9/1: Saratoga (5th-11th); Kentucky Downs (1st, 4th-10th)

[Kasept]

KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Boudica 8-1: More Than Ready adds hood for 2nd start.. 6th
Next Best: #12 Dias Alegres SCR
Exotics Use: #7 Dream Role 12-1 7th
Super Add: #10 Carnaby Street 4-1 WON ($4.90)


4th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Lots of turfy pedigrees but appears to be a murkier bunch than the fillies in the 1st..

Best Value: #1 Sivako 12-1: Lynch stretchout a half to Gerrymander/Lone Rock.. 6th
Next Best: #2 Evaluate 5-1: City of Light off to sneaky good start at stud.. 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Mendel's Secret 12-1 WON ($16.06)
Super Add: #11 Margaret Burbridge 3-1 11th


5th: OC/N$Y, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Social Chatter the filly to beat, but Recoded intrigues at a number getting back on turf..

Best Value: #4 Social Chatter 5-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Red Ghost 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Amalfi Princess 3-1 8th
Super: #10 Thundering Creed 20-1 WON ($28.70)


6th: S/ALW, 3yo, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 National Security 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Wicked Genius 8-5 WON ($7.74)
Exotics Use: #2 The Peninsula 12-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Can't Hush This 15-1 8th


7th: ALW/C, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Led by favored Therapist, but there's another 6-7 that can win including some surface movers who are mysterious in the green..

Most Likely: #1 Therapist 7-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Accredit 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Max K.O. 5-1 WON ($18.42)
Exotics Use: #2 Sonneman 12-1 -


P4 Grid:

4: 1-2 (A), 6-11 (B), - (C)
5: 2-4 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C)
6: 3-7 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)
7: 1-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50- = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 - 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (6-10 in 5th): $12


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Two Sixtyone 15-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Shannon 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Fast as Flight 4-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Hey Kitten 5-1 7th


9th: Tapit-R, 3+, 1m-70y (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Ramsey Solution 8-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Law Professor 10-1 WON ($21.10)
Next Best: #12 In Love 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Peace Achieved 20-1 11th


10th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Axthelm 8-1 WON ($16.38)
Next Best: #3 Growth Capital 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Levity 8-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Heir to Greatness 12-1 12th


P5 Grid:

6: 3-7 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)
7: 1-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-8 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)
9: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-7 (A), 12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (6-9 in 8th): $24 (2x3x2x2x2)


P4 Grid:

7: 1-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-8 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)
9: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-7 (A), 12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12



SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 W W Fitzy 2-1 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #3 Sweet Willlemina 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Bees and Honey 9-5 2nd


6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Inflation Nation 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #5 Balsa 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Mo Saturdays 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Clubhouse 10-1 3rd


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Dream of Change 5-2 7th
Next Best: #10 I'm Buzzy 10-1 4th
Best Value: #1a Classic Lynne 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Masabeeh 6-1 10th


8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Melting Snow 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Short Summer Dress 4-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Invaluable 7-2 WON ($10.80)
Super Add: #2 Rossa Veloce 8-1 4th


9th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Stars on Fire 5-1 7th
Next Best: #11 Cowichan 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Illicit 4-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Gustiamo 10-1 6th


10th: PG Johnson, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (DD)

Best Value: #3 Pachuca 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Idea Generation 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Be Your Best 7-5 WON ($4.70)
Super Add: #1 Lady Jasmine 6-1 7th


11th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f

Most Likely: #1 Midaswellrun 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Power Agenda SCR
Exotics Use: #9 Once a Giant 7-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Be the Boss 6-1 WON ($8.20)


P5 Grid:

7: 1-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-11 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)
10: 3-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1 (A), 8/SCR (B), 9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (9 in 11th): $18


P4 Grid:

8: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-11 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)
10: 3-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-8/SCR (A), 9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

KY DOWNS SCR/CHG'S

[maryhope]

Any depaula play of the day?

[maryhope]

Why oh why couldn't Shannon won the eighth at Kentucky downs, that would have paid enough for the pick 5 to make up for the horrible summer of luck and not so good picks Steve had at the spa, as Andy Sterling says Saratoga racetrack humbles everyone one time or another, thank you so much Steve for taking the time to post your picks every day, things will get better.

[Kasept]

Shannon winning would have been nice, but the middle P4 paid $4,300, so, that was OK.. Was a terrific day at KyD. Hope everyone did great.

As for Saratoga, has been typical in terms of quality of opinions and frustratingly torturous in terms of big P-X ticket play. The DQ and non-DQ early on cost over $4k and a couple of photos another $3k. That's going to happen.

[maryhope]

Oh, did you hit the middle pick 4 at Kentucky downs, great, because I didn't hit it because I just used your picks as far as using the a' s with the C's, I don't have enough bankroll using B's with C's which you would of have to do to hot the middle pick 4 at Kentucky downs yesterday, I am done betting the horses for a while, my bankroll is gone, when you do bad I do bad, Good luck to you