Gulfstream Wednesday Feb. 11

[Kitan]

Race 6:
#2 Not Welcome: Revved up with the blinkers on. Not much speed in here and a repeat of his last will see him romp.
#1 Greasepaint: Generally thereabouts and note the massive jock upgrade.
#4 Tsonga: Career best in dirt debut but now must show it routing.
#5 Macuto: Took a stab on him at 141-1 last out and it wasn't an awful run, just missing the show. Bomb add trying the one-turn mile on fast ground for the first time.

Race 7:
#1 Funny Money: Only the one good performance in '14 for Klesaris but switches to Kimmel for the '15 debut. Good, long string of works for the new barn and dangerous if the fresh surroundings reawaken her.
#5 Empress Maker: Improved with every start, finishing the '14 campaign with a solid third when wide without cover throughout behind the winner whom I like in a later race. Inclined to further progress, although it is needed here.
#2 Spangled Banner: No turf winners on the bottom but has proven she can handle the surface. Given no chance in last and backs up here 10 days later. Expecting better.
#9 Tapnfire: Consistent Team Block runner is unbeaten in three tries at the 9f. Kept quiet in the AM on the farm but the gap between the last two works, with the last being ultra slow, is a concern.
#7 Electro Peg: May be able to get away with a soft lead. 33% strike rate and has gotten a handle of the track the last two.

Race 8:
#10 Giant Cat: Ran his best to date two back with the jock change and was put too far back last out. Looks an overlay with the further upgrade to Zayas.
#12 Scorched Cat: Looks the best of a weak bunch but the consistency hasn't been there.
#1 Ohthgift: Ignore the dirt tries and the form isn't bad, albeit against weaker. 7.5f looks most suitable and there's not a lot of pace on paper, but I'm never confident with this rider.
#7 Call Up the Chief: Put a line through the two dirt runs off nearly a year. Only an even run last out but this looks more straightforward. Can plod up for the exotics.

Race 9:
#9 Magic of Reality: Followed an impressive NA debut by making a 4 wide early move in a G3. Nothing spectacular from her UK form but her two runs here make her the one to beat.
#5 Union Prayer: Closed really well considering the fractions and shorter trip last out. Returns to the distance of the win. Similar winning trip looms.
#2 Bikini Beauty: Put in an impossible spot in the Oaks trying to close into a crawling pace. Pace will be much more suitable here and the distance shouldn't be a problem.
#8 Rubindy: Huge run on Boxing Day, but mustn't bounce off that.

Race 10:
#5 One for C J: Roughed at the start and then had a lengthy steady behind a tired one. Blinkers on and two works signal the intent for him to show his best.
#7 Move the Chains: Flew home in quick closing fractions in turf debut off a long layoff. Can easily go one better here but will be a short price.
#4 Roy Aire: Not far behind the likely second choice in this event in his last turf try. You'll get a huge odds difference this time around.
#6 Wildcat Runner: Can close late for a share but has had his chances to win.
#8 would be seriously considered if not for the fact that Catanese is ice cold at the meet.

$0.60 Pick Five
Race 6: 1, 2, 4
Race 7: 1, 2, 5, 7, 9
Race 8: 10, 12
Race 9: 5, 9
Race 10: 5, 7
$72.00

$0.60 Late Pick Four
Race 7: 1, 2, 5, 7, 9
Race 8: 1, 10, 12
Race 9: 2, 5, 8, 9
Race 10: 4, 5, 7
$108.00

Good luck!

[knickslions2]

Good stuff as always Kitan. Good luck!

[ateamstupid]

Good stuff Kitan. In the 6th, I'd take a look at Wise Move's trip last out. It's possible he just doesn't like dirt, but off that race he's a must-use IMO.

[Kitan]

I agree with his last race, but he's a $220k Zito in for $12.5k with two horrendous dirt runs. He seems to handle it in the mornings but I just feel the negatives heavily outweigh the positives at a low price.