9/15: Churchill (7th-11th); Belmont (6th-10th); Woodbine (8th-12th)

[Kasept]

CHURCHILL


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Preamble 5-1 WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #9 Blue Steel 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Locally Owned 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Kitchi 12-1 5th


8th: Open Mind, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Miss Kentucky 2-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Vertical Oak 7-5 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #5 Our Majesty 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Astrollinthepark 2-1 2nd


9th: Locust Grove (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Blue Prize 2-1 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #5 Pinch Hit 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Champagne Problems 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Sailor's Valentine 10-1 5th


10th: Iroquois (G3), 2yo, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Tight Ten 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Hog Creek Hustle 10-1 10th
Next Best: #6 Tobacco Road 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 My Sixth Sense 10-1 9th


11th: Pocahontas (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Serenghetti Express 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #5 Splashy Kisses 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Include Edition 30-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Taylor's Spirit 8-1 8th


P5 Grid:

7: 7-9-11 (A), - (B), 5-10 (C)
8: 3-6 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
9: 3-5 (A), - (B), 2-8 (C)
10: 4-6-10 (A), - (B), 2-5-8 (C)
11: 1 (A), 5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-5 (7/3/3/8/1,9) Paid $1,056.30 (A-A-A-C-A ~ $120 Play)


P4 Grid:

8: 3-5-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 2 (B), 7-8 (C)
10: 4-6-10 (A), - (B), 2-5-8 (C)
11: 1 (A), 5 (B), 2-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 4x2x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick-4 (3/3/8/1,9) Paid $133.40 (A-A-C-A ~ $114 Play)



BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Ides of Arch 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 New Jersey John 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Gambler's Fallacy 2-1 WON ($6.50)
Super Add: #2 Mango M 5-2 7th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Palladian Bridge 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Curiousncuriouser 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Ascot Walk 2-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Stormy's Song 10-1 7th


8th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-OFF/TURF (X-C P4 Leg B, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Enthusiastic Gal 3rd
Next Best: #2 B Three 4th


9th: Sands Point (G2), 3yo-F, 9f-IT (X-C P4 Leg D, DD)

Best Value: #7 Californiagoldrush 6-1 WON ($8.30)
Next Best: #1 Barkaa 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Victorine 8-1 4th-DH
Super Add: #3 Capla Temptress 7-2 7th


WO-BEL X-C P4 Grid:

WO 8: 3-6-8 (A), 1-5-7-9 (B), (C)
BEL 8: 2-7 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)
WO 9: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
BEL 9: 1-7 (A), 3-5 (B), 2-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 7x2x2x4 = 112 x .50 = $56
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


10th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f

Best Value: #8 Timeless Beauty 4-1 WON ($6.50)
Next Best: #5 Karen's Gem 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Beautiful Buzz 3-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Our Girl Abby 10-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

6: 1-4 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)
7: 2-7 (A), - (B), 3-6/SCR (C)
8: 4-7 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
9: 1-7 (A), 3-5 (B), 2-4 (C)
10: 5-8 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

7: 2-7 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
8: 2-7 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 1-5-7 (A), 2-3-4 (B), - (C)
10: 5-8 (A), - (B), 3-6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x6x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12



WOODBINE


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: Woodbine Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (X-C P4 Leg A, P4, P3, DD)

WO-BEL X-C P4 starts here..

Most Likely: #6 Lord Glitters 4-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Delta Prince 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Divisidero 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Mr. Havercamp 6-1 2nd


9th: Canadian (G2), F&M-3+, 9f-T (X-C P4 Leg C, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Inflexibility 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 New Money Honey 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Starship Jubilee 10-1 WON ($25.30)


10th: Bold Venture (G3), 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Pink Lloyd 1-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Kingsport 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Loose On the Town 20-1 6th


11th: Northern Dancer (G1), 3+, 12f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Mekhtaal 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Hawkbill 2-1 7th
Best Value: #10 Patterson Cross 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Utmost 4-1 8th


P4 Grid:

8: 3-6-8 (A), - (B), 1-7-9 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C)
10: 3 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)
11: 1-3-5-10 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)

Simple/All A's: 3x2x1x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)


12th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Mandatory Pay Hi-5)

$600k+ going in to Hi-5 Jackpot Force Out and as bad a bunch o' coconuts as you'll ever find..

Most Likely: #7 Oculist 4-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Mizzona 3-1 WON ($6.70)
Best Value: #1 Agosta 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Megalin Candy 6-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #2 Sky Vision 12-1 4th

$0.20 Exact 5 (8-1-6-2-7) Paid $630.35


Good luck!
Steve

[moses]

Thanks Steve. I really like the card at Churchill. Hopefully I feel the same way about it after the races have been run.

Good luck all.

[casp0555]

Races 3 and 8 off the turf at Belmont

[atolunch]

Great job in the finale at Woodbine!!

.20 box, $24 bet pays $630.

Congrats and thanks as always.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by atolunch

Great job in the finale at Woodbine!!

.20 box, $24 bet pays $630.

Congrats and thanks as always.

THX a lot Larry.. Hope many came along. This was a unique opportunity with nearly $2MM bet in and the 5 ML & betting faves making up the result. I don't play this too often, but find 3x2x3x2x(?) ~ however many you can afford for 5th ~ a reasonable approach.

Fun afternoon. Hope everybody did well..