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Old 08-31-2019, 08:06 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,284
Default 8/31: Saratoga (7th-12th); KY Downs (6th-10th)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (Empire 6, P3, DD)

Fun juvy bunch with 2-1 fave Three Technique the colt to beat, but note several quality players involved including 2nd out Soviet from Pletcher and potentially potent Toner firster Mischief Afoot. Speed comes from Necker Island and Always Misbehaving and expect Wayne O to be pressing. Today not likely the day for him, but regally bred Tapage (Tapit/Hystericaldy) from KMc/Godolphin is likely OK. His half sister Lady Montdore runs 2 hours later in the Glens Falls..

Most Likely: #3 Three Technique 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #7 Soviet 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Mischief Afoot 15-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Necker Island 12-1 3rd


8th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Curious group with surface switches, stretchouts, debuters, et al. Note Pletcher/Wetheimer firster No Word is full brother of highly successful Silentio that Gary Mandella helmed to a bunch of stakes wins and placements..

Best Value: #7 Shamrocket 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 No Word 9-2 WON ($9.10)
Exotics Use: #5 Gear Jockey 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Get Set 5-1 6th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Hallawallah 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Arrifana 7-2 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #8 Our Circle of Love 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Brucia La Terra 12-1 8th


10th: 24th Glens Falls (G2), F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Santa Monica 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Mrs Sippy 4-1 WON ($14.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Fools Gold 5-2 6th
Super Add: #9 Get Explicit 5-1 4th


11th: 66th Woodward (G1), 3+, 9f (DD)

As discussed on ATR and noted in the Beat Byk Contest selection, Mongolian Groom comes East after having shown significant improvement over the deep Del Mar surface this summer. Is cutting back from 10f here while adding forward-going Luis Saez and will find the Saratoga main track a paved highway versus what he's been accustomed to at Oceanside. 15-1 in a competitive field..

Best Value: #4 Mongolian Groom 15-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Tom's d'Etat 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Wooderson 12-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Preservationist 7-2 WON ($8.10)


12th: MSW, 3+, 6f

Free Enterprise ran in to buzz saws in Performer & En Why Cee and here, Tolerant & Airtouch provide authentic competition, while Going for Gold might be hustled to get involved by Santana. Really interesting group..

Most Likely: #8 Free Enterprise 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #4 Tolerant 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Airtouch 3-1 WON ($8.30)
Super Add: #3 Going for Gold 15-1 9th


P5 Grid:

8: 1-4-5-7 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
9: 1-3 (A), 8-10 (B), 2-11 (C)
10: 4-5 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)
11: 4-9 (A), 8 (B), 1-5-7 (C)
12: 8 (A), 4 (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x3x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 4x2x2x3x1 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

9: 1-3-8 (A), 2-10-11 (B), - (C)
10: 4-5 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)
11: 4-9 (A), 8 (B), 1-5-7 (C)
12: 4-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (3,9/5/5/5) Paid $328.75 ~ (A/A/C/A) $36



KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Cazadora DNF-Lost rider
Next Best: #11 A J Rock 7-2 10th
Exotics Use: #13 Lady Jennevieve 4-1 2nd-DQ'd from WIN
Super Add: #1 Wexx 10-1 WON ($13.20)-Up via DQ


7th: One Dreamer-R, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Hanalei Moon 8-1 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #9 Limari 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Classy Act 9-2 4th
Super Add: #10 Smart Emma 6-1 7th


8th: Tourist Mile, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hembree 4-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Parlor 12-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Mr Cub 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Next Shares 7-2 7th
Super Add: #1 Snapper Sinclair 8-1 WON ($22.80)


9th: Juvenile Fillies, 2yo-F, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #12 Fly So Pretty 7-2 6th
Next Best: #7 Jezebel's Kitten 9-2 WON ($10.40)
Exotics Use: #11 Lemon Scat 6-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Ask Bailey 8-1 2nd


10th: Juvenile, 2yo, 1m-T

Best Value: #4 Night Time 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Are You Kitten Me 4-1 11th
Exotics Use: #12 Peace Achieved 6-1 WON ($12.00)
Super Add: #1 Memorable 10-1 5th


P5 Grid:

6: 7-11 (A), 13 (B), 1-3-5 (C)
7: 7-9 (A), 4-10 (B), 3-8 (C)
8: 4-5-9 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
9: 7-12 (A), - (B), 1-11 (C)
10: 4-5 (A), - (B), 1-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

7: 7-9 (A), 4-10 (B), 3-8 (C)
8: 4-5-9 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
9: 7-12 (A), 1-11 (B), - (C)
10: 4-5-12 (A), - (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (7/1/7/12) Paid $2,066.10 ~ A/C/A/A ($36)


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-31-2019 at 07:11 PM.
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  #2  
Old 08-31-2019, 11:12 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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KD SCR/CHG'S

SAR SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 08-31-2019, 11:51 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Vino Rosso a late SCR from Woodward..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #4  
Old 08-31-2019, 01:47 PM
ontheoutside ontheoutside is offline
Hollywood Park
 
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Posts: 965
Default thanks for taking time steve,

hope you feel up to it for sunday and monday also enjoy this wonderfull day
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  #5  
Old 08-31-2019, 09:09 PM
Jerman Jerman is offline
Sam Houston
 
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 16
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Thanks for the late pick 4 at Ky Downs. I hope you had it also
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  #6  
Old 08-31-2019, 10:17 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerman View Post
Thanks for the late pick 4 at Ky Downs. I hope you had it also
Jer.. Quite welcome. Was a really fun day and evening too. Hope everyone did well!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #7  
Old 09-01-2019, 11:38 AM
Sethcarter Sethcarter is offline
Oaklawn
 
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Posts: 2,113
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Steve.... I hope your healing well. Thanks for the insight yesterday. It was, as always, extremely helpful. It's my last weekend before the season begins to take over my world so it was nice to have such a great day.

The best to you and your family
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  #8  
Old 09-02-2019, 07:11 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sethcarter View Post
Steve.... I hope your healing well. Thanks for the insight yesterday. It was, as always, extremely helpful. It's my last weekend before the season begins to take over my world so it was nice to have such a great day.

The best to you and your family
Seth..

Thanks very much! Getting better every day. Yesterday was first where gas bubble dropped below halfway in line of sight and vision felt somewhat normal. Strangest experience ever, but it hasn't spoiled season.

Glad you and others did well Saturday. Wet Labor Day, but let's close it out strong.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #9  
Old 09-02-2019, 08:46 AM
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Bogey Bogey is offline
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Great work, Steve
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