3/7: Aqueduct (5th-10th); X-C P5 (AQU/TAM/OP)

[Kasept]

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (Empire 6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Freudian Sip 9-2 6th
Next Best: #9 Quickflash 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Ten Twenty Nine Gate SCR
Super Add: #5 Morgantown 6-1 DH-3rd


6th: NY-MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Chasing Losses 7-2 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #2 Kitten Heels 9-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Queen Kimberly 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 A d'Oro 4-1 2nd


7th: 64th Stymie, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

VERY good, well matched group.. American Anthem may float up from his 7-2 third choice ML and should sit right behind the speed. Diamond King rarely misfires. Claim of the year in NY in '19 Wicked Trick turned out to be a one turn dirt horse all along. Joevia back to the East after ambitious Razorback try..

Best Value: #4 American Anthem 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Diamond King 3-1 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Wicked Trick 5-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Joevia 6-1 7th


8th: 43rd Tom Fool (G3), 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Tough, consistent and classy Mind Control a very deserving favorite in nice assembly of this early season sprint standard. Plenty of pace-interested parties here which should suit Sacco's stalking ML choice. Happy Farm turned in string of solid efforts while steadily climbing the ladder off the claim in '19 and should fire off the bench for Servis & Lezcano. Sicilia Mike in sharp form for Sciacca and closed stoutly into a mundane open company ALW pace 4 weeks ago. Late action makes for exotics booster at the least. Scramjet an AQU terror last couple of years and has string of 5f drills for return for Nevin. Fired big try off similar layoff in '18 Gravesend..

Most Likely: #4 Mind Control 7-5 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #5 Happy Farm 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Sicilia Mike 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Skyler's Scramjet 8-1 8th


TAMPA 10th: FL Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Cross Country P5 Starts Here..

Best Value: #4 Mirabell Mei 15-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Outburst 8-1 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #2 New York Groove 7-2 12th
Super Add: #6 Walk In Marrakesh 3-1 2nd


9th: 40th Busher, 3yo-F, 1m (DD)

Returning 1-2 Demoiselle finishers Lake Avenue & Maedean rate the obvious edge assuming natural prgression, but in form Mo City & steady improver Kansas Kis merit looks..

Most Likely: #5 Lake Avenue 1-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Mo City 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Maedean 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Kansas Kis 15-1 2nd


TAMPA 11th: Tampa Bay Derby (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Chance It 5-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Spa City 10-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Sole Volante 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 King Guillermo 15-1 WON ($100.40)


10th: 67th Gotham (G3), 3yo, 1m

Deep and wildly competitive group with stakes winning Mischievous Alex and Montauk Traffic the clear horses to respect and beat. Last out MDN breakers Attachment Rate (Romans), War Stopper (Rudy), Sixto (Guillot) and Informative (St. Lewis) offer intrigue and value. Attachment Rate scored 2nd/layoff when stretched to this trip at GP, while War Stopper lept forward with the addition of blinkers. Sixto beat a hot-looking MSW group at first asking and Informative has that Uriah St. Lewis race-into-contention feel. Additionally, Necker Island & Untitled have kept top company and can absolutely win on best. Celtic Striker & First Deputy are both 2x winners entering today's fray off career tops. Finally, Flap Jack (30-1) makes his 3yo debut for Jack Sisterson and looks like the '20 version of Lexitonian who won the Chick Lang for the team last year. Has been working brilliantly at FG for 3yo debut and appeared like a distinctly happy, on-ready horse in video posted from Belmont Thursday. Might not be good enough to win, but the type that's worth trying in spot where pace is going to be honest and a winner could come from anywhere..

Best Value: #9 Flap Jack 30-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Montauk Traffic 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Sixto 8-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Attachment Rate 9-2 3rd


OAKLAWN 9th: Honeybee (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Alta's Award 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Fiftyshays Ofgreen 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Ring Leader 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Shedaresthedevil 6-1 WON ($7.80)


CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:

TAM 10: 2-4-8 (A), 1-3-6-12 (B), 10-11 (C)
AQU 9: 5 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)
TAM 11: 4 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C)
AQU 10: 4-7-8-9 (A), 2-5-6 (B), 3-10 (C)
OP 9: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 7x1x1x7x3 = 147 x .50 = $73.50
All A's: 3x1x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


AQU Late P5 Grid:

6: 2-8 (A), - (B), 3-11 (C)
7: 4-6 (A), 3-5 (B), 1-2 (C)
8: 4-5 (A), - (B), 2-7-8 (C)
9: 5 (A), 1 (B), 4 (C)
10: 4-5-6-7-8-9 (A), - (B), 2-3-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x2x6 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x2x2x1x6 = 48 x .50 = $24


AQU All Stakes P4 Grid:

7: 4-6 (A), 3-5 (B), 1-2 (C)
8: 4-5 (A), - (B), 2-7-8 (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 4 (B), 2 (C)
10: 4-5-6-7-8-9 (A), - (B), 2-3-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x6 = 48 x .50 = $24


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

AQU SCR/CHG'S

TAM SCR/CHG'S

OP SCR/CHG'S

[moses]

Thanks and good luck Steve. I hope you’re right about Chance It as I’ve got futures money on him...but I’m going to take a shot on Spa City to win today, particularly if he is near 10-1.

[jms62]

Holy ****!!! Mind Control... What a Close

[jms62]

Well done including King Guillermo

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by jms62

Well done including King Guillermo

THX Jim. Discussed on air Thursday & Friday as the big price option. Dam a half to Funny Duck, was working well for 3yo debut and natural development from Juvenile to Sophomore made him appealing. Price got ridiculous and it was a great result. Hope many benefited.

[gamblin4ever]

Good job Steve.
Trainer Juan Avila had a nice day @ Tampa. I'm glad to see a trainer, not well known nationally, to have a great day on the big days.