BC Weeks Capping the Cappers . . . and the wager right here

[DonGuido]

Top Ten Going for the Cup with odds for capping the cappers . . .

1. JolyB 3-1 . . . he's one of the very best if not the best but can be vulnerable if he thinks too much
2. Ruffian 4-1 . . . totally a mystery on picks and odds but she's very, very good overlook her and she'll Ruff you up
3. DonGudio 5-1 . . . not his best year but he shows up well on BIG Days . . . always in the hunt
4. Real Quiet 5-1 . . . right there with DG, sneaky good, hard to beat when on and can not be so REAL QUIET
5. Plenilune 7-1 . . . she's a lightly colored dark horse that's bright as a winner can be, wiseguy play for sure
6. Cruzan 8-1 . . . he can surprise you when you least expect it, nice long shot play, unconventionally good
7. Roamin 12-1 . . . don't sell him short or he'll bite ya where it hurts, in the pocketbook
8. NJ Stinks 15-1 . . . not a regular but knows more about the game than maybe us all put together
9. Cal828 8-1 . . . watch out, scarily unknown, this is the real wiseguy play and only played small part of the year
10. Indian Hemp 15-1 . . . another in and out player that can go get it and right there with NJ's knowledge

You have $100 to place win bets only on up to 4 players or just 1 or 2 or 3.. After the wagers, JB will set the real mathematical odds.

[JolyB]

Don Guido, as always you have done a superb job in your analysis of capping the cappers. Alas, you nailed me dead on - I've always had a tendency to overprepare. It has held me in good stead for things like bar exams, transactional closings and as a seminar panelist, but has been the kiss of death in my capping of the BC. By now, I think I could give you a reason why each of the entrants in the Classic could win, and another reason why each of them could likely get beaten. That doesn't help the decision making process very much.

I'll be glad to compute the actual odds and will pays after all the entries have been submitted (which I assume will be not later than post time for the first BC race on Friday). It has always amazed me just how differently our players predict the Cup winner from the qualifying point standings.

[DonGuido]

Yes JB, I'm just the opposite but we have worked professionally in two different worlds. I have to force myself to be more analytical and detailed . . . not easy for a free wheeling architect at heart but I have learned over the years. Handicapping, picking winners, exactas, trifectas is by far the most challenging experience my artistic brain has endured. And as a relative newcomer in all this for around 17/18 years, I'm thinking it does keep the electrical impulses of my brain well connected even though my thought process is often out of wack.

Back to business to all:

Please have all your cap the cappers wagers in before the first race on Friday, 3:21 eastern.

Thank you!!!

[Real Quiet]

My first inclination was to place $50 win on NJ Stinks and Indian Hemp cause I think they have a good handle on the Euro's. But they don't play points all that often. I'm hoping the Breeders Cup brings them both out but at the risk of being "Scratched" out of the Cappers Contest I'll go with

$50 Win on Plenilune
$25 Win on NJ Stinks
$25 Win on Indiana Hemp

[Roamin42]

Ruffian is great on long shots and consistent---$50 WIN

Real Quiet has that Jersey knack with winners---$25 WIN

Cal828--maybe a new comer but has the savvy for winners-$25WIN-

[cal828]

$25 Win Real Quiet - Won this last year I think and seems Real Likely to win again, plus he did Real Well in the Saratoga Contest so I know he is for Real.

$25 Win JolyB-Very consistent. I think the term for horses that are always in the money is "honest." I think this applies to JolyB.

$25 Win Cruzan-Longshot picker can pick 'em with regularity.

$25 Win Roamin-Love the fact that he always goes "all in." If he hits, it's going to be a ginormous win.

[RUFFIAN]

TO TRY + CAP THE CAPPERS ~
TO TRY TO PICK THE 'BEST'
CAUSE ON ANY GIVEN DAY
ANYONE CAN BEAT THE REST!

I'M FLATTERED TO BE SURE
OF 'ROAMIN' BETTING ON ME
I NOW RETURN THE COMPLIMENT
MY BET ON *ROAMIN* WILL BE
*** $25 WIN ***

MY ''EQUAL-LONG-SHOT-WINNER''
CRUZAN PIX ARE SHOCKING
'BIZARRE' FOR SURE HE HITS
AS THE REST OF US HE'S MOCKING
CRUZAN *** $25 WIN ***

SELF CONFIDENCE NEEDS A BOOST
*THO ON BC DAY I SUCK*
BUT MAYBE NOW & THEN
I'LL RIDE WITH LADY LUCK
*** RUFFIAN *** $50 WIN

[Plenilune]

$50 W NJ Stinks
$25 W Real Quiet
$25 W cruzan200246

[DonGuido]

Hey I'm going mostly with chalk;

$50 win JolyB
$25 win Real Quiet
$15 win Plenilune
$10 win Gweeds . . . why not?!

We'll see now won't we!!!

[cruzan200246]

Can One Bet On Himself?

[Real Quiet]

Absolutely Cruzan. You can wager on yourself.

[JolyB]

Originally Posted by cruzan200246

Can One Bet On Himself?

Of course.

[cruzan200246]

Thank You

[cruzan200246]

$25 Win Cruzan200246
$25 Win Ruffian33
$25 Win Real Quiet
$25 Win Jolyb

[RUFFIAN]

In case you didn’t notice
Betting on SELF = is either...

SELF-CONFIDENCE

EGO

WISHFUL THINKING

ALL OF THE ABOVE

MY ENTRY
Includes a $50 WIN ON “RUFFZILLA”

And...
How could I forget
My “Partner-In-Crime ~ aka => LONGSHOT WINNERS!

MY ''EQUAL-LONG-SHOT-WINNER''
CRUZAN PIX ARE SHOCKING
'BIZARRE' FOR SURE HE HITS
AS THE REST OF US HE'S MOCKING
CRUZAN *** $25 WIN ***

[JolyB]

Don Guido (overlooked in the wagering so far): $40

Real Quiet (likely to be post time favorite): $30

Cal828 (newcomer who shows lots of talent): $30

Post time is not far off. Hope you all ENJOY THE RACES!

[JolyB]

Post time odds and will pays will be posted shortly after the window closes. Remember that in Don Guido's emporium there is NO TAKEOUT and (if I can calculate it correctly) NO BREAKAGE.

[JolyB]

Closed

[JolyB]

We had a total of 8 participants and $800 in the pool. The bettors made Real Quiet the overwhelming favorite, no doubt because he is the Real Deal.

Here are the will pays on a $1.00 wager for all of the entrants:

Real Quiet 4.44
Ruffian 8.00
Cruzan 8.00
JolyB 8.00
NJ Stinks 10.66
Plenilune 12.31
Cal 828 14.55
Roamin 16.00
Don Guido 16.00
Indian Hemp 32.00

Good luck to all. Please let me know if you spot any errors in my calculations.