Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Reload this Page Two at Toga - 2021 edition
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
Page 1 of 5 1 23 > Last »
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 07-20-2021, 11:33 AM
moses's Avatar
moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
  
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,632
Default Two at Toga - 2021 edition
This is basically the same thing that DaHoss does. Fictional $2 win/place on two horses each day. One is my "best bet" and the other is my "best value," typically a horse with morning line odds around 5/1 or higher. I'm getting started on this late but we'll see whether I can turn a profit for the remainder of the meet.

Wednesday, July 21

Rain is in the forecast for tomorrow so I'll check back tomorrow morning but I wanted to get this posted so that I'd actually commit myself to starting it this week.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 07-20-2021, 12:15 PM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
  
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,763
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by moses View Post
This is basically the same thing that DaHoss does. Fictional $2 win/place on two horses each day. One is my "best bet" and the other is my "best value," typically a horse with morning line odds around 5/1 or higher. I'm getting started on this late but we'll see whether I can turn a profit for the remainder of the meet.

Wednesday, July 21

Rain is in the forecast for tomorrow so I'll check back tomorrow morning but I wanted to get this posted so that I'd actually commit myself to starting it this week.
What do you mean by "Best Bet" ?

I often get confused by this as to some "Best Bet" is their most likely to win which most times isn't a good bet at all but valuable as a single...
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 07-20-2021, 12:17 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
  
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default
Who needs a best bet ? Stupid concept. 2 price hosses is such a better way to go. Who needs a place bet on some low priced hoss ? Copying a guy who doesn’t break even is not the way to fly , Mo.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 07-20-2021, 12:33 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
  
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
Who needs a best bet ? Stupid concept. 2 price hosses is such a better way to go. Who needs a place bet on some low priced hoss ? Copying a guy who doesn’t break even is not the way to fly , Mo.
Since it’s so easy, you should give it a shot. Let’s put it this way, if you’re able to show a profit doing it, I’ll leave the board forever.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 07-20-2021, 12:44 PM
moses's Avatar
moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
  
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,632
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
What do you mean by "Best Bet" ?

I often get confused by this as to some "Best Bet" is their most likely to win which most times isn't a good bet at all but valuable as a single...
I struggle with this honestly. Some times it is a horse that I just don’t think can lose (no value) and some times it is a horse that I think has a great chance to win but is overlooked. I’m not sure I’ve actually figured it out myself what “best bet” means.

Maybe I’ll have to give that more thought.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 07-20-2021, 01:03 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
  
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Since it’s so easy, you should give it a shot. Let’s put it this way, if you’re able to show a profit doing it, I’ll leave the board forever.
In spyders similar contest, I walked the walk if you remember.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 07-20-2021, 01:06 PM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
  
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,763
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
In spyders similar contest, I walked the walk if you remember.
I hit .629 in Little League...
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 07-20-2021, 01:07 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
  
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
In spyders similar contest, I walked the walk if you remember.
The contest that you got cancelled because you were so annoying? I thought past success doesn’t mean anything.

Sh.it…you cyberblew me for years because of all the winners I fed you. Not I’m a horrible person because I stopped.

Let’s see you do it now. You show a profit, I leave. You don’t show a profit, you make a $200 donation to the charity of my choosing.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 07-20-2021, 01:08 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
  
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
I hit .629 in Little League...

Last contest was 2018. A dynamite second place finish



Me too, but only if I was pitching, because we were gonna need to score plenty of runs to win the game.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 07-20-2021, 01:29 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
  
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
Last contest was 2018. A dynamite second place finish



Me too, but only if I was pitching, because we were gonna need to score plenty of runs to win the game.
It would appear the big vagina doesn’t have the intestinal fortitude to put his opinion out there and track it.

Kind of ironic, don’t ya think?
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 07-20-2021, 01:34 PM
moses's Avatar
moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
  
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,632
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
Who needs a best bet ? Stupid concept. 2 price hosses is such a better way to go. Who needs a place bet on some low priced hoss ? Copying a guy who doesn’t break even is not the way to fly , Mo.
To be fair, I think both threads from last year had plenty of situations where there were two price horses picked in one day. Like I mentioned above, I know I don't follow an exact formula for what qualifies as my "best bet."
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 07-20-2021, 03:26 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
  
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by moses View Post
To be fair, I think both threads from last year had plenty of situations where there were two price horses picked in one day. Like I mentioned above, I know I don't follow an exact formula for what qualifies as my "best bet."
For me it’s the horse I like the most that day that is also a horse I could bet. Look at opening day at Saratoga, obviously Golden Pal would’ve been most peoples “best bet” but I know I’m not betting horses at 1/5 or whatever he was
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 07-20-2021, 03:27 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
  
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default
By the way, the big vagina’s silence anytime he is challenged is hilarious. He knows what will happen.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 07-20-2021, 03:50 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
  
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Since it’s so easy, you should give it a shot. Let’s put it this way, if you’re able to show a profit doing it, I’ll leave the board forever.
Promise ?
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 07-20-2021, 05:51 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
  
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
Promise ?
Sure. Two picks every single day for the Saratoga meet. You show a profit I’m gone. You lose you make a $200 donation to the charity of my choice.

You game?
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 07-20-2021, 06:16 PM
gamblin4ever's Avatar
gamblin4ever gamblin4ever is offline
Randwyck
  
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 1,443
Default
Moses, Best Bet should be the horse you think is most likely to win for the day, price shouldn't matter.
Just my opinion. Good luck in your picks and may you be profitable. Also congrats on new baby.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 07-20-2021, 08:38 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
  
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Sure. Two picks every single day for the Saratoga meet. You show a profit I’m gone. You lose you make a $200 donation to the charity of my choice.

You game?
No . I lose and YOU make a $100 donation. I win I’ll make $100 donation.
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 07-20-2021, 09:12 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
  
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
No . I lose and YOU make a $100 donation. I win I’ll make $100 donation.
Whatever. I’ll still leave and donate the money.

By the way, you’re welcome for helping you retire early you ungrateful scumbag.
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 07-20-2021, 09:43 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
  
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default
Thank you and Byk for helping me retire early. I have done this several times already. 6 years and 20 days now. Time flies when you’re having fun.
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 07-20-2021, 09:49 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
  
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default
You have an interesting way of showing gratitude.
Reply With Quote
Reply
Page 1 of 5 1 23 > Last »

« Previous Thread | Next Thread »

Thread Tools
Display Modes
Linear Mode Linear Mode

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:58 AM.

Contact Us - Derby Trail Steve Byk Steve’s Notes DT Stables DT Shoppe Gallery Contact Links Archive - Top

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.