11/6: Keeneland - Breeders' Cup Friday

[Kasept]

It's not Breeders' Cup without the invocation!

These 2 days offer unique opportunities with chances to be rewarded for creative thinking and audacious risk-taking. Some will come away delighted and some maddeningly frustrated, but all should approach these races as the curious and challenging puzzles they've become. No matter how well you 'handicap' the races, fields and course conditions, this deep and mysterious event will produce several nearly unforeseeable results.

Remember that you could be taking an '0-fer' well into Saturday and get it all back (and more) in the weekend's waning moments. But no matter how the ledger looks when it's over, appreciate that your ability as a horseplayer won't be defined over the course of these 2 days. Spend as freely as you can afford and here's hoping that everyone nets something that fills their account and makes them proud.

For the 15th year in a row, it's been a pleasure bringing the Cup to everyone listening. I hope the 15 hours here and the time leading up offered each of you something you can convert into winning tickets. Thanks to Keeneland, Breeders' Cup, ATR sponsors, regulars and everyone who contributed so generously to the shows and most importantly, the listeners..

Let's get lucky this weekend!
Steve


KEENELAND ~ BREEDERS' CUP FRIDAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Nyquist, 2yo, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Jackpot Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Saffa's Day 7-2 6th
Next Best: #1 Highly Motivated 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Quick Tempo 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Upstriker 6-1 7th


2nd: Songbird, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Jackpot Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 The Grass is Blue 4-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Off We Go 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #14 California Lily 9-2 12th
Super Add: #6 Joy's Rocket 9-2 WON ($19.00)


3rd: Bryan Station, 3yo, 9f-T (P3, DD, Jackpot Hi-5)

What a great race this is. Bodes really well for the older turfing set in '21..

Most Likely: #2 No Word 6-1 9th
Best Value: #7 Spanish Kingdom 15-1 11th
Next Best: #10 Reconvene 8-1 DH-5th
Exotics Use: #5 Pixelate 8-1 4th


4th: McConnell Springs, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Jackpot Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Amy's Challenge 4-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #1 Bye Bye J 7-2 6th
Best Value: #5 Harmless 30-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Unholy Alliance 9-2 4th


5th: Aftercare Alliance (G2), 3+, 13f (P6, P3, DD, Jackpot Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Militiaman 15-1 13th
Next Best: #14 Danny California 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Ry's the Guy 4-1 14th
Super Add: #7 Signalman 12-1 7th


P5 Grid:

1: 1-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 9 (A), 2-14 (B), - (C)
3: 2-5-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 1-2 (A), - (B), 5-7 (C)
5: 4-8-14 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x4x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup: 2x1x4x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

2: 2-9 (A), 14 (B), - (C)
3: 2-5-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 1-2 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
5: 4-8-14 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x4x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24


6th: Juvenile Turf Sprint (G2), 2yo, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Jackpot Hi-5)

Most Likely: #14 Golden Pal 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #7 Momos 15-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Cowan 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Dirty Dangle 20-1 9th


7th: Juvenile Turf (G1), 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Special DBL, Jackpot Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 New Mandate 12-1 14th
Next Best: #5 Cadillac 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Go Athletico 10-1 11th
Super Add: #9 Battleground 6-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

4: 1-2 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
5: 4-8-14 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 7-14 (A), - (B), 5-12 (C)
7: 2-5-12 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Special Double Grid:

FRI 7: 2-5-12 (A), 8-9 (B), 4-11 (C)
SAT 11: 3-4 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4 = $20 x $2 = $40
All A's: 3x2 = 6 x $5 = $30
Backup: 2x2 = 4 x $3 = $12


8th: Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Special DBL, Jackpot Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Vequist 8-1 WON ($15.20)
Next Best: #7 Princess Noor 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Dayoutoftheoffice 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Simply Ravishing 5-2 4th


Special Double Grid:

FRI 8: 2-7 (A), 1-3 (B), 5-6 (C)
SAT 10: 5-10 (A), 4-8 (B), 2-3-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4 = 16 x $3 = $48
All A's: 2x2 = 4 x $5 = $20
Backups: 2x3 = 6 x $2 = $12 + 2x2 = 4 x $2 = $8


9th: Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (DD, Jackpot Hi-5)

Best Value: #12 Spanish Loveaffair 15-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Alda 12-1 12th
Exotics Use: #4 Plum Ali 4-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Aunt Pearl 3-1 WON ($7.20)


10th: Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (Special DBL, Jackpot Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Reinvestment Risk 9-2 10th
Next Best: #7 Jackie's Warrior 7-5 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Sittin On Go 12-1 9th
Super Add: #5 Essential Quality 4-1 WON ($9.40)


Special Double Grid:

FRI 10: 3-7 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
SAT 12: 2-4-6-8 (A), - (B), 1-3-9-10 (C)

All A's: 2x4 = 8 x $6 = $48
Backups: 2x4 = 8 x $2 = $16 + 2x4 = 8 x $2 = $16


P5 Grid:

6: 7-14 (A), - (B), 5-12 (C)
7: 2-5-12 (A), - (B), 8-9 (C)
8: 2-7 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
9: 3-12 (A), 4-5-8-10 (B), - (C)
10: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

7: 2-5-12 (A), - (B), 8-9 (C)
8: 2-7 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
9: 3-4-12 (A), 5-8-10 (B), - (C)
10: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[asudevil]

Thanks Steve!

[Sethcarter]

Thanks Steve... Good luck 👍

[Catman]

Thanks Steve, Good Luck to All

[Kasept]

KEE/BC SCR/CHG'S

[gamblin4ever]

Steve,

Do you know where I can find will pays on special DD's.

Thanks in advance

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by gamblin4ever

Steve,

Do you know where I can find will pays on special DD's.

Thanks in advance

I'll gather and post them later.

[gamblin4ever]

Originally Posted by Kasept

I'll gather and post them later.

Ok thanks

[Kasept]

NOTE: FROM THE PROBABLES.. NOT NECESSARILY THE FINAL WILL PAYS..

Juvy Filly/Distaff 2 with:

1. 265.00
2. 245.80
3. 252.60
4. 145.40
5. 56.40 ~ Swiss Skydiver
6. 550.80
7. 397.60
8. 186.00
9. 161.40
10. 38.80 ~ Monomoy Girl


Juvy Turf/Turf 7 with:

1. 483.40
2. 294.00 ~ Magical
3. 402.80
4. 1,143.40
5. 1,071.80
6. 848.80
7. 566.20
8. 472.00
9. 335.00 ~ Channel Maker
10. 373.60


Juvy/Classic 5 with:

1. 267.00
2. 47.60 ~ Tiz the Law
3. 195.60
4. 35.40 ~ Tom's d'Etat
5. 757.60
6. 529.00
7. 331.00
8. 46.20 ~ Improbable
9. 98.20 ~ Authentic
10. 57.00 ~ Maximum Security