2/18-20 (CD): Kentucky Derby Future Wager (Pool 1)

[Kasept]

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1

1. Anthony’s Cross, 30-1
2. Astrology, 30-1
3. Brethren, 15-1
4. Clubhouse Ride, 50-1
5. Comma to the Top, 20-1
6. Decisive Moment, 50-1

7. Dialed In, 10-1
8. Gourmet Dinner, 30-1
9. Indian Winter, 50-1
10. J P’s Gusto, 20-1
11. Jaycito, 20-1
12. Machen, 30-1

13. Mucho Macho Man, 30-1
14. Rogue Romance, 30-1
15. Santiva, 30-1
16. Silver Medallion, 20-1
17. Soldat, 20-1
18. Stay Thirsty, 30-1

19. Sweet Ducky, 50-1
20. The Factor, 20-1
21. Tiz Blessed, 30-1
22. To Honor and Serve, 10-1
23. Uncle Mo, 9-2
24. Mutuel field (all others), 5-2


KDFW LIVE ODDS

[freddymo]

Sweet Ducky 50/1 and Dailed In 10/1 what were they like 2 lengths apart?

[The Indomitable DrugS]

That's a pretty accurate line on those two Freddy.

[knickslions2]

Rogue Romance at 30-1 is interesting indeed

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by knickslions2

Rogue Romance at 30-1 is interesting indeed

Rogue Romance's morning line is irrelevant - he runs on Saturday and betting doesn't close until around mid-day Sunday.

If he wins impressively - his price will come way down. If he runs a dud he'll take almost no money in the final 24 hours of the bet.

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

Rogue Romance's morning line is irrelevant - he runs on Saturday and betting doesn't close until around mid-day Sunday.

If he wins impressively - his price will come way down. If he runs a dud he'll take almost no money in the final 24 hours of the bet.

I hear ya. Should be an interesting race Saturday.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

Rogue Romance's morning line is irrelevant - he runs on Saturday and betting doesn't close until around mid-day Sunday.

If he wins impressively - his price will come way down. If he runs a dud he'll take almost no money in the final 24 hours of the bet.

I find betting on Bodog at Fixed Odds just prior to a horses prep is the way to do it. Of course my 100-1 on Tapizar isn't looking so good. Think Repole will pay me off not to bet Uncle Moe?

[randallscott35]

Field will be 6-5 or less?

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by randallscott35

Field will be 6-5 or less?

I don't think it should be and it probably won't be.

[lemoncrush]

Originally Posted by randallscott35

Field will be 6-5 or less?

I actually thought that with Mo being such a strong early favorite, the field might end up around 2-1, but that's probably too high.

[justindew]

I guess CD (or whoever) still hasn't been able to justify spending the cash to update the tote system to allow for more than 23 individual horses. I can't imagine it could be that hard.

[HaloWishingwell]

http://www1.drf.com/tc/kentuckyderby...reBetPool1.pdf

[jwkniska]

thanks!

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Of the 23....only 10 look like they have a prayer.

Strong Contender:

Uncle Mo

Somewhat of a contender:

To Honor And Serve
Silver Medallion
Dialed In

Marginal chance:

Clubhouse Ride
Mucho Macho Man (juice trainer would help)

X Factor:

Jaycito
The Factor
Machen
Soldat

[RockHardTen1985]

I dont think your marginal chance horses have a prayer. I dont get Silver Medallion at all. Your other 7 are all strong.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Look at who trains Silver Meds. 99.8% of his horses are much, much better on dirt than turf or synthetic.

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

Look at who trains Silver Meds. 99.8% of his horses are much, much better on dirt than turf or synthetic.

I know this. I was recently reading your old posts about Rachel and how she had no chance in the Classic because of his stats on synthetic surfaces. I get all that. I just dont think the horse is much horse. He was not on my radar before and winning that race against that competition does not change my mind.

[randallscott35]

15-1 on Brethen....OMG

[RockHardTen1985]

I think the only possible value on this list could be Jaycito.

[Indian Charlie]

Uncle Mo should be 2/1 to win the race, and 8/1 to make the race.