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#1
04-08-2017, 03:30 AM
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AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES 6th: 57th Bay Shore (G3), 3yo, 7f (NYRA Bets P4, G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Long Haul Bay 5-2 WON ($4.80) Best Value: #2 Even Thunder 12-1 2nd Next Best: #1 Miggsy 5-1 5th Exotics Use: #5 Theory 7-5 4th 7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD) $25k P6 C/O starts here.. Fleet Irish (15-1) broke his MDN on AQU main debuting at this demanding trip. Gelded since last, gets first Lasix (a Weaver wammy) and turns back to 7/8ths. Pace undefined on paper but gaggle of pressing 3/4 types should prompt enough to give Franco the set up he'll need.. Best Value: #4 Fleet Irish 15-1 4th Next Best: #8 Royal Ekati 5-1 7th Exotics Use: #10 Benevolence 10-1 8th Super Add: #6 Bourbon Empire 5-1 3rd 8th: 105th Excelsior (G3), 4+, 10f (Must-Pay P5, P3, DD) Best Value: #7 Doyouknowsomething 6-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Send It In 2-1 WON ($4.10) Exotics Use: #4 Hereditary 3-1 4th Super Add: #5 Tu Brutus 4-1 2nd 9th: 117th Carter H. (G1), 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #8 Unified 7-5 2nd Next Best: #2 Tommy Macho 7-2 3rd Best Value: #9 Ocean Knight 6-1 5th Exotics Use: #4 Awesome Banner 8-1 9th Special ~ NYRA Bets P6 Grid: 6: 2-4 (A), 1-5 (B), 3-6 (C) 7: 4-8-10 (A), 2-3-6 (B), 5-7 (C) 8: 2-7 (A), - (B), 1-4-5 (C) 9: 2-8-9 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x3x2x3 = $36 ($18 for .50) 10th: 93rd Wood Memorial (G2), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD) Cloud Computing's Gotham the best non-winning effort by a Classic Trail runner so far and circumstances appear right for next level success here. Pletcher juggernaut gets another opportunity with Battalion Runner and he's been handled with an aura that indicates he won't fail to capitalize. Stretch's Stone a late TC nominee for lovable connections and repeat of last 2 makes him an exotics contender (at the least) here. Would be thrilled to see Irish War Cry right the ship after beyond belief bad Fountain effort, but if he can only succeed on the lead, it's hard to see how he makes a significant impacts today. Note that True Timber is the first of 3 Calumet Farm prep players performing today with Wild Shot (Blue Grass) and Term of Art (Santa Anita Derby) to follow. Already with Hence and Patch set for Kentucky, Sonneteer can add to the amazing storyline next week at Oaklawn as well.. Most Likely: #7 Cloud Computing 5-2 3rd Next Best: #3 Battalion Runner 2-1 2nd Best Value: #6 Stretch's Stone 15-1 8th Exotics Use: #8 Irish War Cry 7-2 WON ($9.00) 11th: 117th Gazelle (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (DD) Miss Sky Warrior (and Yorkiepoo Princess for that matter) showed rating ability in most recent wins and that versatility should come in handy here with plenty of pacey types signed on. Brown and Mott fillies will take plenty of money which could get Miss Sky Warrior's number into the acceptable (5-2?) level.. Most Likely: #5 Miss Sky Warrior 9-5 WON ($5.30) Best Value: #1 Yorkiepoo Princess 6-1 8th Next Best: #8 North End 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #4 Lockdown 5-1 2nd 12th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6.5f Most Likely: #1a Super Luke 2-1 7th Best Value: #9 Carthon 12-1 6th Next Best: #3 Build to Suit 3-1 2nd-DQ'd from WIN Exotics Use: #8 Pirate's Treasure 8-1 3rd P6 Grid: 7: 4-8-10 8: 2-7 9: 8 10: 3-7 11: 1-4-5-8 12: 1-3-9 Simple: 3x2x1x2x4x3 = 144 x $2 = $288 P5 Grid: 8: 2-7 (A), - (B), 1-4-5 (C) 9: 2-8 (A), 9 (B), 4-5 (C) 10: 3-7 (A), - (B), 2-6-8 (C) 11: 1-4-5-8 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C) 12: 1-9 (A), 3-8 (B), 2-4 (C) Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x4x4 = 192 x .50 = $96 All A's: 2x2x2x4x2 = 64 x .50 = $32 P4 Grid: 9: 2-8-9 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C) 10: 3-7 (A), - (B), 2-6-8 (C) 11: 1-4-5-8 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C) 12: 1-9 (A), 3-8 (B), 2-4 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x2x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 3x2x4x2 = $48 ($24 for .50) KEENELAND POST-SCRATCHES 6th: 31st Commonwealth (G3), 4+, 7f (P6, P3, DD) This is a terrific betting opportunity top 3 ML faves all having various questions. A.P. Indian is now a 7yo and doesn't have to fire first off the break. Defending Ami's Flatter hasn't won since this event last year and typically regresses 2nd off a break. Limousine Liberal trains/runs well on his home track but hasn't excelled at 7f. Meanwhile, Yockey's Warrior (8-1) is in the midst of a mature horse emergence. Redesdale (15-1) is 3 for 3 and may be this good. Awesome Slew (6-1) has been refashioned to the one turn middle distance runner he was meant to be. Tale of S'avail should get inside/out trip under emerging Gaffalione. Have at it buckaroos.. Most Likely: #9 Awesome Slew 6-1 WON ($8.20) Next Best: #4 Yockey's Warrior 8-1 8th Best Value: #5 Redesdale 15-1 5th Exotics Use: #1 Tale of S'avail 12-1 7th 7th: 21st Shakertown (G2), 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Rainbow Heir 3-1 7th Best Value: #4 Justin Squared 12-1 5th Next Best: #7 Hogy 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Green Mask 4-1 2nd 8th: 16th Madison (G1), F&M-4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Paulassilverlining 3-1 WON ($5.60) Best Value: #1 Paid Up Subscriber 5-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Clothes Fall Off 4-1 9th Exotics Use: #4 Constellation 4-1 2nd 9th: 80th Ashland (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD) As discussed with Marty McGee, Sailor's Valentine looks like Girvin did coming in to the Risen Star. Who's so scary in here? Best Value: #7 Sailor's Valentine 12-1 WON ($46.40) Next Best: #3 Pretty City Dancer 7-2 6th Exotics Use: #2 Elate 7-2 DNF Super Add: #6 Daddy's Little Darling 5-2 2nd 10th: 93rd Blue Grass (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD) The wagering maxim says to bet against McCraken at the short price, but if you've been waiting for a major performance from one of these 3yo's, why deny that it likely comes from him here? Having lost the Tampa Bay Derby prep opportunity, Wilkes has tightened screws on McCraken for series of starts ahead and blitzing move in Sam Davis plays well in this spot which has uncertain pace. So many people are playing against him that perhaps his price floats up to 2-1.. Most Likely: #2 McCraken 7-5 3rd Next Best: #4 Tapwrit 5-2 5th Best Value: #5 Wild Shot 15-1 7th Exotics Use: #7 Practical Joke 7-2 2nd P5 Grid: 6: 1-4-5-9 (A), 3-7-8 (B), 2 (C) 7: 2-4 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C) 8: 6 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C) 9: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), 5-6-8 (C) 10: 2-4 (A), - (B), 3-5-7 (C) Simple (A+B): 7x4x1x3x2 = 168 x .50 = $84 All A's: 4x2x1x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 P4 Grid: 7: 2-4-7 (A), 3-8 (B), 1-6 (C) 8: 6 (A), - (B), 1-2-4-5 (C) 9: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), 5-6-8 (C) 10: 2-4 (A), 3-5-7 (B), 1-6 (C) Simple (A+B): 5x1x3x5 = $75 ($37.50 for .50) All A's: 3x1x3x2 = $18 ($9 for .50) 11th: MSW, 3yo-F, 9f-T (Hi-5) Most Likely: #2 Lido 3-1 ($4.20) Best Value: #5 Mercy Ann 12-1 4th Next Best: #4 Asticou Trail 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #11 Boule 12-1 5th Super/Hi-5: #12 Stealing Holly 8-1 7th P4 Grid: 8: 6 (A), - (B), 1-2-4-5 (C) 9: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), 5-6-8 (C) 10: 2-4 (A), 3-5-7 (B), 1-6 (C) 11: 2-4-5 (A), 11-12 (B), 8-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 1x3x5x5 = $75 ($36.50 for .50) All A's: 1x3x2x3 = $18 ($9 for .50) $0.50 Pick-4 (6/7/6/2,9,13,14,15,16) Paid $3,880.00 (A-A-C-A) SANTA ANITA POST-SCRATCHES 8th: 80th Santa Anita Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD) Entertaining cast of desperadoes line up here and it seems like you have to play for a price (or three). Though Reach the World, American Anthem and Irish Freedom all have various questions, do you really believe that Baffert will get shut out on the Derby Trail? Reach the World appears like the player that has the most upside and series of 4 drills since the narrow ALW loss have increasingly sparkled. (See them and much more on xbtv: http://www.xbtv.com/video-on-demand/workouts/). Term of Art is an old school grinder that will be running on late. American Anthem, like Irish War Cry in the Fountain, was too bad to be believed in the Rebel. Battle of Midway beat Reach the World on the square a month ago. Irish Freedom humiliated West Coast in their tandem drill to earn this opportunity.. Most Likely: #2 REACH THE WORLD 5-1 4th Best Value: #1 Term of Art 12-1 7th Next Best: #6 American Anthem 5-1 12th Exotics Use: #3 Battle of Midway 5-1 2nd Super Add: #11 Irish Freedom 20-1 8th 9th: 37th Providencia (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD) SCR #2 Union Strike.. Most Likely: #1 Sircat Sally 1-1 WON ($2.60) Best Value: #8 Emphatically 5-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Beau Recall SCR Exotics Use: #5 Princess Roi 5-1 4th 10th: 6th Echo Eddie-R, 3yo, 6.5f (DD) Most Likely: #8 California Diamond 5-2 Best Value: #6 Green With Eddie 6-1 5th Next Best: #9 Elwood J 4-1 6th Exotics Use: #4 Mr. Hinx 6-1 WON ($19.00) 11th: MCLM/$75k, 3+, 1m-T (Hi-5) Most Likely: #9 Calle Kingpin 7-2 WON ($7.80) Best Value: #2 Odyssey Explorer 6-1 2nd Next Best: #3 Go Ghetto 4-1 7th Exotics Use: #4 I'm Living Proof 12-1 5th Super Add: #5 South Americain 6-1 11th P4 Grid: 8: 2 (A), - (B), 1-3-6 (C) 9: 1-8 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C) 10: 6-8 (A), 4-9 (B), 1-2 (C) 11: 2-3-4-9 (A), 5-6 (B), 7-8-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 1x4x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 1x2x2x4 = $16 ($8 for .50) Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 04-08-2017 at 10:39 PM. 
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#2
04-08-2017, 10:42 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 04-08-2017 at 11:42 AM.
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#4
04-08-2017, 05:33 PM
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Thanks Steve. Talked me into sailors valentine!! Cheers
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#5
04-09-2017, 06:02 AM
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Quote:
 Quite welcome.. That was nice. Had real concern she might get DQ'd.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
04-09-2017, 06:18 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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