8/8: Saratoga (151st Travers Day)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA ~ TRAVERS DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Glynn County 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Doswell 9-5 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Bay Street Money 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Compliant 7-2 3rd


2nd: CLM, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Creative Style 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a Musical Heart 7-5 WON ($4.50)
Best Value: #4 Hammerin Aamer 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Shalako 2-1 6th


3rd: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Light in the Sky 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #4 Ava K's Girl 5-1 8th
Best Value: #1 Violent Point 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Risky Mischief 4-1 WON ($9.10)


4th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 1m-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Siding Spring 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Golden Spear 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Hieroglyphics 7-5 WON ($3.70)
Super Add: #10 Bootlegger 9-2 4th


5th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Mutasaabeq 1-1 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #6 Bottle Rocket Man 2-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Shackleford Strong 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Guana Cay 6-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

1: 1-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 4-9 (A), 1-3 (B), 6-7 (C)
4: 2-8 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
5: 6-7 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x4x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick-5 (3/1/3/1,4,5,6/7) Paid $105.12


P4 Grid:

2: 1-6 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
3: 4-9 (A), 1-3 (B), 6-7 (C)
4: 2-5-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 Pick-4 (1/3/1,4,5,6/7) Paid $31.50


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (Empire 6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Mystical Man 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Pivotal Mission 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Secret Potion 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Hidden Enemy 9-2 4th


7th: 42nd Ballerina (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Find this to be a confusing group, but one thing that appears likely is a legit pace. Victim of Love is longest shot on the ML and only need take another forward move to win back from Vagrancy score. Can sit behind the speed and finish and that may play very well under projected scenario..

Best Value: #3 Victim of Love 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Come Dancing 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Bellafina 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #5 Letruska 5-1 6th


Middle P4 Grid:

4: 2-8 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
5: 6-7 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
6: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), 4-8-10 (C)
7: 3-4-7 (A), 1-5-6 (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


8th: 17th Troy (G3), P5, G/S, P3, DD)

A turf sprint version of the Ballerina in terms of past prime types and other mysteries..

Best Value: #6 Pulsate 15-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Shekky Shebaz 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Chewing Gum 9-2 4th
Super Add: #2 American Sailor 12-1 WON-via DQ ($16.80)


9th: 21st Waya (G3), F&M-4+, 12f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 My Sister Nat 2-1 WON ($6.90)
Next Best: #1 Mrs. Sippy 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Fools Gold 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Olympic Games 4-1 5th


10th: 95th Test (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Gamine 3-5 WON ($2.60)
Next Best: #6 Venetian Harbor 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Up in Smoke 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Mrs. Danvers 8-1 5th


11th: 151st Travers (G1), 3yo, 10f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Uncle Chuck 5-2 6th
Next Best: #6 Tiz the Law 1-1 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #8 South Bend 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Caracaro 10-1 2nd


All Stakes P5 Grid:

7: 3-4-5-6-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
8: 2-4-6-7 (A), 1-3-5 (B), - (C)
9: 4 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C)
10: 5 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
11: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 7x7x1x2x2 = 196 x .50 = $98
All A's: 5x4x1x1x2 = 40 x .50 = $20

$0.50 Pick-5 (1/2/4/4,5/1,6) Paid $382.75


12th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f

Best Value: #6 Sweet Sneak 5-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Blitchton Lady 4-1 WON ($9.10)
Exotics Use: #2 Monificent 7-2 4th
Super Add: #5 Misty Taste 6-1 5th


P5 Grid:

8: 2-4-6-7 (A), 1-3-5 (B), - (C)
9: 4 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C)
10: 5 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
11: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-3-5-6 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 7x1x2x2x6 = 168 x .50 = $84
All A's: 4x1x1x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 Pick-5 (2/4/4,5/1,6/3) Paid $307.75 (A-A-A-A-A)


P4 Grid:

9: 4 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
10: 5 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
11: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-3-5-6-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 1x1x2x6 = $12 ($6 for .50)

$1 Pick-4 (4/4,5/1,6/3) Paid $48.00 ($24 for .50) (A-A-A-A)


Good luck!
Steve

[atolunch]

Thanks as always and best of luck today!

In your P4, you have the 1&4 but list the 1&6 in your write ups. Just checking to see if that was intentional.

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

1st - 1a-2b
2nd - 1
3rd - 10-12-13
4th - 1-1a-4-6
6th - 11-12
9th - 6
10th - 4
11th - 1

Fast/Firm

[atolunch]

Awesome job today Steve!

Congrats and thanks as always.

[gamblin4ever]

Great day Steve. To bad payouts were not a little better.

[moses]

Great work Steve.

[Kasept]

Thanks guys. Fun afternoon at the old spa.. Very satisfied with ticket build yesterday and pleased for small budget A players to get the late P5 at nearly 20-1. Did chose wrong between speeds (Serengeti or Letruska) as an A in the Ballerina. Tiz the Law & Gamine efforts made it a memorable Travers Day. Hope everyone did well and enjoyed.