B), 3-5-8-10 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $63
Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick-5 (1,4/3/1/3,13,14/2) Paid $116.70 (5OF5)
$0.50 Pick-5 (1,4/3/1/3,13,14/2) Paid $3.40 (4OF5)


P4 Grid:

8: 3-7 (A), 9 (B), 2-4-6-8 (C)
9: 6 (A), 1-8 (B), 2-4-5-7 (C)
10: 3-7 (A), 2-11 (B), 1-6-12 (C)
11: 2-7 (A), 3-10 (B), 5-8 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $84
Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick-4 (3/1/3,13,14/2) Paid $90.15



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: 15th Sham (G3), 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

People may be lining up to try and beat Calculator, but if he's healthy and close to his G1 stakes tries v. American Pharoah, he'll drown this group..

Most Likely: #7 Calculator 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #3 Rockinaten 7-2 7th
Best Value: #4 Unblunted 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Hero Ten All 4-1 6th


7th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Anytime Anyplace 3-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Kenjisstorm 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Battle of Evermore 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Ultra Sharp 12-1 5th


8th: 78th San Pasqual (G2), 4+, 8.5f (DD)

Hoppertunity has come back strong out of Clark win per National Turf and is certainly the one to beat. Plenty of options if you want to spread or stand against including players from dangerous Lobo (30-1 Baccelo) and Hess (12-1 Blue Tone)..

Most Likely: #2 Hoppertunity 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #5 Baccelo 30-1 11th
Next Best: #9 Blue Tone 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Quadrivium 6-1 7th


9th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

Weakish looking $25k group. Gab Power SCR'D for me if he gets in. After that, it's a bunch of suspects..

#1 Compari a very late SCR..

Most Likely: #8 Snowday 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Sheer Talent 12-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Fighting On 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Urban Hunter 4-1 WON ($9.60)
Super/Hi-5: #10 Meydan Magic 6-1 4th


P4 Grid:

6: 7 (A), 3 (B), 4-8 (C)
7: 1-3-7 (A), 2-8-9 (B), 4-11 (C)
8: 2 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-10-11 (C)
9: 8-9 (A), 2-6 (B), 4-10 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $77
Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick-4 (7/9/2/2) Paid $83.95


Good luck!
Steve

[Benny]

found this on gp site

http://www.gulfstreampark.com/racing...g/turf-run-ups January 10, 2015

Race 1 5f ( 120ft Rail ) Timer 62, Back Gap 3, Run-Up 94ft

Race 6 1m ( 60ft Rail ) Timer 115, Gap 3, Run-Up 41ft

Race 8 1-1/16m ( 60ft Rail ) Timer 102, Gap 8, Run-Up 5ft

Race 10 1-1/16m ( 60ft Rail ) Timer 102, Gap 8, Run-Up 5ft

Race 11 5f ( 60FT Rail ) Timer 57, Back Gap 2, Run-Up 116ft

[casp0555]

thanks for posting Benny...showing my lack of experience but was does the "gap and back gap" relate to?

[Benny]

Originally Posted by casp0555

thanks for posting Benny...showing my lack of experience but was does the "gap and back gap" relate to?

No bleepin idea,casp. maybe steve can flesh it out with mike welsh drfclocker.
on ATR ?

also note that their statson distances and pp are deficient as sprints are 1 mile and under and routes over 1 mile - Good luck today

[Kasept]

GP SCR/CHG'S

SA SCR/CHG'S

NOTE: Santa Anita off the hill turf course. 7th & 9th to main track (at 6.5f)..

[ADJMK]

Tough beat on Grand Tito. That would have spiced the multi's up.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by casp0555

what does the "gap and back gap" relate to?

The gap notations must be which opening the starting gate is positioned for said race. The 'gap' being the opening in the fencing. 'Back gap' for the turf sprints meaning on the back side.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by ADJMK

Tough beat on Grand Tito. That would have spiced the multi's up.

A beat is when you have a good idea and don't cash. Grand Tito ran great and the nice exacta with him was more than adequate for keying off him. Thought for a second he might get put up had Mshawish's pretty flagrant herding of Za Approval been examined and penalized. Desormeaux perfected the herd on the turn long before Castellano, but no one does it 'better' than Javy these days.

[casp0555]

Originally Posted by Kasept

The gap notations must be which opening the starting gate is positioned for said race. The 'gap' being the opening in the fencing. 'Back gap' for the turf sprints meaning on the back side.

thanks for the explanation Steve....