11/16: Aqueduct (4th-10th)

[Kasept]

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Pletcher sends 5-2 second choice Obsessed out first time for Barry Schwartz, but he's a More Than Ready and it's a really turfy female family (featuring Dublino)..

Most Likely: #5 Kingmeister 4-1: Strike Power half totes bullets.. 5th
Best Value: #4 Trash Talker 5-1: Better on main track in debut than in turf try.. 3rd
Next Best: #7 Hemlock 2-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Robber Bob 10-1 6th


5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f-Outer Turf (Empire 6, P3, DD)

Empire 6 players need to include/protect #3 Steelersfanforlife (5-1) & #6 Saltking (6-1)..

Best Value: #2 Southern Brigade 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Quiet Out East 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Nutzforboltz 3-1 WON ($5.70)
Super Add: #11 Ten Eyck 4-1 5th


6th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Brahe 12-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Rakeez 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 French Reef 5-2 6th
Super Add: #11 Tiberius Mercurious 2-1 2nd-DQ from Win


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Our Carlisle Belle has typically run her best at BEL, but can be counted on for an honest try under any scenario. Pace may be a little more contested here than it shows on paper, so she and Benji could impact with an "A" effort. As ATR listeners know, Tony Black gets on Collegeville Girl daily and the Vega visitor is the filly to beat..

Most Likely: #8 Collegeville Girl 5-2 6th
Best Value: #10 Carlisle Belle 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Mary's Girl 3-1 WON ($9.30)
Exotics Use: #2 My Last Million 6-1 7th


8th: NY-Key Cents, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Single Verse 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Playtone 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Time Limit 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 My Sassy Sarah 3-1 6th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #2 Altea 5-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #5 Civil Union 7-2 4tn
Exotics Use: #7 Mean Mary 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Wish Upon 4-1 5th


10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer Turf

Best Value: #1 Teletype 6-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Chiclet's Dream 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Ellanation 3-1 WON ($9.60)
Super Add: #8 She's Dreamin 6-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

6: 2-3-4 (A), 11 (B), 1-8 (C)
7: 8-10 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 3 (B), 4 (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), 5-7 (C)
10: 1-5-11 (A), - (B), 8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 8-10 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
8: 2-3-6 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
9: 2-5 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)
10: 1-5-11 (A), - (B), 8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[moses]

Thanks Steve. That 4th Race is really tough and I’ll probably just be watching. Hemlock looks like the horse to beat but all 4 first timers that look like they could win it, including the #2 Ikeisgreat, who is a half to Vertrazzo - a horse who won by 14 lengths in her first race, has 6 allowance wins, and has never finished out of the money in 13 career starts. And obviously Munnings has had some success with 2YOs.

Anyway, good luck to Carlisle Belle. I hope she runs well today for you.

[casp0555]

strong finish by Belle congrats DT!!!

[moses]

Nice finish there for Carlisle Belle! I’m regretting buying into the hype that Tony Black put out there.

[ONTHERAIL]

And Tony called it after he said how well she’s been doing. Mornings don’t always fortell how they run when the gate breaks. Turn the page..

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by casp0555

strong finish by Belle congrats DT!!!

Originally Posted by moses

Nice finish there for Carlisle Belle!

Billy.. Moses..

THX! Came hard and through horses yesterday, closing on a track where few made up ground. Nice work by Benji too to get over to the rail and save ground.

Really proud of the home bred mare. Modestly talented and small in stature, goes all out mornings and afternoons and is a pleasure to be around at the barn. Tops $100k in earnings ($112,170) with the placing and is now 21/2-2-3-6 for her career running nearly every month for 2 years.