5/19: Pimlico (Preakness Day)

[Kasept]

Preakness Day dawning as wet as feared as it rains steadily with forecast saying it will continue. Expect sloppy as opposed muddy as it doesn't look like there will be a 'drying out' track scenario. Grass portion of the card is destroyed with only the Gallorette staying on the soft turf. Let's try to make the best of it and get them all around safe here and everywhere today.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClic...9#.Wv_n8qkh2t8


HI HO PIMLICO!


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/C, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Hill Shadow 9-2 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #4 Flash Attack 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Beeks 15-1 2nd


2nd: ALW/C, F&M-3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

OFF THE TURF: 10 (WON $4.20)-11-2-7


3rd: Opt CLM/C, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Pop Keenan 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Happy Farm 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Forge 8-5 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #3 Ballivor 10-1 5th


4th: Opt CLM/C, 3+, 5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Hi-5)

OFF THE TURF: 5 (WON $5.60)-8-11


5th: 9th James W. Murphy, 3yo, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Hi-5)

OFF THE TURF: 7 (2nd)-8-5


6th: ALW/C, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Belfour 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Uncle Mojo 6-5 WON ($3.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Hollywood Strike 9-2 3rd


P5 Grid:

2: 10 (A), - (B), 11 (C)
3: 3-6-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 5-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 5-7-8 (A), - (B), 1-2-3 (C)
6: 1-6-7 (A), - (B), 2-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54

$.50 Pick 5 (10-7-5-3-7) Paid $90.45 (A-A-A-C-A)


P4 Grid:

3: 3-6-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 5-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 5-7-8 (A), - (B), 1-2-3 (C)
6: 1-6-7 (A), - (B), 2-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54

$.50 Pick 4 (7-5-3-7) Paid $28.65 (A-A-C-A)


7th: 117th Dixie, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Hi-5)

OFF THE TURF: 3-2-1 (WON $4.60)-6


Royal Wedding Break!!!!


8th: 9th Chick Lang, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Mitole 3-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #9 Soutache 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Pure Shot 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Still Having Fun 12-1 2nd


9th: 67th Gallorette (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Cambodia back for boggy title defense here and got a tightener in the Jenny Wiley..

Most Likely: #8 Elysea's World 9-5 4th
Best Value: #6 Blessed Silence 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Stallion Heiress 10-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Ultra Brat 5-1 WON ($5.40)


10th: 32nd MD Sprint (G3), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Long Haul Bay 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Heartwood 15-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Lewisfield 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Irish Colonel 10-1 4th


11th: 18th The Very One, F&M-3+, 5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Hi-5)

OFF THE TURF: 1-3-7 (WON $4.00)-11-13


12th: 21st Sir Barton, 3yo, 8.5f ()P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Ax Man 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #6 Dream Baby Dream 8-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Title Ready 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Pony Up 7-2 4th


13th: 143rd Preakness Stakes (G1), 3yo, 9.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Justify 1-2 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #5 Good Magic 3-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Tenfold 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Lone Sailor 15-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #3 Sporting Chance 30-1 6th


P5 Grid:

9: 6-8 (A), 3-4 (B), 1-2 (C)
10: 2-4-9 (A), - (B), 1-5-6 (C)
11: 1-3-7 (A), 11-13 (B), - (C)
12: 8 (A), - (B), 2-6-10-11 (C)
13: 7 (A), 5 (B), 2-3-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x5x1x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

10: 2-4-9 (A), 1-5-6 (B), - (C)
11: 1-3-7-11-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 8 (A), - (B), 2-6-10-11 (C)
13: 5-7 (A), - (B), 2-3-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x5x1x2 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A's: 3x5x1x2 = 30 x .50 = $15

$1 Pick 4 (5-7-8-7) Paid $43.30 ($21.65 for .50)


14th: S/ALW, 3+, 6f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Ugottahaveheart 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Iredell 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #8 Appealing Future 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Phil's Cocktail 5-1 6th


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

[Kasept]

NOW EVERYTHING OFF THE TURF EXCEPT GALLORETTE (9TH)

[pb72vett]

Hi Steve.your 3rd and 4th 5th horse has changed from your express bet wager guide anything i should know why.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by pb72vett

Hi Steve.your 3rd and 4th 5th horse has changed from your express bet wager guide anything i should know why.

Nothing changed particularly. Just elevated the prices players up. XB written 10 days ago. You can see from the wager suggestion the 3 horses above were always a part of the approach.

Frankly, this is a bit of a fiasco now with the turf card destroyed.

[Kasept]

PIM SCR/CHG'S

[moses]

I liked Flash Attack a lot before the scratches. It’s a shame the turf races are all switched to dirt. Really screws up my P3 strategy. Although maybe more money will be able to be found now.

[cakes44]

Gallorette on the turf but Dixie off the turf? What would be the reasoning there?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by cakes44

Gallorette on the turf but Dixie off the turf? What would be the reasoning there?

Apparently the top choices were coming out of Dixie due to course condition. Only Cambodia wanted out of Gallorette and keeping it on largely holds the P5 together.

[Alabama Stakes]

Are you having a blast , Tanner 12oz ? Or is it rough in the rain?

[tanner12oz]

Off and on drizzle bit weather much better then expected