1/1: Aqueduct, Calder, Santa Anita (P4's)

[Kasept]

Fittingly ended 2010 taking pair of tiny $6.60 consolations on Aqueduct's amusing $180 P6 payoff. Having made my play online before heading to Aqueduct for Lloydobler's race, I was surprised and disappointed when 6th race winner Katy's Office Girl failed to go as the post time favorite. With Go Unbridled coming out of the race, it seemed certain that the Rice trainee with Dominguez would go off as the choice, and would be on the play as a result of the scratch. But Voyager went favored only on the final flash of the tote, and I had to settle for the consolation. Uggh. Hope you did OK and are ready to start a great new year! Go cards scattered around the map to get things going in 2011, and I've looked at the late P4's at Aqueduct, Calder and Santa Anita to kick off the calendar...

Happy New Year everyone!


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: 36th Count Fleet, 3yo, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Interesting edition of New York's first step for 3yo's..

Most Likely: #5 Arthur's Tale 4-1 4th
Next Best: #2 J J's Lucky Train 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Tap Star 10-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Pants On Fire 5-2 3rd


7th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

The three favorites -- Contessa pair (2 & 5) and Ronen (6) -- can win this scrambled affair, but the 3, 8, 10, 11 & 12 are ALL 8-1 or better on the line and capable of laurels..

Best Value: #7 Idol Image 8-1 10th
Next Best: #12 Here Comes Vinny 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Prix de Karakorum 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Her Latest Flame 12-1 7th


8th: Champagne for Ashley-NY, 3yo, 1m-70y (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Sky Music 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Awesome Merger 20-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Eminent Tale 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 Decision Point 12-1 8th


9th: NY-MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Paradise by the C 5-2 2nd (DQ'd from Win)
Best Value: #9 Carmella Cee 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 All Quiet 3-1 WON (On DQ)
Super Add: #11 Galaxy Jet 12-1 9th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3-5
7: 2-3-5-6-7-10-11-12
8: 5-6
9: 7

4x8x2x1 = $64



CALDER RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: S/ALW, F&M-4+, 1m (.50 P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Intense Elvira 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #8 Marilla 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Genuine Diamond 3-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Cugatcha 6-1 5th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Lily's Hope 5-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Political Miss 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Cosmic Song 5-1 4th
Super Add: #2 My Mama Gator 3-1 3rd


9th: Tropical Park Oaks, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, Super)

Best Value: #6 Dynamic Holiday 6-1 WON ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Lemons to Lemonade 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Triune 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Greatest Dream 12-1 4th


10th: Stage Door Betty (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, Super)

If it's not going to be Funny Moon -- race's lone G1 winner -- it gets wide open..

Best Value: #8 Striking Dancer 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Funny Moon 5-2 11th
Exotics Use: #1 Toocleverforwords 3-1 WON ($8.80)
Super Add: #10 Joanie's Catch 10-1 2nd

$1.00 Exacta 1-10 $69.40
$1.00 Trifecta 1-10-8 $485.00


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-6-7-8
8: 1-2-4-7
9: 5-6-8
10: 1-4-8

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


10th: Tropical Park Derby, 3yo, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 King Congie 10-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #5 Racing Aptitude 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Swift Warrior 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 Tag V Eye 12-1 9th

$1.00 Pick-3 (6/1/4) $94.40



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Cal-MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P4, P3DD, Super)

Cal-bred maidens and the intriguing danger factor here, as with so much of the early days of the stand, is potential for jump-up performances or big debuts on dirt. Plus, tougher still to anticipate aptitude of some of these being progeny of coastal sires with slight statistical data for dirt. Watch board for any clues..

Most Likely: #2 Shred the Secrets 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #12 Nahem 15-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Shelter Cove 4-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Full Instinct 9-2 2nd


7th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Irrefutable 5-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #5 Galientos 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Solar Rocket 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Royce 15-1 6th


8th: 8th Daytona (G3), 4+, 6.5f-T (DD, Super)

Quirky edition of this 'down the hill' standard, with 3-1 second choice Regally Ready exiting enormous effort when bowing on the lawn at CD in November. His front end style isn't always the best approach on this odd sod, but unless Dance With Ganble goes with him, Rosario will be alone up front with the Asmussen trainee in the stretch..

Most Likely: #5 Regally Ready 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Quick Enough 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Afleet Ruler 9-2 4th
Super Add: #1 Dance With Gable 3-1 8th


9th: CLM, 4+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Best Value: #14 Two Violins 9-2 8th
Next Best: #13 Beyond Loaded 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Candy Coat 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Cajun Gent 5-1 13th
Hi-5 Play: #3 Cafe Con Leche 5-1 WON ($10.60)


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3-12
7: 3-5-6
8: 2-5-6
9: 13-14

4x3x3x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

AQU SCR/CHG'S

CRC SCR/CHG'S

SA SCR/CHG'S