5/12: Tampa Bay (5th-12th)

[Kasept]

TAMPA BAY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-40y (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Commandperformance 3-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Exxel 15-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Piccadilly 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Royal Court 10-1 5th


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Gina Romantica 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #1 Two Words 12-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Spiked 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Birthday Time 3-1 6th


7th: Hillsborough (G3), F&M-4+, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Bleeker Street a potential SCR for ground condition..

Best Value: #7 Runaway Rumour 6-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Bleeker Street 2-1 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Lady Speightspeare 5-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Take Charge Ro 12-1 8th


8th: Challenger (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Scalding 12-1 WON ($12.60)
Next Best: #1 Wolfie's Dynaghost 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Cody's Wish 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Greatest Honour 3-1 6th


P4 Grid:

5: 8 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
6: 1-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x2x3x3 = 18 x $2 = $36
Backup with 7 in 5th: 1x2x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9


TAM 9th: Florida Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Sweet Dutchess 10-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Dolce Zel 5-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Spicer 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Mrs. Barbara 6-1 4th


TAM 10th: Columbia, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Kitten Mischief 4-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Electrostatic 12-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Fort Washington 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Heaven Street 7-2 WON ($10.60)


TAM 11th: Tampa Bay Derby, 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Major General 9-2 10th
Next Best: #4 Classic Causeway 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #6 Golden Glider 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Shipsational 5-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

7: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
10: 3 (A), - (B), 5-6-9 (C)
11: 4-8 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (5-6-9 in 10th): 3x3x2x3x2 = 108 x .50 = $54

$0.50 Pick 5 (5/8/3/5/4,7,11) Paid $745.75 (A-A-A-C-A)


P4 Grid:

8: 1-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-3-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3 (A), 9 (B), 5-6 (C)
11: 4-8 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x4x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (5-6 in 10th): 3x4x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick 4 (8/3/5/4,7,11) Paid $157.45 (A-A-C-A)


12th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Bali Belle 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Get Serious 10-1 WON ($49.00)
Next Best: #14 Point Well Taken 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Edye's Candy 7-2 12th


P4 Grid:

9: 1-3-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4 (A), - (B), 5-6-9 (C)
11: 4-8 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)
12: 3-8 (A), 4-14 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 4x1x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (5-6-9 in 10th): 4x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick 4 (3/5/4,7,11/3) Paid $544.05 (A-C-A-A)


Good luck!
Steve

[moses]

Good luck Steve.

One play again today for me. This was originally going to be a $1 play without Major General on top but I’m gonna follow your lead and put him in the first slot. Posting here again out of superstition.

$0.50 Trifecta in the Tampa Bay Derby
3,8,9,10 / 2,3,4,8,9,10 / 1,2,3,4,6,8,9,10 ($60.00)

[Kasept]

TAM SCR/CHG'S

[atolunch]

Thanks and good luck as always!

Since we got 7 inches of snow, great day to watch hoops and play the ponies.

Please check your selections, in the 10th, #3 Kitten Mischief , not #4 as you have listed and in your verticals.

[essayamx]

Great job Steve on the late P5 and both late P4's!

[moses]

Great work Steve!

[Kasept]

Thanks guys. Was a really fun afternoon out there. Hope everyone got something.

On to Ocala this morning.