7/29: Saratoga ~ Day 7 ($137k DBL C/O; Curlin)

Kasept · #1 07-29-2016, 07:48 AM

As anticipated, Thursday P6 sequence was impossible to navigate as parade of upsetters lit the board. More manageable set of races today, with threat of rain creeping into picture..

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MCLM/$30k, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Noble and True 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Squeeze Thetrigger 6-1 WON ($22.60)
Next Best: #1 Vilma 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Mesojet 8-1 8th

2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Buffalo Miss 3-1 WON ($6.30)
Best Value: #15 Sanfiera SCR
Next Best: #4 Sneaky Fudge Face 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Cats Halo 10-1 2nd

3rd: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Grey Stark 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #6 Penjade 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Inheritance SCR
Exotics Use: #7 Half Irish 7-2 7th

4th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Huntington Drive 4-1 7th
Best Value: #6 Roustabout 9-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Singleton 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Beeks 10-1 WON ($11.60)

5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Speightful Kitten 9-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Morning Daddy 10-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Catch a Cab 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Three to Thirteen 5-1 8th

P5 Grid:

1: 7 (A), 1-2 (B), 4-6-7 (C)
2: 13-15/SCR (A), - (B), 4-5-6-9 (C)
3: 5/SCR-6-7-8 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
4: 5 (A), - (B), 1-2-6-7 (C)
5: 1-4-8-10 (A), - (B), 2-6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x1x4 = 96 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x4x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

P4 Grid:

2: 13-15/SCR (A), 4 (B), 5-6-9 (C)
3: 6-8 (A), 5/SCR-7 (B), 2-4 (C)
4: 5-6 (A),- (B), 1-2-7 (C)
5: 1-4-8 (A), 6-9-10 (B), 2-3-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Sun and Moon 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Miss Amalita 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Natalie Victoria 7-2 6th
Super Add: #5 Da Wildcat Girl SCR

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Saratoga Giro 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 Bluegrass Prevails 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Nobody Move 10-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Grassady 6-1 8th

8th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Daring Duchess 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #9 Lady Bling 10-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Sunset Knoll 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Quigley's Corner 10-1 WON ($22.20)

9th: 8th Curlin, 3yo, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Gift Box 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Connect 9-5 WON ($5.50)
Best Value: #2 Forever d'Oro 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Majesto 8-1 6th

10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #11 Strong 7-2 7th
Best Value: #1 American Road 12-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Knight of Valor 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Task Force Glory 4-1 4th
Super Add: #12 Signature Look 8-1 WON ($21.00)

P6 Grid:

5: 1 (A), 4-8 (B), 2-6-9-10 (C)
6: 7 (A), 4-10 (B), 6-9 (C)
7: 1-8 (A), - (B), 3-4-7 (C)
8: 5 (A), - (B), 9 (C)
9: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-11 (A), - (B), 3-5-7-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x1x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A's: 1x1x2x1x2x2 = 8 x $2 = $16

P4 Grid:

7: 1-8 (A), 3 (B), 4-7 (C)
8: 5 (A), 9 (B), 1-3-10 (C)
9: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-3-7-11 (A), 2-5-8-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x8 = 96 x $.50 = $48
All A's: 2x1x2x4 = $16 ($8 for .50)

Good luck!
Steve