3/26: Aqueduct; Gulfstream; Fair Grounds; Turfway

[Kasept]

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Smokin Conrad 15-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Appledore 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Stylish Fella 7-2 8th
Super Add: #6 Ducale 6-1 2nd


8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Overcommunication 4-5 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #2 Khan of Khans 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Middle of the Nite 6-1 6th


9th: 104th Ladies H., F&M-3+, 9F (DD, Super)

Anticipate Cody Samora SCR..

Best Value: #6 R Betty Graybull 6-1 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #1 Quiet Giant 3-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Speightful Affair 8-1 4th


10th: CLM, 4+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Redwood Fever 3-1 WON ($6.70)
Best Value: #2 Green Bananas 5-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Talk to Nick 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Dixie Nite Out 10-1 2nd


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-6-8
8: 1
9: 1-2-6
10: 2-3-4-9

4x1x3x4 = $48



GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-Inner Turf (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Giant Move 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #11 Wild Entry 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Power Rules 6-1 11th
Super Add: #9 Father Lucey 20-1 10th


8th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-Outer (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Chinglish 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #2 Awed 20-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Steel Bridge 6-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Dynamite Dude 8-1 6th


9th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-Inner Turf (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Christina d'Oro 12-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Resoundingly 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Snow Trial 10-1 -
Super Add: #4 Delightful Dawn 12-1 -


10th: 50th Pan American (G3), 4+, 12f-Outer Turf (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Rahy's Attorney 4-1 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #2 Musketier 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Prince Will I Am 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Loup Breton 6-1 4th


10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 9f-Outer Turf (Super)

Best Value: #3 Gunman 10-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Wonder Beyond 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Saint Nicholas 3-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Top Business 6-1 8th


<$50 P5 Play:

7: 7-11
8: 4
9: 1-4-8-9
10: 2-5-7
11: 2-3-7-9

2x1x4x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-4-5
9: 1-4-8-9
10: 2-5-7
11: 2-3-7-9

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72



FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, Super)

Quick turnaround for Margolis fave off big debut. Usually a situation to play a bit against..

Most Likely: #2 Nakano 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Marvel Gaye 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Vin Santo 8-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Crepe Myrtle 9-2 4th


3rd: 43rd Bayou H., F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3)

Most Likely: #3 Category Seven 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Valli With a Vow 4-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Upperline 9-5 WON ($4.40)


4th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m-70y (P3)

Team Stall taking the slow, cautious route with huge debuting Pulpit colt. As close to unbeatable as you ever see..

Most Likely: #6 Bind 2-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 Prime Cut 4-1 WON ($13.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Lusterdust 15-1 5th


5th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Harvest Home 3-1 6th
Best Value: #6 I Am the Sherriff 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Bauers Got Hours 4-1 WON ($7.40)
Super Add: #7 Archon 10-1 7th


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-6-9
3: 1-3-4-5
4: 6
5: 1-5-6-7-8-9

4x4x1x6 = $96 x .50 = $48


6th: 86th New Orleans H. (G2), 4+, 9f (P3, Super)

Best Value: #4 Birdrun 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Mission Impazible 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Giant Oak 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 El Caballo 10-1 6th


7th: 60th Duncan Kenner, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #1e Margolis entry 2-1 3rd/4th
Best Value: #7 Snapshot 9-2 8th
Next Best: #6 Backtalk 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Riley Tucker 7-2 5th


8th: 45th Fair Grounds Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, Super)

Completely wide open with several improving types that make it tough to discern scenario. Snow Fall (Now SCR'D) leaped forward first route fitting emergent War Front progeny pattern. May be right filly on which to make a stand in multis seeing as how any other conclusion means using 4, 5 maybe 6 of these. Tough group and every bit as challenging as the boy's race an hour later..

Best Value: #6 SCR
Next Best: #8 St. John's River 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Daisy Devine 8-1 WON ($11.00)
Super Add: #3 Switching Gears 8-1 9th


9th: 19th Mervin Muniz Jr. Memorial H. (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P3, Super)

Yikes. Any one in this is possible..

Best Value: #2 Sleepless Knight 6-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Moryba 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Workin for Hops 6-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Expansion 8-1 2nd


10th: 98th Louisiana Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f (P3, Super)

Curious edition of this great race with a few logical contender (Mucho Macho Man, Machen, Elite Alex) facing off against a hatful of lesser known types seeking Derby dough. Difficult race in which to build a ticket, as the top three figure to fill the board with Nacho Business, Nehro, Majestic Harbor, Left, Wilkinson and even Le Mans all candidates to invade the tri or super..

Most Likely: #6 Machen 7-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Mucho Macho Man 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #1 (POE) Nacho Business 10-1 WON/8th
Exotics Use: #11 Elite Alex 6-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-6-7
8: 3-5-8
9: 2-4-5-9
10: 1-4-6-11

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72



TURFWAY PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P6, P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Sir P. T. Chalone 3-1 7th
Next Best: #8 No Rain No Rainbow 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Calipari's Kitten 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Super Add: #4 Sgt. Mauro 4-1 3rd


6th: 25th Queen, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Midst 9-5 4th
Best Value: #2 Sweet Temptress 6-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Happy Week 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Hyperlink 2-1 2nd


7th: 18th Hansel, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Murjan 10-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Ghost is Clear 4-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Getaway Guy 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Banjammer 15-1 4th


8th: 29th Bourbonette Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Favorites very vulnerable for various reasons. Swinging for fences..

#9 Jelly Cable a SCR after initial notice..

Best Value: #8 Angelica Zapata 10-1 -
Next Best: #4 Lilacs and Lace 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Summer Soiree 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #3 Marion Ravenwood 10-1 5th


@$50 P4 Play:

5: 1-5-8
6: 2-3
7: 1-5-7
8: 4-8-9/SCR

3x2x3x3 = $54


9th: 27th Rushaway, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Swift Warrior 3-1 WON ($10.00)
Best Value: #9 Swagger Jack 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 The Ole Gen 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Crimson China 4-1 2nd


10th: 40th Spiral (G3), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super, Super Hi-5)

Don't think there are any serious Derby horses here but it doesn't stop it from being a fun betting race. Trying to squeeze down Positive Response is the key..

Best Value: #6 Rescind the Trade 12-1 12th
Next Best: #2 Positive Response 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Twinspired 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Taptowne 20-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #7 Beachcombing 12-1 4th


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

AQU SCR/CHG'S

GP SCR/CHG'S

FG SCR/CHG'S

TP SCR/CHG'S

[jms62]

Originally Posted by Kasept

FG SCR/CHG'S

Steve Swift Warrior is the 6 horse in the Rushaway

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by jms62

Steve Swift Warrior is the 6 horse in the Rushaway

Got it.. THX! G/L today!

[nwaryas]

Steve. King Congie is scratched in Vinery. I like Animal Kingdom, former Catalano horse that has won over a synthetic surface.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by nwaryas

Steve. King Congie is scratched in Vinery. I like Animal Kingdom, former Catalano horse that has won over a synthetic surface.

Uh huh. Just did the changes. And, yes, Animal Kingdom has won over synthetic. As has Thirtyfifthstreet, Positive Response, Twinspired, Taptowne and Glint.

[Mike]

Rushaway: tri box Crimson China/Disfraz/The Ole Glen

Spiral: tri box Preachintothedevil/Animal Kingdom/Beachcombing

Louisiana Derby: exacta box Nacho Business/Mucho Mach Man

[Kasept]

After last night's UK win, I suppose there was never a question about Calipari's Kitten winning today...

[Kasept]

Based on Summer Soiree's performance, I'm surprised the Larry Jones in the Rushaway isn't taking more money. The Old Gen at 6-1 with 9 MTP..

[Alan07]

I may be sticking my head out of the window a bit, but I think Nehro has a shot in the LA Derby.

[lazytom]

nice steve - sweet hit - that will get you goin again -

[pointman]

Steve, tough break on Gunman in GP last, just took too long to get outside and had to check, but had plenty of run when he got clear.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by Alan07

I may be sticking my head out of the window a bit, but I think Nehro has a shot in the LA Derby.

That one hurt

[Mike]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

That one hurt

Hope Alan did a WPS wager on Nehro. Really think some of these owners need to curb their enthusiasm for the Derby, especially if Pants On Fire is entered

[tanner12oz]

used your pick 4 as a template for the pick 6 at AQ...was alive to the 1-4-3-2 in the final....caught it for 2k+...the 3 (who placed) was paying 22k....another stellar day steve...you make every saturday exciting!

[tanner12oz]

Originally Posted by Kasept

How great is R Betty Graybull!?!?!

sat way back and looked STRONG down the stretch

[Alan07]

Originally Posted by Mike

Hope Alan did a WPS wager on Nehro. Really think some of these owners need to curb their enthusiasm for the Derby, especially if Pants On Fire is entered

W/P.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by tanner12oz

used your pick 4 as a template for the pick 6 at AQ...was alive to the 1-4-3-2 in the final....caught it for 2k+...the 3 (who placed) was paying 22k....another stellar day steve...you make every saturday exciting!

Congratulations! And thank you. That's a very nice thing to say. It's supposed to be fun and I'm proud that the overwhelming majority of DTers choose to enjoy playing horseplaying.. win or lose.