11/12 (AQU): My Pal of Pals (AE 13)

[Cuse Fan]

7th race
Turf
6f
MSW $40k
NYS bred
9 horse field (10, 11 & 12 are MTO's); 5 first-time starters
pp8

And oh yeah.... Johnny Velasquez aboard!

[bigdog_14086]

Great news. Will not be able to be there but will stop something to watch it for sure. Best of luck and safe travels for all involved.

[stevepopyak]

Belmont Park - October 5, 2011 Race 7 - 4:11 PM

MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT

Purse $40,000. For Maidens, Two Years Old Foaled In New York State And Approved By The New York State-Bred Registry. Weight, 120 Lbs. (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Six Furlongs on the main track.). Six Furlongs. (Turf)

1 5 Stage Debut (NY) 2/G L1 R Curatolo 1155 C F Martin 12/1
2 1 I'm Da Ya Yo (NY) 2/C A Lezcano 120 J Odintz 30/1
3 2 Andromeda's Storm (NY) 2/C L1 J Bravo 120 G D Sacco 15/1
4 3 Johnny's Cafe (NY) 2/C L1 R A Dominguez 120 B Tagg 8/1
5 4 Little Dale (NY) 2/G L M R Cruz 120 D L Romans 5/2
6 6 Alarmed Ndangerous (NY) 2/C L C H Velasquez 120 L Rice 5/1
7 7 Comstock Prize (NY) 2/C L1 J Lezcano 120 M E Hushion 6/1
8 8 My Pal of Pals (NY) 2/C L J R Velazquez 120 G Sciacca 6/1
9 9 Sleepy Freud (NY) 2/G L A O Solis 120 L Rice 3/1
Also Eligibles:
1A 12 Bizarroworld (NY) (MTO) 2/G L R Curatolo 1155 C F Martin 12/1
10 10 Quiet Favorite (NY) (MTO) 2/C L A O Solis 120 L Gyarmati 3/1
11 11 There Goes Vinny (NY) (MTO) 2/C L1 D Cohen 120 E R Barker 8/1

A - Coupled Entries - 1 - Stage Debut, 1A - Bizarroworld

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Daily Double Wagers

[Many Others]

Reading the forecast, warm sunny weather now the rain has cleared out, the chance for being on the turf is looking extremely good, yes?? Will be trying to sneak a peek at the race from work, good luck Pal and Team Dee Tee!

[The Devil]

Are you guy's sure he is running? Steve has not said anything.

[pgiaco]

Off the turf, so he will scratch...the extra week will probably do him good.

[Cuse Fan]

Bummer.... We've got a whole pocketful of Benjamins with no place to go....

Looks like another race w/ the same conditions will be run next Thurs, Oct 13th.... Are you pointing for that one? Any idea whether you can still get Johnny V to ride?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Cuse Fan

Looks like another race w/ the same conditions will be run next Thurs, Oct 13th.... Are you pointing for that one? Any idea whether you can still get Johnny V to ride?

Ideally yes.. And you would expect JV to take the call back unless he has prior commitment that was pointing for that spot.

[Kasept]

5th (3:07)

6 Furlongs (Inner turf) | Open | 2 Year Olds Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $40,000

1 Sleepy Freud Velasquez C 120 L
2 Lord of Love Smith A E 120 FTL
3 Synthesizer Dominguez R A 120 L
4 Big City Boy Cohen D 120 FTL
5 Stage Debut Curatolo R 115 L
6 Image of Disco Trujillo E 120 L
7 Powerful Instinct Chavez J F 120
8 American Buffalo Castellano J J 120 FTL
9 Win for the Zipper Lezcano J 120 L
10 Johnny's Cafe Castro E 120 L
11 King Keene Espinoza J L 120 FTL
12 Muster Up Lezcano A 120
AE My Pal of Pals Nakatani C S 120 L
MTO Irish Etiquette Ortiz I Jr 115 FTL
MTO Think I'm Hooked Ortiz I Jr 120 L

[Kasept]

Bleech..

[Cuse Fan]

Steve,

What determines whether or horse gets entered or ends up on the AE list? Are they randomly drawn? Seeded in some way? Other?

Thanks

[Kasept]

Random..

[pgiaco]

Originally Posted by Cuse Fan

Steve,

What determines whether or horse gets entered or ends up on the AE list? Are they randomly drawn? Seeded in some way? Other?

Thanks

It goes by a date system according to the last time the horse ran, or when the dates reset. The system can be somewhat Byzantine in determining what takes precedence, turf dates, NY bred dates, yadda yadda...unfortunately "Pal" has a "scratch date" (from last week) which is the worst type of date to have.

[Storm Cadet]

And the 5 day forcast for rain Wed-Fri another scratch upcoming:

http://www.weather.com/weather/5-day/Jamaica+NY+11439

[Kasept]

Will likely SCR even if it stays on and he draws in. After 2 starts by Ausable and the 1 by Pal in turf sprints in the last 6 weeks from the most extreme outside post, I think we've learned our lesson.

Turf Sprint Post Stats at Belmont-Fall '11 to date:

Post 10: 2-45 (.04)
Post 11: 1-38 (.03)
Post 12: 1-24 (.04)


Turf Sprint Post Stats at Belmont-Spring '11l:

Post 10: 3-59 (.05)
Post 11: 1-26 (.04)
Post 12: 0-14 (.00)

[smootsirvin]

Thanks for pointing out this trend, Steve. Good info.

Originally Posted by Kasept

Will likely SCR even if it stays on and he draws in. After 2 starts by Ausable and the 1 by Pal in turf sprints in the last 6 weeks from the most extreme outside post, I think we've learned our lesson.

Turf Sprint Post Stats at Belmont-Fall '11 to date:

Post 10: 2-45 (.04)
Post 11: 1-38 (.03)
Post 12: 1-24 (.04)


Turf Sprint Post Stats at Belmont-Spring '11l:

Post 10: 3-59 (.05)
Post 11: 1-26 (.04)
Post 12: 0-14 (.00)

[Cuse Fan]

As Jim Croce once sang, "You don't spit into the wind...."

Any idea when the next opportunity might be for Pal? I didn't see anything in the Oct 13-30 Condition Book that looked like a fit.

Also, any idea for what the plan might be for Pal this winter? Stay in NY? Head south?

Thanks, Steve.

[Kasept]

They'll bring back 6f-T MSW's for NY 2yo's steadily.. He'll stay in NY over the winter..

[Cuse Fan]

Safe to assume Pal is not running today?

[Cuse Fan]

Now that Belmont *just* updated their website (their last update had been MONDAY ), I can answer my own question:

SCRATCHES
Race 5

7 Powerful Instinct
13 My Pal of Pals
14 Irish Etiquette
15 Think I'm Hooked Early