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Old 06-06-2020, 07:14 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 6/6: Belmont Park (Empire 6 Force Out; X-C P5)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Seanow retains Carmouche and WILL get the lead. There are others interested in the front end, but someone needs to engage them. Fun race with several prices in with real chance including St. Lewis' War Tocsin who took step forward at 4 before the enforced break..

Most Likely: #6 Binkster 4-1 4th
Best Value: #4 War Tocsin 15-1 11th
Next Best: #1 Syndergaard 5-2 12th
Exotics Use: #10 Kosciuszko 15-1 8th


6th: Ft. Marcy (G2), 4+, 9f-Inner (Empire P6, P3, DD)

Empire 6 force out starts here with a somewhat paceless affair. First time NA Flop Shot has shown ability to attend paces and may be a decent number..

Best Value: #4 Flop Shot 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Synchrony 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Instilled Regard 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Super Add: #2 Gucci Factor 6-1 DNF-Pulled up


7th: Westchester (G3), 4+, 8.5f (X-C P5, P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Payne's race before the break was terrific and a repeat of that makes him a factor here. Code of Honor kicks off his 4yo campaign and will get a pace to chase. Endorsed Oaklawn win was excellent and you can project a classic Rosario inside/outside rally for him..

Best Value: #4 Payne 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Code of Honor 6-5 WON ($4.50)
Exotics Use: #1 Endorsed 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Monongahela 4-1 7th


8th: Intercontinental (G3), F&M-4+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Feels like a good spot for Newspaperofrecord to relaunch her career. She wouldn't be the first filly to recapture form after being outstanding at 2 and struggling at 3. See Storm Flag Flying as an example. Paul Pompa's Regal Glory (5-1) may fly under the radar here..

Most Likely: #5 Newspaperofrecord 3-1 WON ($4.70)
Next Best: #7 Regal Glory 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Eyeinthesky 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Significant Form 5-2 3rd


CHURCHILL 9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 High Crime 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #4 Ace Destroyer 10-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Ikeisgreat 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 My Man Flintstone 8-1 10th


9th: Carter H. (G1), 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Vekoma, Performer SCR'd & Firenze Fire share old school 'best last race Beyers' (102's) that earmark them as the top players. Vekoma's 4yo debut (7f Sir Shakelton) was stunning at GP and anything in that realm will impact this in a big way. The Marty McGee 'open air outside box where the air is fresh and clear' works to his advantage as well and he returns to the site of his MDN win too. Mind Control is 4 for 6 at seven-eighths and rarely misfires. Firenze 4/3-1-0 at less than a mile at BEL. Another step forward from Network Effect makes him a contender..

Most Likely: #10 Mind Control 4-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Vekoma 7-2 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #1 Firenze Fire 7-2 4th
Super Add: #5 Network Effect 8-1 2nd


CHURCHILL 10th: Dogwood (G3), 3yo-F, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Edgeway 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Ain't No Elmers 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Four Graces 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Magic Dance 7-2 7th


CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:

BEL 7: 1-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
BEL 8: 5 (A), 7 (B), 3-12 (C)
CD 9: 3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
BEL 9: 10-11 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
CD 10: 4-8 (A), - (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 PICK FIVE (9,10,11/2,4,5/5,11,12,13,14/2,6,9,11/2) Paid $127.50 (A-A-A-A-C) ~ $45


10th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

Best Value: #12 Financialstability 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Tale of the Union 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Quickflash 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 The Last Ace 8-1 12th


11th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T

Best Value: #3 Mr Jaggers 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Lonesome Fugitive 5-2 WON ($7.90)
Exotics Use: #10 Red Storm Risen 15-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Voodoo Zip 3-1 2nd


EMPIRE P6 FORCE OUT:

6: 4-5-6
7: 1-4-9
8: 3-5-7-12
9: 1-10-11
10: 4-12
11: 3-6

.20 PLAY: 3x3x4x3x2x2 = 432 x .20 = $86.40


P5 Grid:

7: 4-9 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
8: 5-7 (A), 3-12 (B), - (C)
9: 10-11 (A), 1 (B), 5 (C)
10: 4-12 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
11: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

8: 5-7 (A), 3-12 (B), - (C)
9: 1-10-11 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
10: 4-6-12 (A), - (B), 9 (C)
11: 3-6 (A), 7-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 06-06-2020 at 06:55 PM.
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  #2  
Old 06-06-2020, 11:33 AM
ontheoutside ontheoutside is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 965
Default hello steve..

today on your pick 4
you have number 1 listed as a A and a B
could you correct please? thank you
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  #3  
Old 06-06-2020, 11:58 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

BEL SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #4  
Old 06-06-2020, 05:20 PM
bosox0518 bosox0518 is offline
Les Bois
 
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 28
Default Really?

Race 8 Belmont Brown runs 1-2-3-4? Sure its been done. Not sure how to process. Good or Bad?
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