7/14: Saratoga ~ Day 4 (Quick Call)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Makings of a nice group and red hot Casse barn may have the 2 best candidates with experienced La Cara and strong-working firster She's a Gamer who is from a fast, win-early family..

Best Value: #5 She's a Gamer 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 La Cara 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Elemiah 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Bossy Pants 5-1 5th


2nd: S/ALW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Tivy 8-5 WON ($3.50)
Next Best: #1e Rice entry 7-5 2nd/6th
Exotics Use: #2 Independent Paul 15-1 5th


3rd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Tough, well matched lawn dash..

Best Value: #3 Your Man Alex 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Russi 2-1 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #7 Final Denile 3-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Saratoga Banker 10-1 8th


4th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Mighty Madison 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Backyard Money 10-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Signal From Noise 6-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Starship Defiant 4-1 6th


5th: MSW, 3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

These are good maidens with Military Road/Protective having had several chances and Itza Mirrakle/Trulli Warrior exiting debuts behind impressive Centennial Saturday ALW winner Illuminaire..

Best Value: #3 Itza Mirrakle 4-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #7 Protective 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Trulli Warrior 6-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Military Road 9-5 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 2-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 4 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
3: 2-3 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
4: 2-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-8 in 3rd)


P4 Grid:

2: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 2-3 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C)
4: 2-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Deep, interesting older F&M's looking to graduate..

Best Value: #2 Coif 10-1 7th
Next Best: #1e DeVaux entry 2-1 WON/3rd ($3.70)
Exotics Use: #6 Out too Late 15-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Strife 4-1 2nd


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 11f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Several price options for this 3-turner, but Keri Brion's Crabs N Beer will relish trip and could float up given wide draw and bigger trainer names in view..

Best Value: #10 Crabs N Beer 8-1 7th ~ DePaula POD..
Next Best: #5 Daunt 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Six Minus 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Truly Quality 5-2 2nd


P4 Grid:

4: 2-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
6: 1-2 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
7: 5-10 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-4 in 7th)


8th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Magia Nera 5-2 9th
Next Best: #3 Prove Worthy 6-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Philharmonic 15-1 10th
Super Add: #4 Stop the Spread 20-1 8th


9th: Quick Call (G3), 3yo, 5.5f-T (DD)

Beat Byk Race 2.. Enter: https://www.ntra.com/nhc/beatbyk/

Most Likely: #6 Star of Mystery 4-5 WON ($3.30)
Next Best: #3 Fandom 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 American Rascal 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Mansa Musa 6-1 2nd


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-Inner

Most Likely: #10 Billy's Got Issues 6-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Write Off Jerry 8-1 WON-Up via DQ ($13.00)
Next Best: #5 Downing Street 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 La Maquina 8-1 12th


P5 Grid:

6: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5-10 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
10: 5-7-10 (A), 1-2-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

7: 5-10 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
8: 3-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
10: 5-7-10 (A), 1-2-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (AACA): 2x3x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9 (3 in 9th)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S